PTG Banner
Home page About PTG Coins Friends Members Contact PTG
 
 

Patriot Radio News Hour



Previous Posts

Archives

October 2007
November 2007
December 2007
January 2008
February 2008
March 2008
April 2008
May 2008
June 2008
July 2008
August 2008
September 2008
October 2008
November 2008
December 2008
January 2009
February 2009
March 2009
April 2009
May 2009


National Debt Clock


Weekday NEWS to Comfort the Disturbed and Disturb the Comfortable.


[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

News Provided by the Free-Market News Network

 

Wed 10.01.2008

"These capitalists generally act harmoniously and in concert to fleece the people, and now that they have got into a quarrel with themselves, we are called upon to appropriate the people's money to settle the quarrel." --Abraham Lincoln, Speech to Illinois legislature, (January 1837)

Senate to vote on rescue plan with added tax cut
Senate to vote on $700 billion financial
rescue plan on Wednesday with added tax cut plan

In a bold bid to revive President Bush's multibillion-dollar financial rescue plan, Senate leaders scheduled a vote for Wednesday night on a version of the bill that adds substantial tax cuts meant to appeal to Republicans when it reaches the House. The goal is to net at least 12 more House votes than the rescue proposal received Monday, when lawmakers rocked the political and financial worlds by rejecting it. The gambit is certain to anger some conservative House Democrats, who object to tax cuts that are not offset with spending cuts. But Senate strategists assume it will gain more House votes than it will lose.

Capitol Hill Switchboard TOLL FREE:
1-877 851-6437
1-800 828-0498
1-800 614-2803
1-866 340-9281
1-866 338-1015
1-866 826-0044

Main number: 202 225 -3121 - ask for your elected officials in D.C.

The Rescue Package Will Delay Recovery
In his testimony to the Congress on September 24, Fed Chairman Bernanke urged the legislators to quickly approve the bailout of the financial sector with a package of $700 billion. Bernanke echoed Treasury Secretary Paulson's view that the bailout expense, while hefty, is needed to remove from banks' balance sheets the mortgage-linked assets, which are paralyzing the flow of credit. Most experts came out in strong support for the package. Without the rescue package, many large institutions that are "too big to fail" could go belly up. Many believe that the consequences of all this could be very severe to the real economy. It is true that the financial system must be rescued; it must be rescued from the institutions holding bad debt that are currently draining capital while waiting for a bailout and adding little in return. It is they that are preventing wealth-generating activities in the financial sector and the other parts of the economy from expanding real wealth.

The (Near) Death of the State
I'm fully aware that Paulson and Bernanke have some nefarious scheme in mind to reverse the thrilling defeat of their criminal bailout package, a package shot down by independent members of Congress on both sides. But reflect for a few minutes on what it means that the House did this. It was a revolutionary act in the best sense of that term.The entire establishment was united in favor of what was surely the most horrible and outrageous bill ever to come before Congress. . . . .Forget back-door socialism: this was right through the front door. The consequences would have been dreadful and very scary. It was to be the first of many bailouts, since of course it cannot and would not work. Bad debts can't be made good by legislation. This means that more money would be necessary, as the middle class was sucked dry by the vampire state for years to come. Deeper and deeper economic depression — a repeat of the '30s — was certain. Best to put a stop to this now.

Senate to Vote Wednesday on Bailout Plan
Senate leaders scheduled a Wednesday vote on a $700 billion financial bailout package after agreeing to add tax breaks and a higher limit for insured bank deposits in a bid to attract enough votes to reverse a shocking defeat in the House and send legislation to President Bush by the end of the week. After a day of behind-the-scenes maneuvering, top lawmakers said the Senate proposal would include a tax package as well as a plan endorsed on Tuesday by both major presidential candidates and the Bush administration to raise government coverage for bank deposits.

Lawmakers scramble to revise bailout bill
Congressional leaders, prodded by
presidential hopefuls, search for new rescue plan

Congressional leaders labored Tuesday to find out how many changes are needed to sell the defeated $700 billion financial system rescue to rank-and-file members. John McCain and Barack Obama offered long-distance encouragement from the campaign trail, announcing separately their backing for a plan that some House Republicans had pushed earlier: raising the federal deposit insurance limit from $100,000 to $250,000. The aim would be to reassure nervous Americans and to shore up the economy. For his part, President Bush sought to avoid being marginalized, making another statement in the White House. "Congress must act," he demanded in front of the cameras. "I recognize this is a difficult vote for members of Congress," he said. "And I understand that. But the reality is we are in an urgent situation and the consequences will grow worse each day if we do not act."

Bailout by Stealth
While the public is distracted by the
"bailout bill" and its rejection, trillions
are pumped in to keep financial balloon inflated

The media is falling all over itself to report on every minutiae of the so-called Wall Street "bailout bill" and its rejection by Congress yesterday (just a few of the thousands of examples can be seen here and here and here and here). And why not? The media's breathless coverage of the bill has produced a furious backlash by the public and hysteria on Wall Street in a self-justifying feedback loop that makes the media attention seem merited. The startling truth which the controlled corporate media is not reporting, however, is that a bailout is actually taking place right now, completely out of the public spotlight. This program has already pumped trillions of dollars into Wall Street (compared to the mere $700 billion proposed in the legislation that the media is focusing on) to help prop up the faltering investment banks and promises to pump in even more, every dime of it to the detriment of the taxpayer though the public will have no stake in its success. Why, then, is this program not being talked about in the media?

Wealthy investors hoard bullion
Investors in gold are demanding "unprecedented" amounts of bullion bars and coins and moving them into their own vaults as fears about the health of the global financial system deepen. Industry executives and bankers at the London Bullion Market Association annual meeting said the extent of the move into physical gold was unseen and driven by the very rich. "There is an enormous pick-up in investment demand. I have never seen a market like this in my 33-year career," said Jeremy Charles, chairman of the LBMA. "The gold refineries cannot produce enough bars." The move comes as fears grow among investors over the losses at investment vehicles previously considered almost risk-free, such as money funds.

Investors start a fresh gold rush
"Fiat money, in extremis, is accepted by nobody," Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the US Federal Reserve, told lawmakers in Washington almost a decade ago. "Gold is always accepted," he added. The "in extremis" scenario was for years only a possibility in the mind of die-hard gold bugs, but the financial crisis is leading regular investors - from the ultra-rich to middle-class savers - to believe that the environment in which Mr Greenspan said fiat money would be worthless is now around the corner. The investors' response is a rush into physical gold not seen since the second oil crisis in 1979, bankers say. The shift into gold coins and bars is so extreme that it is causing shortages at refineries and mints around the world.

Gold rush that's all about hard currency
Investors in gold are demanding "unprecedented" amounts of actual bullion bars and coins and moving them into their own vaults as fears about the global financial system deepen. Industry executives and bankers at the London Bullion Market Association annual meeting said the extent of the move into physical gold was unforeseen and driven by the very rich. "There is an enormous pick-up in investment demand. I have never seen a market like this in my 33-year career," said Jeremy Charles, chairman of the LBMA. "The gold refineries cannot produce enough bars." The move comes as fears grow among investors over the losses at investment vehicles previously considered almost risk-free, such as money funds. Philip Clewes-Garner, associate director of precious metals at HSBC, added that investors were not flying into gold simply because they saw it as a haven amid Wall Street's woes. "It is a flight into gold because it is a physical asset," he said.

Gold slips below $900 as firmer dollar prompts profit-taking
Gold slipped below $US900 an ounce in Europe as a firmer dollar and weakness in other commodities such as oil and industrial metals encouraged profit- taking. Platinum and palladium tumbled as investors worried about the outlook for carmakers who are major consumers of the platinum group metals. "I am surprised gold is not higher," Deutsche Bank trader Michael Blumenroth, said. "But the market is very long since we had the $100 move two weeks ago." "Investors are starting to take their profits in the gold market," he added. "They don't want to leave it in any investment, they just want dollars." The dollar rebounded against the euro and the yen, as investors cut back on risky positions after an emergency plan to rescue the troubled US financial sector was rejected by lawmakers.

Five Reasons Why the $700 Billion Banking Bailout Will Translate into $250 Oil
. . . . As the curtain closed on the third quarter yesterday (Tuesday) - leaving many investors worried that the long-feared "Super Crash" was imminent - crude-oil futures were staring at their first decline in seven quarters and their biggest quarterly decline in 17 years, thanks to worries that a slowing economy would curtail global demand. As of early afternoon yesterday, crude oil for November delivery had dropped $39.36 a barrel - or 28% - during the third quarter to close at $100.64 yesterday afternoon.

Banking’s crisis of confidence deepens
Wall Street rebounded on Tuesday in spite of a worsening crisis of confidence in the global banking system, as leaders of the US Congress moved to try to salvage the Bush administration’s $700bn bail-out plan. A proposal to increase the ceiling for government insurance on bank deposits to $250,000 emerged as the best hope of swaying reluctant Republicans and Democrats who voted against the bill on Monday. The Senate agreed late Tuesday to vote on a revised bail-out measure on Wednesday night. Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Commission issued guidance emphasising the flexibility companies have to depart from mark-to-market accounting in situations when markets are illiquid. The SEC move does not suspend mark-to-market rules, but goes some of the way to address criticism of the accounting regime that critics – including many conservative Republicans – say has fuelled a downward spiral in credit markets.

Derivatives market faces biggest test
The $54,000bn credit derivatives market faces its biggest test in October as billions of dollars worth of contracts on now-defaulted derivatives on Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman Brothers and Washington Mutual are settled. Highlighting the opacity of this market, it is still not clear how many contracts have to be settled, and whether payouts on the defaulted contracts, which could reach billions of dollars, are concentrated with any particular institutions. According to dealers, insurance companies and investors such as sovereign wealth funds, which are widely believed to have written large amounts of credit protection through credit default swaps on financial institutions, could have to pay out huge amounts.

The Great Bank Robbery of 2008
The Paulson bailout failed in the House. If it isn't a death blow to the plan, it should be. This is not an economic plan: it is a heist. It will go down as The Great Bank Robbery of 2008. The economics behind it are nonsense. This is a money and power grab, pure and simple. Paulson's proposal — made in broad daylight and on national TV! — is almost naked in its audacity.

Socialist "Bailout" Could Spark Collapse
While many of the talking heads and pundits on TV have been providing calming words of reassurance about proposed federal intervention in the financial system, analyst Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital has been accurately warning for years about a financial meltdown and says that the worst, if Congress eventually passes the "bailout" bill, is yet to come . . . . Many commentators, Schiff said, are telling people that if the bailout doesn't go forward, there will be an economic crisis. However, "if we do it, there will be a bigger crisis," he predicts. . . . ."The politicians want to make believe we can avoid paying the piper if we pass these bailouts," he said. "It's just not true. It's going to collapse the currency. It's going to make a worse economic crisis because the money they’re printing is not going to buy anything."

Wall Street rally hinders attempts to save bailout
A frantic behind-the-scenes effort to cajole, arm-twist and beg enough congressmen to resurrect the White House’s stricken $700 billion financial rescue package consumed Washington yesterday, as an enfeebled President Bush pleaded with Congress to pass the plan after its stunning defeat on Monday. Stepping before the cameras for the second time in 24 hours to implore the House of Representatives to back the Bill — a sign of how his influence has all but vanished in the waning months of his presidency — Mr Bush repeated his warnings that a failure to approve the package would trigger dire economic consequences. . . . Their efforts were not helped by a rally on Wall Street after its record one-day points plunge on Monday, making the calls of urgency seem overwrought to some congressmen.

Lesson From a Crisis: When Trust Vanishes, Worry
In 1929, Meyer Mishkin owned a shop in New York that sold silk shirts to workingmen. When the stock market crashed that October, he turned to his son, then a student at City College, and offered a version of this sentiment: It serves those rich scoundrels right. A year later, as Wall Street’s problems were starting to spill into the broader economy, Mr. Mishkin’s store went out of business. He no longer had enough customers. His son had to go to work to support the family, and Mr. Mishkin never held a steady job again. Frederic Mishkin — Meyer’s grandson and, until he stepped down a month ago, an ally of Ben Bernanke’s on the Federal Reserve Board — told me this story the other day, and its moral is obvious enough. Many people in Washington fear that the country is starting to spiral into a terrible downturn. And to their horror, they see the public, and many members of Congress, turning into modern-day Meyer Mishkins, more interested in punishing Wall Street than saving the economy.

The hoi polloi vents its discontent
This week, the American people rebelled against their elite. That is the big political story behind Congress’s surprise rejection on Monday of the financial rescue plan that had been laboriously – but, we were told, victoriously – patched together over the sleepless weekend. No one was thrilled by the final proposal. Wall Street’s action-man financiers would have preferred a sleeker plan that simply gave Hank Paulson a lot of ammunition and trusted him to shoot at the right targets. Academic economists leaned towards solutions that would more directly address the solvency problems in the banking system by taking equity stakes. Ideologues on both the right and left were dismayed by a package that simultaneously increased the power of government and bailed out the financial plutocracy

Main Street prepares to pay for 'greed'
Dale Plumer lets out an incredulous laugh when asked if he supports the US government’s $700bn bail-out of Wall Street. "We're probably like all the other middle-income people," says Mr Plumer, a merchandiser at JBS United, a grain elevator company in Griggsville, a small town in south-western Illinois. "We don’t think we should have to bail them out." His view reflects the mood across much of middle America, where taxpayers are concerned about both the federal government’s massive intervention in the economy and how they will be affected. Like many on Main Street USA, he admits he has a poor grasp of the difficulties faced by the financial sector. "I don’t know what the ramifications are of just letting those companies fail. But it sure seems like somebody was too greedy and let it get the best of them

Congress approval rating just 10% as Bush goes from 'lame to dead duck'
The controversy over the failure of the Bush administration's unpopular financial bail-out is infecting every aspect of government and the presidential election campaign. Eminent reputations lie in ruins; the august institutions of Congress, the treasury, the Federal Reserve tremble; the presidency itself is shaken. In America's year of living dangerously, few will emerge unscathed. The consensus view, if there is one in so divided a nation, is that the US has suffered a calamitous, across-the-board failure of leadership. The bankruptcy is political as well as economic. This conclusion is widely held among both supporters and opponents of the bail-out. "Monday's crash and burn of the Paulson plan on Capitol Hill reveals a Washington elite that has earned every bit of the disdain that Americans have for it. This crowd can't even make sausage," snarled a Wall Street Journal editorial yesterday. Black Monday's shambles marked a "historic abdication".

The $55 trillion question
The financial crisis has put a spotlight on the obscure world of credit default swaps - which trade in a vast, unregulated market that most people haven't heard of and even fewer understand. Will this be the next disaster?
If Hieronymus Bosch were alive today to paint a triptych called "The Garden of Mortgage Delights," we'd recognize most of the characters in the bacchanalia and its hellish aftermath. Looming largest, of course, would be the Luciferian figures of Greed and Excessive Debt. Scurrying throughout would be the Wall Street bankers who turned these burgeoning debts into exotic securities with tangled structures and soporific acronyms - CDO, MBS, ABS - that concealed the dangers within. Needless to say, we'd see the smooth-tongued emissaries of the credit-rating agencies assuring people that assets of lead could indeed be transformed into investments of gold. Finally, somewhere past the feckless Fannie Mae executives and the dozing politicians, one final figure would lurk in the shadows: a hulking and barely recognizable monster known as Credit Default Swaps.

FDIC asks to boost deposit limits
The federal agency that guarantees bank deposits is asking Congress for temporary authority to raise the limit on the amount of money it insures for individual bank accounts. Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Sheila Bair put out a statement late Tuesday afternoon asking that Congress allow her agency to increase the $100,000 limit per account that has been in place since 1980. "Unfortunately, there is an increasing crisis of confidence that is feeding unnecessary fear in the marketplace," Bair said. "To address this crisis of confidence, I do believe that it would be helpful for the FDIC to have the temporary ability to raise deposit insurance limits."

More bank failures expected (video)
The FDIC has a list of 117 troubled banks, but analysts say the bailout could affect even more.

Wondering which bank is next
Analysts brace for more bank failures after
Wachovia sells out banking assets to Citi; bank
stocks plunge after House rejects bailout bill.

Following Citigroup's takeover of Wachovia, the collapse of Washington Mutual and the House's rejection of the bank bailout bill, Wall Street is wondering who's next. "Clearly we're going to see more bank failures, probably none on the size of whatever we've seen the last couple of days, but we'll see a lot more of them," said Sean Ryan, analyst for Sterne, Agee & Leach. Ryan said regional banks in the Rust Belt of the upper Midwest - with the exception of TCF Financial Corp. (TCB) because of its strong fundamentals - and banks with heavy mortgage-related investments in the hard-hit areas of California and Florida are vulnerable.

Shares of regional banks soar
Shares of regional banks soared Tuesday as investors flooded the market in search of bargains, following one of the biggest selloffs in years the day before. Stocks plummeted Monday after the government's proposed $700 billion financial rescue package failed to win approval in the House of Representatives, heightening concerns on Wall Street about the stability of the financial system. Without a bailout plan in place, questions lingered about how ailing banks are going to handle mounting losses tied to bad mortgage debt. The proposal would have allowed the government to buy bad mortgages and other deficient assets held by troubled financial institutions.

Bush warns on failure to agree bail-out
President George W. Bush warned on Tuesday that damage to the US economy would be “painful and lasting” if Congress did not pass his admininstration’s financial bail-out plan. The president maintained that “much if not all” of the $700bn cost of the plan would be eventually returned to taxplayers. "I realise this is a difficult vote for members of Congress," Mr Bush said at the White House. “But the reality is that we’re in an urgent situation and the consequences will grow worse each day’’ that Congress does not act. His comments follow the worst one-day fall in US stocks since the 1987 crash on Monday, after the House of Representatives shocked investors by voting to reject the plan.

The new bailout pitch: It's NOT a bailout
The Bush administration is searching for a new way to sell its financial rescue plan after acknowledging some blunders and missteps in presenting it the first time around. One big key: Insist it's not a Wall Street "bailout." Now it's not about financial institutions. The focus has switched to everyday Americans. And it's not an expenditure of taxpayer money, it's an "investment." This was clearly evident in Bush's grim warnings on Tuesday of "economic hardship for millions" if the plan can't be revived. He declared, "For the financial security of every American, Congress must act." This emphasis was echoed on the presidential campaign trail. "Let's not call it a bailout. Let's call it a rescue," said Republican John McCain.

Failure to lead fuels Main Street backlash
This week's bail-out debacle was widely criticised on Tuesday as marking a failure of US leadership on a grand scale – one that carried worrying overtones of political dysfunction in past economic crises in Japan and many emerging economies. "The entire superstructure of American political leadership failed. They couldn’t deliver," said Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. The House’s rejection of the bail-out on Monday could ultimately be reversed. But it raised parallels with the early 1930s and the early 1980s – when the US was beset by economic crises during the lame-duck presidencies of Herbert Hoover and Jimmy Carter.

'I blame Bush ... all they cared about was the fat cats'
On a clear day you can see the soaring skyline of downtown Manhattan from the Yonkers waterfront. But this city on the banks of the Hudson river feels a world away from the gleaming concrete canyons of Wall Street. It is a gritty town, struggling with the loss of the heavy industry that once saw it thrive, and only slowly witnessing a renovation of its scruffy Main Street. Fancy new restaurants stand amid rows of closed shopfronts and bargain-basement thrift stores. In many ways that mix makes Yonkers a typical American city. But now Yonkers residents are preparing grimly for hard times ahead. The effects of the credit crunch, the failed bail-out plan and the seemingly endless news about collapsing banks, has people on Yonkers' Main Street deeply fearful for the future.

Bill v. Barack on Banks $$
Clinton instructs Obama on finance and Phil Gramm.
A running cliché of the political left and the press corps these days is that our current financial problems all flow from Congress's 1999 decision to repeal the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 that separated commercial and investment banking. Barack Obama has been selling this line every day. Bill Clinton signed that "deregulation" bill into law, and he knows better. In BusinessWeek.com, Maria Bartiromo reports that she asked the former President last week whether he regretted signing that legislation. Mr. Clinton's reply: "No, because it wasn't a complete deregulation at all. We still have heavy regulations and insurance on bank deposits, requirements on banks for capital and for disclosure. I thought at the time that it might lead to more stable investments and a reduced pressure on Wall Street to produce quarterly profits that were always bigger than the previous quarter.

Prudent Bear's David Tice Says Dow Average May Plunge to 5,000
The Dow Jones Industrial Average may plunge another 5,300 points because the economy is slowing, according to David Tice, whose Prudent Bear Fund has advanced 13 percent in 2008 even as the stock market dropped. Tice told Bloomberg Television that the Dow average, which closed at 10,365.45 yesterday, might sink to 5,000 or 6,000. That implies a drop of as much as 52 percent. "We don't believe that the pain is over," said Tice, who oversees $1.08 billion in Dallas. "The market hasn't even fallen that far yet and we're already throwing trillions of dollars at this."

Dow Under 8,400 a Real Possibility
Stock guru Jim Cramer says problems abroad and at home could lead the Dow to a shocking new low, as far down as below Dow 8,400 — if a bailout doesn’t emerge from Congress soon. "There is so much going wrong. The credit markets are vanishing, the earnings are vanishing, and the only hope is a plan that ignites credit markets, forces money off the sidelines and gets this economy and the worldwide economy moving again," Cramer writes on TheStreet.com. A lot of America’s problems can be traced directly to big problems in the markets of its biggest foreign customers, like Brazil, Russia, India, and China, he says.

How bad is our economy?
Robert Kuttner says the failed bailout bill would have
helped the wrong people. J.D. Foster says the U.S. faces
a fiscal crisis far greater than Wall Street's current malaise.

Now that Congress blocked the compromise bailout worked out by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, it's time for it to get things right. Taxpayers are right to be outraged over bailing out Wall Street investors, but the right-wing Republican "private market" alternative is a joke. If it takes government insurance and government tax credits to unload bad bonds, what we have is hardly a private market.

As risk grows, resources strained at Fed, FDIC
If the House vote against the $700-billion financial rescue proposal stands, Americans may be in for a test of free-market economics the likes of which the country hasn't seen since the early 1930s. With the Treasury Department hobbled by the rejection of its plan, the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. are the chief government institutions standing between the nation and the brutally Darwinian process that could unfold if the panicky financial markets are left to sort their problems out alone.

Congress decides it is worth risking depression
It is just over three score years and ten since the Great Depression. Judged by its rejection of the plan put forward by Hank Paulson, US Treasury secretary, Congress believes it is time to risk another one. That slump was, arguably, the greatest catastrophe of the 20th century: it was, among other things, responsible for the events that led to the second world war – not least Hitler’s rise. One can only imagine what horrors a depression might bring now? Every week, 50 of the world’s most influential economists discuss Martin Wolf’s articles on FT.com Such forebodings must seem exaggerated. So, I expect, they will be. But that dire outcome is no longer impossible, not because a slump is inevitable, far from it, but because action is needed to prevent one. We are watching the disintegration of the financial system. Finance is the web of intermediation binding economic agents to one another, across both space and time. Without it, no modern economy can survive.

Congress repeats 1930s errors with bailout vote
In the 1930s, the US Congress did more than its fair share in helping to turn a financial crisis into a global depression. Yesterday it looked as though it was auditioning to assume that role again. Back then, Congress’s vote for protectionist legislation, the infamous Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, which erected trade walls around America, almost brought to a halt the free movement of goods and services vital to the efficient functioning of the global economy. Yesterday, in rejecting a plan to help to rescue the US financial system that had been constructed and reconstructed by the Bush Administration in collaboration with the Democratic and Republican leaderships, the House of Representatives dealt a hammer-blow to an already almost immobilised global financial system.

America must seek aid for a global credit line
The US Congress has refused to pass the $700bn bail-out plan. That may turn out to be appropriate. The question, however, is not whether the matter should be left to the market or whether the government should rescue those who might lose their home to foreclosure. The imperative now is to provide liquidity to the market, particularly to failing financial institutions. From Japan’s experience in the 1990s, it is clear that the US financial crisis is following a familiar pattern. However, US leaders do not seem to know what lessons to draw from history.

There are three principles you need to observe in a financial crisis. First, treat it as a systemic failure and do not act on individual cases. Second, know the sequence of events so that you solve the right problem at the right time. Third, then construct a universal system to avoid problems recurring. The US government is violating each of these principles and mixing up the sequence of events. In doing so, it is aggravating an already bad situation.

Bailout stall threatens to bring down banks throughout the West
European leaders are pleading with America's lawmakers to reach
an agreement on a financial rescue package "for the sake of the world"
after a string of banks on this side of the Atlantic had to be saved.

Financial institutions in Iceland, France, Germany and the Low Countries have become the latest victims of the contagion spreading throughout the global economy. They include Fortis, the Benelux giant which has more assets than the entire Belgian state, and Iceland's third largest bank, Glitnir, with very real fears that other banks will follow if Congress does not reverse its decision to reject a $700 billion bail-out of US banks. Johannes Laitenberger, spokesman for the European Commission, summed up the mood when he said: "The US must take its responsibility in this situation, must show statesmanship for the sake of their own companies and for the sake of the world."

Loose Money And the Roots Of the Crisis $$
No one can believe in the omniscience of central bankers anymore.

This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
Not with a bang but a whimper.

-- T.S. Eliot"The Hollow Men" (1925)

The world is not ending. Despite the wrenching turmoil in global financial markets and morbid allusions to the death throes of capitalism, it ain't over. Not until people quit believing in themselves, not until people quit believing in a better future. But the whimpering is real, and justified, because it hurts to have your world come crashing down. And global financial markets are definitely crashing, even when the impact is momentarily softened through massive injections of artificial money -- "artificial" because the fiat money does not represent a store of genuine value but rather an airy government claim to future wealth yet to be created.

Triple blow spurs central banks
The world’s central banks scrambled on Tuesday to address three simultaneous crises in money markets that led to violent jumps in interest rates as the financial system remained under severe stress. The unpleasant trio were the enormous uncertainty created by the failure of the US administration’s plan to purchase toxic assets from banks, a severe shortage of US dollars in banks outside the US at the end of the quarter, and the breakdown of trust in money markets that has led to a drought of funds for those banks needing to borrow. The stress was evident in a widening gap between unsecured interest rates for bank borrowing and risk-free borrowing at maturities of three months and above.

Sales Decline at Ford and G.M.
The Ford Motor Company said Wednesday that sales in the United States dropped 34 percent in September, as volatility in the financial markets compounded ongoing misery for the auto industry. But sales were better than expected at General Motors, which reported a 12 percent decline and estimated that its market share rose to the highest level in more than three years. "We are looking at a very fragile economy," Emily Kolinski-Morris, Ford’s chief economist, said on a conference call with analysts and reporters. "I don’t think anyone can say where the bottom might be."

Sallie Mae Credit Swaps Jump to Record Amid Turmoil
The cost to protect against a default by SLM Corp., the biggest U.S. educational lender, reached a record as short-term corporate borrowing rates soared amid the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Credit-default swaps on the Reston, Virginia-based company's bonds climbed deeper into distressed levels before recovering somewhat as rates on commercial paper backed by assets such as student loans and credit card debt soared. The company, known as Sallie Mae, makes money by lending at rates that are higher than its borrowing costs.

SEC, FASB Resist Calls to Suspend Fair-Value Rules
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission probably will resist calls to suspend the fair-value accounting rules that some members of Congress blame for exacerbating the global financial crisis, people familiar with the matter said. The SEC and Financial Accounting Standards Board today issued "clarifications" on how banks should interpret existing rules requiring them to review assets each quarter and report losses if values decline. A moratorium isn't being considered, said the people, who declined to be identified because the plan hasn't been completed.

Embattled Paulson regroups his forces
An embattled Hank Paulson was on Tuesday seeking to regroup his forces and salvage his $700bn economic rescue plan following its defeat in the House of Representatives on Monday. The Treasury secretary believes the House vote was dangerous and potentially puts the stability of the financial system and the economy at risk. But he is being forced to walk a fine line between publicly warning Congress about the risks while not triggering a market panic that could cause a further wave of bank failures.

FDIC to Ask for Authority to Raise Deposit-Insurance Limits
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. will ask Congress for permission to increase deposit insurance limits, House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank said in a memorandum to members of his panel. "Sheila Bair, chairman of the FDIC, notified me that they will be requesting authority to increase deposit insurance limits. We will provide additional details as we have them," Frank said in the memo. The FDIC currently provides $100,000 of insurance for individual bank deposits. The memo didn't specify what new level was being requested by the agency.

Treasuries Plummet on Speculation Rescue Plan Will Be Salvaged
Treasuries fell, paring the biggest monthly gain since January, as speculation lawmakers will salvage financial-rescue legislation eased concern that capital markets will deteriorate further. Traders pushed up yields on two-year notes by the most in more than a week, erasing the bulk of yesterday's 44-basis-point rally, as an advance in stocks damped demand for government debt. A gauge of expectations for Treasury volatility surged to the highest in at least 20 years. Senate leaders vowed to act this week on the $700 billion rescue package, which the House rejected yesterday.

US bail-out: What will happen if the deal is not implemented
For weeks, the powerful politicians and bankers grappling with a global financial crisis have pinned their hopes on a piece of legislation that would authorise the US Treasury to stake up to $700 billion relieving US banks of risky loans that threaten their future and the entire financial system. But the Legislative Proposal for Treasury Authority to Purchase Mortgage-Related Assets now hangs in the balance, with no guarantee that it will win Congressional approval. So what happens if the biggest bail-out in history is not implemented? The global financial system is based on banks freely and frequently lending each other huge sums of money, money that is then lent on and on again. At the heart of the financial crisis is banks' confidence in the ability of their competitors to pay back money that they borrow. With almost every bank exposed to the risk that people and businesses to whom they have lent money will not pay it back, no one knows which banks are able to stay in business and which will be wiped out by huge losses from bad loans.

Hedge funds face worst year since 1990
Hedge funds on Tuesday closed out one of their worst-ever quarters as US managers braced for an extension of the short-selling clampdown which has robbed them of one of their most popular strategies. The hedge fund business has been left reeling by the combined forces of greater regulation – including the banning of short selling on certain financial stocks by the US Securities and Exchange Commission and other regulators across the world – the threat of investor withdrawals, a flight from risk and a squeeze on leverage.

Why the credit crunch is about more than Wall Street
I'm going to try to briefly accomplish in a few paragraphs what it seems to me our government has completely failed to do in this financial crisis. No, I don't have $700 billion of my own to shell out. But to me, Congress' failure came not today on the House floor, but over the past week as both elected officials and members of the administration failed to translate the crisis into terms that have meaning for everyday Americans. I've heard the phrases "Main Street" and "Wall Street" a lot, but what I haven't heard is plain explanations of what credit really means and how essential it is to our system of doing business. Here goes. If the credit markets should freeze up--which many say is happening and will continue without massive intervention--everyone that borrows money will face a cash crunch.

And then there were none
What the death of the investment bank means for Wall Street
THE radical overhaul of the City of London in 1986 was dubbed the Big Bang. The brutal reshaping of Wall Street might be better described as the Big Implosion. The “bulge-bracket” brokerage model—the envy of moneymen everywhere before the crunch—has collapsed in on itself. Even more humiliating for the Green Berets of the markets, the new force in finance is the government.

Crude Oil Rises on Signs U.S. Will Revive Bank Bailout Plan
Crude oil rose, rebounding from its biggest drop in seven years, after U.S. lawmakers said they intend to salvage a $700 billion bank-rescue package that may avert an economic slowdown. Oil fell more than $10 yesterday and global stock markets were battered after the House of Representatives failed to pass a rescue bill and European governments bailed out three banks. The U.S. Senate will try to revive the financial package tomorrow. "The market is being totally driven by what is happening in Washington," said Nauman Barakat, senior vice president of global energy futures at Macquarie Futures USA Inc. in New York. "What happens to oil prices depends completely on whether the rescue package is approved or not."

What Goes Before a Fall? On Wall Street, Reassurance
"Jim, we have a great future as an independent company,” Robert K. Steel, Wachovia’s chief executive, told James Cramer on CNBC’s “Mad Money." "We’re also focused on very exciting prospects when we get things right going forward. I didn't have time today to talk about the good things going on at Wachovia." That interview wasn’t last month or last year — it took place, amazingly, two weeks ago. Wachovia’s shares closed at $10.71 that day. On Monday, Citigroup bought the company for $1 a share. What was Mr. Steel thinking? Did he think he could "spin" his way to survival?

Bush Approves Loans for Auto Makers $$
President Bush on Tuesday signed into law a low-interest loan package to aid U.S. auto makers, but those struggling companies will still have to wait months to find out how and when they can tap the $25 billion designated to smooth their transition to building more fuel-efficient vehicles. The loan package was approved last year as a way to help auto makers and their suppliers meet fuel-economy standards set by the federal government. But the funding for the package wasn't passed by Congress until this year. One estimate put the total cost to auto makers at $100 billion to meet stricter efficiency standards that require vehicles to reach 35 miles per gallon by 2020.

No one's clean in this mess
Democrats and Republicans must share the blame
for the failure to pass a $700-billion bailout plan.

On Sunday evening, Republican House Minority Leader John A. Boehner explained his considered opinion on the $700-billion Wall Street bailout plan: It's a "crap sandwich," he said, but he was going to eat it. Well, it turned out he couldn't shove it down his colleagues' throats. The bill failed on a bipartisan basis, but it was the Republicans who failed to deliver the votes they promised. Some complained that Democratic Speaker Nancy Pelosi drove some of them to switch their votes with her needlessly partisan floor speech on the subject. Of course Pelosi's needlessly partisan. This is news?

Banks in miser mode send borrowing rates soaring
Bank-to-bank lending rates jump after House
vote against bailout; T-bill demand eases slightly

Bank-to-bank lending rates jumped Tuesday and Treasury bill demand eased only slightly, a day after Congress' rejection of the bank bailout plan cast an even deeper freeze over the barely operational credit markets. After the House's vote against the Bush administration's plan, investors pulled their money out of stocks and commodities Monday, sending the Dow plummeting 778 points and crude down more than $10 a barrel. That money got shoveled into Treasury bills, short-term debt issued by the U.S. government that's considered the safest investment around. On Tuesday, the yield on the 3-month T-bill recovered to 0.90 percent from 0.14 percent late Monday as the Dow Jones industrial average rebounded by more than 260 points in midday trading. The T-bill yield is still very low by historical measures, however -- particularly when compared to lending rates between financial institutions.

Jolted Congress Will Pass Bill, But Confidence Destroyed
The silver lining of yesterday's market collapse: It may have woken Congress up to the severity of the economic crisis. Stocks have jumped on the hope that a slightly modified bailout bill will be passed later this week. Traders are also hoping for an emergency Fed rate cut. At the same time, the credit markets are still extremely tight, which will constrict companies' ability to do business. Our guest, Wall Street Journal Deputy Managing Editor Alan Murray, thinks Congress will eventually pass the bailout bill. He also thinks, however, that the events of the last several days have severely damaged the public's confidence in Washington's ability to deal with this crisis. Given that the crisis is really all about confidence -- banks are so scared they aren't lending to each other -- this could dampen the effect of the bailout when it's finally passed.

Global liquidity crisis runs on unabated
Libor spikes; onus on central bankers as U.S. bailout stalls
Massive liquidity injections haven't freed up crucial money markets, leaving the world's central bankers little choice but to try more radical measures in order to dampen the odds of a wider economic collapse, economists said Tuesday. Overnight borrowing rates and other key short-term interest rates and credit spreads rose sharply a day after the House of Representatives dramatically and unexpectedly rejected a $700 billion U.S. bank-bailout plan, roiling global financial markets and leaving Washington in a state of shock. Commercial banks have grown increasingly reluctant to provide each other with short-term loans, partly out of fear of further bank failures and concerns about the health of their own balance sheets.

France's Sarkozy battles fallout from financial crisis
President Nicolas Sarkozy on Monday battled to contain fallout from the global financial crisis, moving ahead with plans for a world summit and calling a meeting of French banking and insurance chiefs. France will host a meeting of European officials to prepare a summit "in the coming weeks to establish the basis of a new international financial system," said Sarkozy, whose country holds the presidency of the European Union. Officials from Britain, France, Germany and Italy -- the EU members of the G8 -- will meet in Paris in the coming days to lay the groundwork, he said on the sidelines of an EU-India summit in the southern city of Marseille.

Chavez Says U.S. Slump Hits Like `Hundred Hurricanes'
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said the turmoil in U.S. financial markets will stunt growth in Latin America and may send oil down to as low as $80 a barrel. "This is a hurricane, or more than one hurricane, it's a hundred hurricanes," Chavez told reporters after arriving in Manaus, Brazil for a meeting with Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. "I'm in the group that believes this will be worse than the 1929 crash. No country can say it won't be affected." Oil prices should stabilize between $80 and $95 a barrel, Chavez said, adding the credit crisis in the U.S. will likely make it more difficult to obtain financing in Latin America.

TRAINING A SOCIALIST ARMY OF WORLD SERVERS
Obama: “I will ask for your service and your active citizenship when I am president of the United States ... this will be a central cause of my presidency."
Obama: "People of all ages, stations, and skills will be asked to serve.... I will set a goal for all American middle and high school students to perform 50 hours of service a year, and for all college students to perform 100 hours of service a year...."
Saul Alinsky (Obama's Marxist mentor): "The disruption of the present organization is the first step toward community organization.... All change means disorganization of the old and organization of the new."
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Archived Page Link
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tues 09.30.2008

U.S. Heading for Deeper Economic Slump, With or Without Bailout
The U.S. may face its longest recession in a quarter century no matter what action Congress takes on Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's $700 billion plan to rescue the battered banking industry. Economists including Joseph Lavorgna of Deutsche Bank Securities and David Greenlaw of Morgan Stanley said it now appears the economy shrank in the third quarter as credit- crimped consumers cut spending for the first time since 1991. A further contraction is likely in the next two quarters, some economists predicted, which would make the recession the longest since 1981-82. "This has been a body blow to consumer and business confidence," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania. "The next six months are going to be very difficult."

How did your congressman vote?
House Roll Call - The 228-205 roll call Monday of the vote by which the House rejected a $700 billion emergency bailout for the nation's financial system.

Today's radio show will  stream live through KXXT 1010 talk radio in Phoenix via their streaming link.

Capitol Hill Switchboard TOLL FREE:
1-877 851-6437
1-800 828-0498
1-800 614-2803
1-866 340-9281
1-866 338-1015
1-866 826-0044

Main number: 202 225 -3121 - ask for your elected officials in D.C.
Our elected Senators and Representatives supposedly work for us, the taxpayers!
Tell them what YOU think about the bailout proposal on the table.

Ron Paul Votes NO BAILOUT (Speech on the House Floor on 9-29-08)




Why the bailout bombed
Republicans might blame Pelosi's rhetoric, but the message that mattered was the one that came from voters back home.
Barely containing his temper, Virginia's Eric Cantor, deputy whip for the House Republicans, stepped to the microphone this afternoon to blame the bailout defeat on House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's "failure to listen" and her charged partisan rhetoric in condemning President George Bush's "budgetary recklessness" and "anything-goes mentality." If only it were that simple. If only the failure of the White House to muster enough votes from its own party to avert what it calls looming financial disaster could be blamed on a few ill-chosen words uttered on the House floor by San Francisco's hyper-partisan speaker. In fact, Monday's surprise defeat of the $700 billion rescue package - meant to blunt a burgeoning financial crisis - can be traced to a failure on the part of the president and his treasury secretary, Henry Paulson, to fully appreciate the ferocity of the popular revolt they touched off nine days ago.

Central banks pump in $620bn as shares plummet
Central banks around the world unveiled a plan to pump massive amounts of cash into the global banking system in a concerted effort to boost market confidence and inject liquidity into the global markets. The move followed a fall in the Dow Jones of nearly 300 points in morning trade to 10,869 as the market took fright at several bank nationalisations in Europe and the US despite the approval of the "son of Tarp" - the Troubled Asset Relief Programme - bailout. The FTSE 100 index of leading shares was down almost 5 per cent, taking it to a new low for the year and below the psychologically significant threshold of 5,000. As nine central banks used currency swaps to oil the wheels of dollar liquidity in the money markets, sterling plunged and was on course for its steepest one-day drop against the dollar for at least a decade and a half.

The US and global financial crisis is becoming much
more severe in spite of the Treasury rescue plan.

The risk of a total systemic meltdown is now as high as ever
Nouriel Roubini | Sep 29, 2008
It is obvious that the current financial crisis is becoming more severe in spite of the Treasury rescue plan (or maybe because of it as this plan it totally flawed). The severe strains in financial markets (money markets, credit markets, stock markets, CDS and derivative markets) are becoming more severe rather than less severe in spite of the nuclear option (after the Fannie and Freddie $200 billion bazooka bailout failed to restore confidence) of a $700 billion package: interbank spreads are widening (TED spread, swap spreads, Libo-OIS spread) and are at level never seen before; credit spreads (such as junk bond yield spreads relative to Treasuries are widening to new peaks; short-term Treasury yields are going back to near zero levels as there is flight to safety; CDS spread for financial institutions are rising to extreme levels (Morgan Stanley ones at 1200 last week) as the ban on shorting of financial stock has moved the pressures on financial firms to the CDS market; and stock markets around the world have reacted very negatively to this rescue package (US market are down about 3% this morning at their opening). Let me explain now in more detail why we are now back to the risk of a total systemic financial meltdown…

U.S. House rejects plan for bailout
Defying President George W. Bush and the leaders of both parties, rank-and-file lawmakers in the House on Monday rejected a $700 billion economic rescue plan in a revolt that rocked the Capitol, sent markets The stunning defeat of the proposal on a 228-205 vote after marathon talks by senior congressional and Bush administration officials lowered a fog of uncertainty over economies around the globe. Its authors had described the measure as essential to preventing widespread economic calamity. The markets began to plummet even before the 15-minute voting period expired on the House floor. For 25 minutes, uncertainty gripped the nation as television showed party leaders trying, and failing, to muster more support. Finally, Representative Ellen Tauscher, Democrat of California, pounded the gavel and it was done.

US banking bailout in chaos after shock House of Representatives vote
The financial system lurched closer to a catastrophic breakdown last night after the US Congress dramatically rejected a bailout plan designed to restore confidence to paralysed banks. Wall Street suffered one of its worst days in history. In 24 hours five banks across the West, including Britain’s Bradford & Bingley, had to be rescued to avoid insolvency. With plans for the biggest rescue of Wall Street since the Great Depression in tatters, the Dow Jones industrial average of shares dived almost 800 points, losing 7 per cent of its value. It was the worst one-day points fall and the worst percentage fall since Black Monday in 1987. The surprise rejection of the bailout triggered fears of a new wave of banking collapses. Other economies had looked to America to lead the way out of the crisis.

The Depression of 2008? Don't Count on It $$
Wall Street is dead. Whether it was murder or suicide is beside the point: Wall Street as it has operated for the past 75 years has been obliterated in a matter of weeks. And witnessing this violent death in broad daylight has traumatized investors everywhere. The Wall Street domino has toppled just about everything in sight: U.S. stocks large and small, within the financial industry and outside of it; foreign stocks; oil and other commodities; real-estate investment trusts; formerly booming emerging markets like India and China. Even gold, although it has inched up lately, has lost 10% from its highs earlier this year. Not even cash seems entirely safe, as money-market funds barely averted a "run on the bank." Of all the dominos that have tipped over, the most psychologically damaging collapse was the last: the very notion of diversification itself.

Paulson Plan Is Still a Pig, Even With Lipstick
If Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson thought he could cram a $700 billion plan to buy financial institutions' toxic mortgage-backed waste through Congress with no questions asked, he got a rude awakening last week. Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke were grilled by Senate and House committees on the plan. Those same lawmakers were inundated with calls and e-mails from constituents expressing outrage at what they saw as a bailout of Wall Street for a problem of Wall Street's own making. It took them all weekend to hammer out something they could sign off on. Why was it so hard for Paulson to close the deal after laying the blame at Congress' feet should a failure to act result in a collapse of the financial system? Maybe his report card holds the key. Communication Skills: C-

U.S. bailout rejection spurs flight to safety
Recession fears mounted and investors raced for safe havens after U.S. lawmakers unexpectedly rejected a $700 billion (388 billion pound) bailout plan for the financial industry, but Asian stocks trimmed deep early losses after Wall Street's biggest fall since the crash of 1987. A week that started badly with the rescue of three banks in Europe and the distressed sale of big U.S. lender Wachovia to Citigroup grew worse after the U.S. Congress was unable to agree on a rescue package. "It's hard to imagine what's going to happen. It's kind of scary," said Masayoshi Okamoto, head of dealing at Jujiya Securities in Tokyo. "In particular, European banks were putting up a front that nothing was wrong, but now they're falling one after another."
Shares in Asia recovered from early lows but were still down about 3 percent.

U.S. Lawmakers Spurn Pleas From Leadership in Rejecting Bailout
Lawmakers from Texas, Arizona, and California helped defeat a $700 billion credit-market rescue in the U.S. House, voting more in line with their followers, or constituents, than their leaders. The bill was a priority for President George W. Bush, yet 15 of 19 Republicans from his home state, Texas, voted against it. Republican presidential candidate John McCain left the campaign trail to help the measure, which didn't get a single vote from his state of Arizona. Almost half the usually loyal California Democratic delegation rebuffed House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. For too many lawmakers, five weeks before Election Day, the threat of market calamity and arm-twisting from party leaders couldn't overcome impassioned opposition back home, where the rescue plan is drawing fire as a bailout for rich Wall Street bankers.

Senate May Try to Revive Bank-Rescue Bill as Early as Tomorrow
The U.S. Senate will try to salvage a $700 billion financial-rescue package after the measure was defeated in the House of Representatives. The lawmakers won't have a lot of room to negotiate. While they need to tweak the legislation enough to win over reluctant Republicans, they'll risk losing votes from Democrats if they veer too far from the delicate compromise that congressional leaders hammered out with the U.S. Treasury. "They're not going to totally revamp the bill," said Pete Davis, president of Davis Capital Investment Ideas in Washington, who spoke to House and Senate leaders yesterday. "They'll make some minor changes and pass it. This is all about political cover."

Bailout vote stuns Washington, markets
Dow suffers record loss;
world stocks plunge; Bush, House to try again

World financial markets reeled as stunned lawmakers groped for their next move Monday after House Republicans abandoned President Bush in droves to help kill his $700 billion proposal to rescue the financial services industry. Even before the vote was announced, stocks began tanking on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average nose-dived by more than 777 points, its worst fall ever, in a sell-off that swept markets around the globe. As fears rose that the credit crisis was spreading, Asian and European markets closed sharply down, and governments in at least eight European countries took steps to begin rescuing large banking institutions.

Fed takes fresh steps to battle credit crisis
Action intended to ‘expand significantly’ the availability of cash
The Federal Reserve and foreign central banks moved Monday to pump billions of dollars to cash-strapped banks at home and abroad in a dramatic bid to break through a credit clog and spur lending. The Fed said the action is intended to “expand significantly” the cash available to financial institutions, its latest effort to relieve the worst credit crisis since the Great Depression. The goal is to boost the amount of quick cash available to banks and other financial institutions so that they’ll feel more confident and inclined to lend not only to each other but also to people and businesses.

Money market freeze stirs rate cut speculation
Central banks and regulators scrambled on Tuesday to relieve the strain on financial markets frazzled by another hefty blow to confidence, this time from the rejection by U.S. lawmakers of a $700 billion (388 billion pound) rescue plan. Global central banks more than doubled the amount of dollar funding to $620 billion, but the move showed no signs on Tuesday of thawing the freeze in money markets where banks are hoarding cash and bracing for more trouble ahead in the deepening year-long credit crisis. Analysts said central banks may now be forced to cut interest rates in a coordinated move because their massive fund injections have done little to ease strains that are threatening to become a bigger systemic breakdown that could endanger the global economy.

Even Hank Paulson's bail-out plan cannot detox global banking
Can the rescue package really halt our slide
into a new Depression, asks Ambrose Evans-Pritchard.

Even if Congress backs the Paulson bail-out, the $700 billion blast cannot save the US, Britain or the world from the deepest economic slump since the Thirties. If Congress balks, God help us. The credit system is suffering a heart attack. Inter-bank lending is paralysed. Funds are accepting zero interest on US Treasury notes for the first time since Pearl Harbour, because no bank account is safe. Wherever you look – dollar, euro, sterling Libor (the rate at which banks lend to each other), or spreads on credit derivatives – the stress has reached breaking point. If borrowers cannot roll over the three-month loans that are the lifeblood of business, they will default en masse. "Money markets are imploding. If no action is taken very soon, there is a significant risk that the global economy will collapse," says BNP Paribas. Almost every trader says much the same thing. So does US treasury secretary Hank Paulson, who as Toby Harnden reports, literally dropped on bended knee to beg help from Democrats on Capitol Hill.

Panic grips world's markets
Shock as American rescue plan
rejected on a day of nationalisations and bail-outs

The US government's $700bn bail-out of the banking industry collapsed yesterday as Congress defied the White House by voting down the plan, sending Wall Street stocks plummeting and spreading shockwaves through the global economy. In a snub to George Bush's authority, Republicans in the House of Representatives led a rebellion which defeated the rescue by 228 votes to 205. As alarm mounted on Wall Street about the stability of the financial system, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged by 777 points to 10,365 - its biggest percentage fall for seven years and its worst drop ever in terms of points. The package was intended to allow the government to buy toxic mortgage-related liabilities from banks, after warning that without action banks would curtail home loans, car loans and student loans, as well as credit to keep small firms trading.

Is Purchasing $700 billion of Toxic Assets the
Best Way to Recapitalize the Financial System?

No! It is Rather a Disgrace and Rip-Off Benefitting
only the Shareholders and Unsecured Creditors of Banks

Whenever there is a systemic banking crisis there is a need to recapitalize the banking/financial system to avoid an excessive and destructive credit contraction. But purchasing toxic/illiquid assets of the financial system is not the most effective and efficient way to recapitalize the banking system. Such recapitalization – via the use of public resources – can occur in a number of alternative ways: purchase of bad assets/loans; government injection of preferred shares; government injection of common shares; government purchase of subordinated debt; government issuance of government bonds to be placed on the banks’ balance sheet; government injection of cash; government credit lines extended to the banks; government assumption of government liabilities.

'They're throwing billions around but things seem to be getting worse'
World central banks desperately tried to stave off collapse of the global banking system yesterday with large cash injections into money markets buckling amid news of another rash of bank failures. The pound also suffered its biggest one-day fall since mid-1993 against the dollar as dealers focused on the fact that the US government looked as if it was going to approve its $700bn (£389bn) bail-out for US banks while the UK banking system suddenly seemed shakier than before. Sterling fell 2.3% to below $1.80 at one point. The dollar fell in late trading after the US House of Representatives voted against the bail-out plan. Mark Deans, dealing manager at Moneycorp, said: "Confidence in UK banking has fallen to a new low with the nationalisation of Bradford & Bingley. This has prompted a major sterling sell-off and, coupled with growing confidence that the US government's Wall Street bail-out may be agreed, it has resulted in the pound's heavy fall against the dollar."

Wall Street's slow demise
With breathtaking speed, the world of large Wall Street investment banks has vanished. Fabled firms, some more than a century old, have been merged out of existence (Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch), gone bankrupt (Lehman Brothers), or sought asylum as commercial bank holding companies (Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley). Why on earth did this happen? The death of Wall Street has been a long-running, slow-motion crisis, barely discernible to participants who had still booked huge profits in recent years. Beneath the razzle-dazzle of trading desks and the wizardry of esoteric finance lay the inescapable fact that these firms had shed their original reason for being: providing capital to U.S. business.

Anger as House rejects rescue plan
Anger and confusion overwhelmed the House of Representatives on Monday as Republican legislators ripped into a $700bn financial rescue package backed by almost the entire US political establishment. Congressional leaders scrambled for an alternative course of action once it was voted down. Powerful last-minute pleas by John Boehner, the House minority leader, and Nancy Pelosi, speaker of the House, were unable to prevent the defeat of the bill by 228 votes to 205, with Republicans voting by two to one against and divided Democrats unable to make up the difference. “Nobody wants to vote for this; nobody wants to be anywhere around it,” Mr Boehner said at the end of a debate in which critics assailed the proposal and supporters provided only half-hearted backing.

Adrift and afraid in uncharted territory
It was a bad plan - but it was a plan. The refusal of Congress to back Hank Paulson's bail-out takes us into new territory. George Bush told Americans to expect "a serious financial crisis" and "a long and painful recession" if the legislation was blocked. Paulson went down on his knees to beg for support. But opposition from ordinary Americans killed the bill. It was a historic day: even the decimal point on the Dow Jones average made it memorable. The final reading was: down 777.7 points. Some horsetrading in Washington may yet produce a revised deal that would be acceptable to the politicians, but the banks know there will be no easy handouts: Main Street, for better or worse, wants to see Wall Street suffer. In an election year, voters get what they want.

Many Lenders Lower Credit-Card Limits $$
It's not just your portfolio that may be shrinking lately. The spending limit on your credit card may be heading south as well. Credit-card issuers have been decreasing credit limits. "Most banks are cutting their credit limits," says Carol Kaplan, spokeswoman for the American Bankers Association. "They're doing it to everyone." Smaller credit lines spell trouble for consumers on several fronts. Lower credit limits shrink consumers' ability to spend. And should an emergency arise, consumers will have less credit to cover those costs. Consumers also could trigger penalties for going over a newly lower limit.

US wealth in shrink mode
The US Congress went into labor this weekend, and gave birth to a gnat. With some cosmetic adjustments, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's US$700 billion bank bailout plan will be adopted this week. Markets barely budged on the news, which was punctuated by government bailouts of two giant banks - America's Washington Mutual and Belgium's giant Fortis group. A third rescue, of Britain's Bradford and Bingley, sees it taken over by the government. Paulson's plan likely will provide temporary relief to the stockholders of some American banks, whose balance sheets do not look all that different from Washington Mutual's. But this has nothing to do with the larger problem, namely the de-leveraging of the American household. Leverage is the secret of American wealth.

Treasury opens money market guarantee program
The U.S. Treasury Department said on Monday its temporary guarantee program for up to $3.4 trillion in money market mutual fund assets held as of Sept. 19 was now in effect for a three-month period. The Treasury said each fund regulated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission that maintains a stable stock price of $1 can now decide whether to pay a fee to participate in the program. Money market mutual fund shares acquired after Sept. 19, when the Treasury announced the plan, will not be guaranteed under the program. To receive the government guarantee, participating money market mutual funds that had a net asset value of at least $0.9975 per share on Sept. 19 must pay a fee of 1 basis point per share to the Treasury. Those with a net asset value below $0.995 on Sept. 19 are not eligible for the program, and those between $0.995 and $0.9975 on that date must pay a 1.5 basis-point fee. The Treasury created the program to try to stem a massive run on about $3.4 trillion in money market mutual fund assets after the Reserve Primary Fund -- one of the oldest U.S. money market funds -- fell below $1 per share -- a phenomenon known as "breaking the buck."

Big banks, bumbling idiots
The really chilling news is that investment banks are being changed into commercial banks, which gives them the right to create - out of thin air, and then loan - money using fractional-reserve banking! Yikes! They are now banks! These greedy, thieving, lying, staggeringly stupid weenies who are at the epicenter of the biggest financial catastrophe in American history are now being given the right to increase the money supply at their whim to satisfy the willingness of customers, and themselves, to borrow the money! Astounding!

House rejects $700B bailout in stunning defeat
House rejects $700B bailout in stunning defeat,
driving stocks down; Treasury vows more work

In a vote that shook the government, Wall Street and markets around the world, the House on Monday defeated a $700 billion emergency rescue for the nation's financial system, leaving both parties' lawmakers and the Bush administration scrambling to pick up the pieces. Dismayed investors sent the Dow Jones industrials plunging 777 points, the most ever for a single day. "We need to put something back together that works," a grim-faced Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said after he and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke joined in an emergency strategy session at the White House. On Capitol Hill, Democratic leaders said the House would reconvene Thursday, leaving open the possibility that it could salvage a reworked version. Senate leaders showed no inclination to try to bring the measure to a vote before they could determine its fate in the House. President Bush, meanwhile, was scheduled to make a statement on the rescue plan Tuesday morning, the White House said.

The Bailout Plan's Modifications Spell Disaster For The U.S. Economy
In looking at the statement from House Speaker Pelosi which outlines the bailout plan as it will be passed, the first impression of it is that the politicians have eviscerated the Treasury's original proposal to the point which makes the plan destined to fail. Failure of the plan to work means that the U.S. will enter a much deeper and longer lasting recession than it otherwise would have.

Who Really Benefits from the Bailout -- Wall Street or Main Street?
According to some legislators and President Bush, the $700 billion bailout package headed for a House vote this afternoon is less a life raft for Wall Street than a means of keeping Main Street afloat. It's a nice sentiment, but as Henry and I discuss in the accompanying video, good intentions don't always translate into workable plans. It's a given that Wall Street and Main Street are inextricably linked, and that plenty of consumers binged on debt right alongside the banks currently on tap for a federal handout. But if helping homeowners and other stressed consumers in order to bolster the economy is the ultimate goal, Henry argues, why not bail them out directly and let the bad banks fail? Either way, one effect may be that Americans rededicate themselves to saving rather than spending beyond their means.

Fed makes billions available to battle crisis
Fed makes billions available to battle credit crisis; pledges to act as needed
The Federal Reserve and foreign central banks agreed to pump billions of dollars into the global financial system Monday to unlock tight lending that threatens to unhinge the U.S. economy. The Fed said the action is intended to "expand significantly" the cash available to financial institutions in an effort to relieve to the worst credit crisis since the Great Depression. In taking the action, the Fed cited "continued strains" in the demand for short-term funding. Central banks will continue to work closely and are prepared to take "appropriate steps as needed" to ease the crisis and get banks lending again, the Fed said. Under one new step, the Fed will boost the amount of 84-day cash loans available to U.S. banks. The Fed is increasing the amount to $75 billion, up from the current $25 billion starting on Oct. 6. Banks bid on a slice of the loans at an auction.

After Bailout, Economy Will Still Be Lousy
Prepare to be disappointed: The Bailout of the Century will probably do little to make life better anytime soon for the taxpayers footing The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 may help avert the unspecified economic disaster that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke keep hinting at. But for most of us, it's hard to fathom this freakish financial monster lurking in the darkness, unseen by anybody except Paulson and Bernanke. Instead, we cling to quaint notions, like the idea that for $700 billion in taxpayer commitments, we ought to get something tangible in return. That's false optimism. The legislation establishes new government procedures to "protect home values, college funds, retirement accounts, and life savings." Good priorities. But that word "protect" doesn't mean you'll end up better off. No checks are going to arrive in your mailbox. Your retirement portfolio won't suddenly rebound. You won't get an iPod as thanks for your contribution to the Bailout Olympics. You'll simply be spared some sort of wipeout.

Deaf frogs and the Pied Piper
A truly horrible joke from the days when vivisection was still permitted has it that a scientist took to the lab a trained frog that could jump whenever it heard the command "jump". In that respect, the amphibian was quite similar to communist party members around the world, but anyway let's carry on with the story.
In the lab, the scientist placed the frog on a table and swiftly sundered one limb. He then said "jump" and the frog complied with some difficulty. He then proceeded to do the same to the limb on the opposite side and said the same thing - and the frog miraculously managed to jump again. Then the third limb and the frog defied all odds by still jumping with just one limb. Finally, the last limb was split and of course this time the frog could not jump. The scientist wrote his conclusion in the journal, "When it lost all four limbs, the frog became DEAF."
With all apologies to animal lovers, the story resonated with me last week not so much because I happened to pass a French restaurant or two, but rather the triumphant signaling of the end of market capitalism that is being heralded by leftist newspapers and other media outlets globally. Across Asia, the decline of American banks and government-sponsored intervention in financial markets is being seen as the reason for everyone to return to Japanese-style interventionist policies.

Your scorecard for understanding mortgage scandal
Find out who's who in the 'Rogues Gallery' of economic crisis
As Congress works on a $700 billion bailout plan for the U.S. financial system, the FBI has extended fraud investigations to 26 companies involved in mortgage lending. Authorities are attempting to determine whether any of the firms have participated in accounting fraud, insider trading or inflating values of mortgage-related assets. The FBI has not disclosed a list of companies under investigation, but the following are just a few firms in distress and executives under scrutiny.

Broad Authority, Lots of Money And Uncertainty
Congress is on the verge of granting Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. sweeping powers to stabilize the nation's financial system. He would stand largely unfettered by traditional rules, largely unrestricted in his ability to spend $700 billion of federal money. The Treasury Department would decide what kind of assets to buy, and which financial firms could sell them. It would decide how much to pay. And it would hire firms to manage its acquisitions, without having to obey the normal rules for hiring contractors. These decisions would take several weeks, Paulson said. The results will determine whether $700 billion is enough to end the financial crisis. "This is really an unusual situation, a highly unusual situation. And we need flexibility, we need a variety of tools, we need to figure out how to get out there in weeks," Paulson said in an interview last night.

Paulson to get the power he wants
AFTER a week of political brinksmanship and 100 pages of concessions to political reality, US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson seems to have finally won the power and money he asked for to mount an unprecedented rescue of the financial system. If approved by a reluctant Congress and signed into law by the President, the Economic Stabilisation Act of 2008 will authorise Paulson to continue in a bigger and systematic way what the Treasury and Federal Reserve have been doing since March when they committed $US29 billion to facilitate the sale of Bear Stearns to its stronger rival, JPMorgan Chase. And although the initial focus will be on home mortgages and mortgage-backed securities, there remains enough flexibility in the legislation for Paulson to tackle similar problems with car loans, credit card debt and loans for commercial real estate.

Americans get the wool pulled over their eyes
The money men have been well prepared for the crisis sweeping the world. IN THE mid-1980s, at the height of the savings and loan scandal - a smaller crisis than what is now gripping the US, but almost an identical harbinger of promises to come - the popular Phil Donahue TV show devoted a program to the situation. An angry man from the audience demanded to know: "Why can't the government pay for these debts instead of the people?" Now we see the financial titans demanding: "Why can't the public pay for these debts instead of us?" Or even more grandly: "Why can't foreign taxpayers do so?" Back in the 1980s, the audience at Donahue's show erupted in applause at the suggestion the government, not the taxpayer, foot the bill. I expect millions of American's in their lounge rooms roundly agreed. Americans had forgotten they were the government. Years of populist politics of blaming Washington, or "big government", for their woes - the Reagan revolution - had convinced Americans their government was some sort of occupying entity determined to fleece them. So the bail-out, or bail-up, of the 1980s passed partly because Americans were sufficiently ignorant to believe that they, the people, were not their own government.

No bailout for bankruptcy
Lending lobby thwarts homeowner relief plan
As congressional negotiators labored over the $700 billion financial bailout plan last week, business leaders saw little to applaud in more than a few of the ideas under discussion, including demands for limits on executive compensation. But one proposal aroused particular ire: changing the nation's bankruptcy laws to make it easier for homeowners to downsize troubled home mortgages. And on Sunday, when the head-banging ended and the dust cleared, a coalition of banking and mortgage industry lobbyists had reason to celebrate: The final bill included no changes in federal bankruptcy laws. The business lobbyists' victory infuriated such pillars of the Democratic establishment as major labor unions and consumer groups. Behind the scenes, however, proponents of the change proved no match for a coalition that included the American Bankers Association, the Mortgage Bankers Association and the home builders lobby. Starting with a core of Republicans who adamantly opposed any such change, the coalition persuaded key Democratic leaders in Congress that pushing the idea could doom the rescue effort and endanger the whole economy.

Banks warned on hiding credit exposure
The prudential regulator has warned the big banks to scrutinise their overall loan exposure to financial companies and their satellite funds as turmoil continues on global markets. The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) is concerned the banks may be treating loans to companies such as Macquarie Group, Babcock & Brown and Challenger Financial and their listed funds as separate exposures, as this could allow the banks to avoid reporting them to the regulator, The Australian Financial Review reports. Prudential standards dictate that lenders must advise APRA of exposures that exceed 10 per cent of their lending books. Similarly, banks are not allowed to lend more than 25 per cent of their loan book to a single entity without APRA's permission.

A changed financial landscape
For our country's sake, I hope our Washington politicians worked out a mindful financial sector bailout package over the weekend. Not that I am pro-bailout or for government intervention. It's just that our financial system is teetering at the precipice. The federal takeover and "sale" of Washington Mutual, our nation's largest bank failure to date, was yet another major body blow. Confidence has now been shaken so brutally that our policymakers can do little to repair the damage. Yet at this point, stop-gap measures to restrain collapse seem more appealing to me than no measures at all. The financial structure that fueled myriad credit bubbles, asset bubbles, economic bubbles and overliquefied the entire world is today no longer viable. Wall Street finance is at this point an unmitigated bust, with a few of the "holdout" sectors (ie the credit default market and the hedge fund community) now succumbing. The great financial alchemy of transforming endless risky loans into perceived safe and liquid "money"-like instruments has run its historic course.

RBA pumps billions into the market
THE Reserve Bank is pumping money into financial markets at a record rate while nervous investors seek confirmation of the US Government's plan to rid banks of troublesome assets. The RBA yesterday accepted Authorised Deposit Taking Institution (ADI) securities worth $2.7 billion, on top of a surplus system cash position of $424 million. And the liquidity injection of more than $3.1 billion means the central bank has a record $10.7 billion out in the financial markets. Even so, long-term debt markets are still frozen, and Elstree Investment Management director Campbell Dawson said it was too early to tell whether the US Government's $US700 billion ($A840 billion) bail-out would loosen things up. "The only way you can get money is basically through banks," he said, explaining that some of the bigger requests for funds were allegedly being refused. The US House of Representatives and the Senate are scheduled to vote on the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP) legislation early this week but it is not clear that it has enough votes to pass the lower house. The TARP would accept responsibility for the so-called "toxic" assets held by many US financial institutions, disposing of them over several years.

US Congress's Rescue Plan Could Pose Pain For Weakest Banks
A nearly final version of the federal government's rescue plan for the U.S. financial system presents some tough choices for the nations' weakest firms. The House of Representatives is likely to vote on the $700 billion measure on Monday, with the Senate moving after the House. A nearly final working draft includes provisions that will make public the prices at which the U.S. Treasury buys troubled mortgage assets from financial institutions, and will also allow Congress to recoup from participating firms any losses suffered by taxpayers after a period of five years. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., on Sunday evening said that the provision giving taxpayers the right to recoup all losses from participating institutions "a major, major change" over the bill' previous format. She said the provision met "much resistance" from the administration, but is nonetheless likely to be included in the bill's final version. "In any case where there is a shortfall," for taxpayers after five years, the draft says, "the President shall submit a legislative proposal that recoups from the financial industry an amount equal to the shortfall" so that any enduring cost to taxpayers "does not add to the deficit or national debt."

Plan B for Bailout Looks to New Deal For Inspiration
What if it doesn’t work? Contrary to popular belief, House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank , D-Mass., and Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson have a Plan B for the massive financial bailout bill, Frank said Sunday night. Should the bill (HR 3997) fail, Frank said, congressional leaders and the administration would look back to President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal for answers. But that would mean greater government intervention, not less, he warned. “Should we decide that to get us out of this hole there needs to be what was referred to under the New Deal as the Homeowners Loan Corporation . . . it may have to be a more substantial participation by the federal government,” Frank said. At the core of the current financial crisis are mortgage foreclosures - a number that reached more than 272,000 in July. Frank said the backup plan would directly address that issue. It would be based on the Home Owners’ Loan Corporation (HOLC), an agency established by Roosevelt in 1933 in the depths of the Great Depression.

It’s not just Wall Street with its back to the wall
I’m in shock. Can this crisis get any worse?
My instinct is it can. My deep concern is it will.

This time last week, the world was breathing a sigh of relief. The “bailout” had just been announced - and share prices shot up in celebration. Financial markets were jubilant US Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson was coming to the rescue. Even inter-bank rates – what banks charge to lend to each other - were falling. So last weekend, as Paulson purred, we all saw a light at the end of the tunnel. Yet, as we now know, that light was an oncoming train. Last weekend I warned, despite the euphoria, the bailout could cause an “almighty, debilitating political dust-up”. Unfortunately, that’s what happened. Having spent the last few days in the US, I can vouch voters are very, very angry about feather-bedding a bunch of overpaid bankers. Even in New York, a city that lives and breaths high finance, the tabloids screamed “Fraud Street” - aimed directly at the Wall Street crowd.

Bailout's Bottom Line: It's a Confidence Game
For all the economic debate and political wrangling, the $700 bailout package comes down to one word: Confidence. "This is about market confidence and the tools to do the job," Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson said last week during Congressional hearings on the $700 bailout plan, which is set for a House vote this afternoon. Paulson's point is financial institutions have lost confidence in each other -- credit spreads show banks are refusing to lend to each other, much less consumers or business - and only massive government intervention can restore it. The acute nature of the market was on stark display Monday as financial institutions across the globe faced disaster:

Sarkozy calls for global crisis summit
Europe’s leading policymakers will convene in Paris next week to prepare the ground for a possible global summit on the financial crisis, Nicolas Sarkozy, France’s president, said on Monday. He said the Paris talks would bring together officials from France, Germany, Italy and the UK – the four European Union powers represented in the G8 group of industrialised nations – as well as Jean-Claude Trichet, the European Central Bank president, José Manuel Barroso, the European Commission president, and Jean-Claude Juncker, head of the eurozone’s finance ministers’ group. "We must not give in to the forces of destabilisation. We must support the banks. But there are structural problems. I confirm my call for a summit in coming weeks to establish the basis for a new international financial system," Mr Sarkozy said. Speaking after a summit of EU and Indian leaders in the French city of Marseille, he added: "Europe has to develop a financial and economic determination as big as the crisis that we face."

Hugo Chavez wants Venezuela to have nuclear programme
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has announced he wants the country to develop a nuclear programme with the help of Russia. He insists, as do the Iranians, that it would be for purely peaceful purposes. "We certainly are interested in developing nuclear energy, for peaceful ends of course, for medical purposes and to generate electricity," Mr Chavez said during a political rally of his United Venezuelan Socialist Party in Caracas. "Brazil has various nuclear reactors, as does Argentina. We will have ours and Vladimir [Putin, the Russian prime minister] said Russia is ready to help Venezuela develop nuclear energy." The Venezuelan president recently returned from Moscow, where increasingly close ties were cemented with planned joint military exercises, energy accords and a Russian offer of a billion-dollar credit line to Venezuela for further arms purchases. Mr Chavez has already spent $4.4 bn on Russian aircraft, submarines and weapons. The Venezuelan president said he had forged a "profound friendship" with Mr Putin.

Venezuela to go nuclear with Russia
Venezuela plans to develop its nuclear energy capacity with the help of ally Russia, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said in a national address. The leftist Chavez -- an outspoken critic of the United States -- said the South American country would develop a civilian nuclear energy program with Russia's help, El Universal reported Monday.

Russia says Gazprom ready to drill off Venezuela
NOVO-OGARYOVO, RUSSIA: Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin told Reuters that Gazprom will be ready to start drilling for hydrocarbons off Venezuela by the end of October. "I am very pleased to note the launch of the first Gazprom drilling rig in the Venezuelan gulf is planned for the end of October," Putin told Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez after a meeting at his official residence on the outskirts of Moscow.

ALMOST ARMAGEDDON
MARKETS WERE 500 TRADES FROM A MELTDOWN
......Without commercial paper, "factories would have to shut down, people would lose their jobs and there would be an effect on the real economy," ......
Cracks started to show in money market accounts late Tuesday when shares in one fund, the Reserve Primary Fund - which touted itself as super safe - fell below the golden $1 a share level. It had purchased what it thought was safe Lehman bonds, never dreaming they could default - which they did 24 hours earlier when the 158-year-old investment bank filed Chapter 11. By Wednesday, banks sensed a run on their accounts. They started stockpiling cash in anticipation of withdrawals. . . . .Paulson knew the $105 billion injection was not a real solution. A broader, more radical answer was needed. Hours after Paulson made his round of calls to calm the industry, word leaked out that an added $1 trillion bailout of banks was being readied. Investors cheered. At about 3 p.m., news of the plans was filtering up and down Wall Street, fueling a 700-point advance in the Dow Jones industrial average through 4 p.m. Friday. By that time, Paulson had announced the plan. It included insurance on money market accounts, a move that started in quiet Thursday morning, when the former Goldman Sachs executive saved the country from a paralyzing meltdown.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Archived Page Link
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Mon 09.29.2008

In Financial Food Chains, Little Guys Can’t Win
IMAGINE, if you will, that a man who had much to do with creating the present credit crisis now says he is the man to fix this giant problem, and that his work is so important that he will need a trillion dollars or so of your money. Then add that this man thinks he is so indispensable that he wants Congress to forbid any judicial or administrative questioning of anything he does with your dollars. . . . . you should be thinking of Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. and the rapidly disintegrating United States of America, right here and now. . . . . In fact, there are roughly $62 trillion in credit-default swap derivatives out there, compared with about $1 trillion of subprime mortgages. These derivatives are “weapons of financial mass destruction,” in the prophetic words of Warren E. Buffett. . . .

Rep. Michael Burgess warns that "martial law" declared last night (Sat, 9.27.2008) . . . by Nancy Pelosi



Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008

[Discussion Draft] Economic Rescue Bill Draft

Capitol Hill Switchboard TOLL FREE:
1-877 851-6437
1-800 828-0498
1-800 614-2803
1-866 340-9281
1-866 338-1015
1-866 826-0044

Main number: 202 225 -3121 - ask for your elected officials in D.C.
Our elected Senators and Representatives supposedly work for us, the taxpayers!
Tell them what YOU think about the bailout proposal on the table.

Burning Down the House: What, or rather WHO (among others, Barney Frank & Barack Obama) Contributed to the Economic Crisis?




Sold to US taxpayers for $700B: banks' bad assets
Congress adds oversight to $700B rescue package that sets up purchase of banks' worst assets
Sold to American taxpayers for up to $700 billion: an unprecedented plan to buy distressed banks' least desirable mortgage assets. What started as a fairly simple three-page proposal giving the Treasury Secretary unchecked power to orchestrate a bailout of the country's financial system ended up as a complex rescue package, with enhanced congressional oversight, some added protections for taxpayers and a slap on the wrist to highly paid, underperforming executives. The ultimate goal of the plan remains the same: buy bad mortgage-related bets from weakened financial companies so they can raise fresh capital and resume normal lending operations to businesses, municipalities and consumers.

Bailout can't hide it - the United States is broke
Even leading Republicans in Congress, including presidential nominee Sen. John McCain, recoiled from Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson's proposal to take absolute power over $700 billion to be borrowed by the federal government and used to purchase every sort of bad debt without ever having to answer for it - not to the courts, not to regulatory agencies, and only occasionally and incidentally to Congress itself. The bad-debt bailout would be the biggest government patronage program in history and would amount to declaring martial law over the U.S. financial system and economy. Even if such martial law is necessary, its implementation should be put in democratic hands - a non-partisan agency with full transparency, statutory standards for its purchases, and close accountability to Congress.

Too Big to Bail
Every few days we hear that another leading financial institution has written down billions more on subprime investments gone bad. Nearly every major financial institution, it turns out, had a hand in loans to low-credit borrowers--borrowers whose ability to pay often hinged on endlessly low interest rates or a strong housing market. How could this happen? How could nearly all the leading lights of the financial industry--the experts in assessing and managing risk--expose themselves to such massive losses? Or, as a Fortune cover crudely put it: "What were they smoking?" A major part of the answer is: government bailout crack.

Bailout bill unveiled, heads to House
Text includes some executive-pay caps, taxpayer protections
Democratic congressional leaders announced their agreement on the details of a massive financial rescue plan Sunday, releasing a draft text trumpeting taxpayer guarantees and caps on executive compensation. The draft bill, entitled the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, follows days of legislative wrangling. "This isn't about a bailout of Wall Street, it's a buy-in so we can turn our economy around," said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in a press conference announcing the agreement. "It comes down to one word: Jobs. So we can create jobs." The bill will be introduced in the House of Representatives on Monday morning, and then will head to the Senate, said Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

Foreclosures are key element missing in plan
$700 billion bailout likely to offer little help for struggling homeowners
Hard as it is to believe, even a $700 billion bailout may not be enough to dig the economy and financial markets out of the hole they're in. By committing such a staggering sum to end the widening financial crisis, Congress and the White House are hoping to deliver a swift knockout punch to the fear gripping the global markets and economy. But to win bipartisan support, key provisions have been watered down or left vague — including any efforts to stop the wave of foreclosures at the heart of the meltdown.

The Real Reason for the Rush?
One of the questions that has come up in connection with this week's scramble to pass a $700 billion bailout package for the beleaguered financial sector is: Why the rush? Why not take some time to fully explore the risks, discuss the financial, economic and political ramifications, and figure out ways to minimize the cost to taxpayers? Although those in charge have attributed their sense of urgency to fears of an imminent seize-up in financial markets, it is conceivable that policymakers could have applied a few more of the band-aids they have been using prior to now so that the issues and prospective outcomes could be examined more fully in the harsh light of day.

Who wins, who loses under proposed bailout plan?
Financial industry a big winner in bailout
proposal, but not so troubled homeowners

The proposal to bail out U.S. financial markets to the tune of up to $700 billion creates a lot of potential short-term winners, as well as some losers. Wall Street and the banking industry are perhaps the biggest winners. Scores of banks and other financial institutions faced with going under stand to gain a lifeline that should allow them to start making loans again. Under the plan that congressional aide sought to put into final form Sunday, the Treasury Department can start buying up troubled mortgage-related securities now held by these institutions. These securities are clogging balance sheets, leaving banks without the required capital to make new loans and putting the banks dangerously close to insolvency.

Financial Troubles Humble U.S. $$
The success of the pending rescue of the U.S. financial system probably depends as much on the central banks of China and the Middle East as on Congress and the Federal Reserve. The U.S. is turning to foreign governments and other overseas investors to buy a good chunk of what could total $700 billion in Treasury debt expected to finance the bailout. Foreign investors also are needed to shore up the depleted capital of the nation's financial institutions, seen in the plan by Japan's Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group to buy a large stake in Morgan Stanley, which is weighed down by bad debt and market distrust. This is a bittersweet moment in U.S. economic history.

A shattering moment in America's fall from power
The global financial crisis will see the US falter in
the same way the Soviet Union did when the Berlin
Wall came down. The era of American dominance is over

Our gaze might be on the markets melting down, but the upheaval we are experiencing is more than a financial crisis, however large. Here is a historic geopolitical shift, in which the balance of power in the world is being altered irrevocably. The era of American global leadership, reaching back to the Second World War, is over.

Crisis puts whole of the west at risk
Thursday afternoon was the moment America realised its version of capitalism is not working any more. You could feel the pain of that eureka moment from Wall Street to Main Street, where the middle class howled at the magnitude of a mooted $700bn bail-out package. The most direct expression of this epiphany was on Capitol Hill, where an apostate faction of House Republicans declared their 11th-hour opposition to the financial plan being advanced by their own president and secretary of the Treasury. Part of what was going on was political posturing ahead of the November 4 election. But at the heart of the rebellion was the fear that, as Jen Hensarling, the Texas congressman who led the resistance said, the rescue plan would lead the US down “the road to socialism”. Socialism is probably stretching it. But there is no denying that the financial crisis, and the Treasury and Federal Reserve’s response to it, mark the end of a long era of US laisser-faire capitalism and the beginning of a period of government intervention and reregulation.

What’s Free About Free Enterprise?
THERE was a time, in my childhood during the Great Depression, when the streets of Manhattan were filled with unshaven men in threadbare clothes, their coat collars turned up against the cold, their shoes stuffed with newspaper to plug holes in the soles. And there were bank failures. A huge bailout plan is being hammered out in Washington precisely to avert this kind of economic calamity. The plan is needed, and it needs to be put in place quickly. But at the same time, we need to ask how the financial system came to require a rescue of this magnitude. This time around, assets are evidently so rotten in so many places that no financial institution wants to risk doing business with any other financial institution without a government backstop.

How quickly we forget the flaws of state ownership
The wisdom of hindsight will be brought to bear with a vengeance this week on the pros and cons of demutualisation. The plight of Bradford & Bingley; the rescue bid by Lloyds TSB for HBOS, owner of Halifax; Alliance & Leicester’s disappearance into the maw of Banco Santander, which earlier absorbed the troubled former building society, Abbey – all this adds up to a sorry verdict on the wave of demutualisations that began under Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s. Yet before passing a devastating black and white verdict, it is worth recalling that the building societies of the pre-Thatcher era were not God’s gift to the customer. All forms of organisational ownership involve conflicts of interest. In the case of mutually-owned building societies, there was little accountability to owner-customers.

Who wins, loses in proposed bailout plan
The proposal to bail out U.S. financial markets to the tune of up to $700 billion creates a lot of potential short-term winners, as well as some losers. Wall Street and the banking industry are perhaps the biggest winners. Scores of banks and other financial institutions faced with going under stand to gain a lifeline that should allow them to start making loans again. Under the plan that congressional aide sought to put into final form Sunday, the Treasury Department can start buying up troubled mortgage-related securities now held by these institutions.

Tentative accord reached on bailing out bankers
Congressional negotiators and the Bush administration's top Treasury officials go to work Sunday on settling the final details of a historic $700 billion Wall Street bailout aimed at keeping credit flowing and saving the nation's shaky economy from collapsing into a crippling recession. "We've made great progress. We have to get it committed to paper so that we can formally agree," House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., told reporters in announcing the tentative deal shortly after midnight Sunday. Congressional leaders hope to have a House vote on the measure Monday, with a vote in the Senate coming later.

U.S. Rescue Plan Finalized, $250 Billion in Funding to be Released Up Front
Congressional lawmakers have reached agreement on the final details of a $700 billion U.S. financial market rescue package that will release $250 billion of funding immediately. The 106-page document, entitled the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, calls for $700 billion of funding to be delivered in stages. The plan will also limit compensation for executives at companies that sell mortgage assets to the Treasury. Also, companies that participate in the plan will be prohibited from offering so-called "golden parachutes". Those companies will also not be allowed to deduct executive salaries of more than $500,000.

Main Street turns against Wall Street
A populist backlash is changing America's political climate.
Inflamed by the financial crisis and bailouts, a form of class
warfare could haunt business leaders for years to come.

In one frenzied month Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke remade Wall Street. Along the way they may also have recast American politics. A month of historic government interventions shows signs of triggering a political version of climate change - unleashing a new era of class fury that could hurt U.S. companies, business leaders, and wealthy investors for years.

The current crisis was seen coming long ago and congress was warned. Want to know why nothing got done? Listen to Barney Franks' remarks when the administrations warns of impending financial trouble...




Power Shifts From N.Y. to D.C.
After Wall Street's Quake, Manhattan Braces for Financial Tsunami
This is the town of money -- freewheeling, high-stakes, high-risk and big-spending. The home of the $20 martini, the seven-figure bonus, the multimillion-dollar condos owned by the titans of the Street. Washington is the town of politics -- bureaucratic, stodgy, conservative. The home of cheap happy-hour beer and clean-cut young interns living in cramped quarters on the Hill, who are about making a difference, not making money. But with Wall Street hobbled by the biggest financial crisis in generations, the culture of big money has lost some of its luster. And with the Street now looking to the U.S. Treasury for an unprecedented bailout, it's suddenly Washington that has become the center of financial action -- creating, at least for this instant, an unlikely shift of power and influence.

Public anger builds over Wall St. bailout talks
As politicians, financiers haggle, readers register fear, confusion, distrust
As politicians and business leaders struggle to reach a deal on a $700 billion bailout for Wall Street, anger is reaching the boiling point on Main Street if readers’ e-mails to msnbc.com are any indication. In less than 48 hours, nearly 2,000 readers filled out and submitted their view of the bailout and the U.S. economy in general in response to a Gut Check America appeal asking them to vote on their top economic concern and describe how it is affecting their lives.

Compromise at top of bail-out’s agenda
One of the most controversial issues was the unbridled authority the original plan gave to the Treasury secretary to buy the distressed assets he deemed necessary. The compromise legislation establishes an oversight board with the power to direct and potentially limit the secretary’s discretion. It is likely to include three heads of federal agencies (the US Federal Reserve, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) and two directors appointed by Congress. It will set up controls on conflicts of interest for investment firms hired by the Treasury to advise on the programme; establish a new Treasury inspectorate to monitor and oversee the use of the fund; require all transactions to be posted online; and make them subject to judicial review.

Backing Paulson’s bank bail-out
The good news is that, after much brinkmanship, agreement has arrived on the outlines of a bail-out plan for the troubled US financial system. The bad news remains the need for such a rescue. Self-evidently, big lessons have to be learnt from the scale of the calamity. It is easy to sympathise with Republicans who oppose bail-outs on principle and Democrats who object to the generous treatment of those whose folly and greed created the current financial mess. But seizure of the credit system is now on the cards. That is not a danger a sane person should run. This scheme is indeed imperfect, but it is also the only one on offer. A sufficiently large number of members of Congress, from both sides, seem to have recognised this grim reality. They have not given Hank Paulson, US Treasury secretary, the $700bn blank cheque he demanded so importunately. But he has got most of what he wanted.

Theme is reform, not rescue, as Paulson plan goes through shredder
Congress makeover shows treasury secretary out of touch with political reality
The words "Wall Street" and "bail-out" are conspicuously absent from a financial plan cobbled together in Congress which is designed to look as little as possible like a rescue package for overpaid bankers. Alarmed by voters' reaction to any use of taxpayers' money to aid banks, Democrats and Republicans have filled the package with compromises, qualifications and ambiguities, to leave it far removed from the brief proposal put forward by the treasury secretary, Henry Paulson, last week.

Wall Street Seeks Signs of Response in Markets
Washington hopes its sweeping bailout plan will get credit flowing again. But will it work on Wall Street? That is the $700 billion question swirling around the biggest financial bailout in American history. The first answer will come on Monday from the credit markets, where this crisis has unfolded for more than a year now. As details of the plan trickled out on Sunday, few economists saw the rescue as a quick fix. Even if the frozen credit markets thaw a bit — and many analysts say they will — the good old days of easy money are over for now. The stock market, which has lost about 17 percent this year, is bound to remain volatile. To many, a recession seems unavoidable.

Bailout vote awaited as European banks struggle
U.S. lawmakers geared up to vote on Monday on creating a $700 billion government fund to buy bad debt and alleviate the financial crisis while European authorities raced to the rescue of three troubled banks. With global markets hanging on every twist and turn in Washington, European regulators on Sunday scrambled to prevent two banks from collapsing. U.S. President George W. Bush said the plan being finalized by Congress provides the tools and funding to protect the U.S. economy from a "system-wide breakdown."

Congress expected to pass rescue package
Key lawmakers who struck a post-midnight deal on a $700 billion bailout for the financial industry predicted Sunday it would pass Congress, putting in place the largest government intervention in markets since the Great Depression. Flexing its political muscle, Congress insisted on a package that gives lawmakers a stronger hand in controlling the money than the Bush administration had wanted. The rescue plan casts Washington's long shadow over Wall Street with the federal government taking over huge amounts of devalued assets from beleaguered financial firms in exchange for more oversight.

Since government oversight was "fundamentally flawed" from the beginning, why should taxpayers trust promised government 'oversight on the bailout proposal?

S.E.C. Concedes Oversight Flaws Fueled Collapse
The chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, a longtime proponent of deregulation, acknowledged on Friday that failures in a voluntary supervision program for Wall Street’s largest investment banks had contributed to the global financial crisis, and he abruptly shut the program down. The S.E.C.’s oversight responsibilities will largely shift to the Federal Reserve, though the commission will continue to oversee the brokerage units of investment banks. Also Friday, the S.E.C.’s inspector general released a report strongly criticizing the agency’s performance in monitoring Bear Stearns before it collapsed in March. Christopher Cox, the commission chairman, said he agreed that the oversight program was “fundamentally flawed from the beginning.”

Constituents oppose bailing out Wall Street 'fat-cats'
Sen. Dianne Feinstein's office has heard from about 50,000 constituents since Congress began considering a financial rescue plan about a week ago - and "only one of a thousand supports it - whatever it is," the California Democrat said. Lawmakers from both parties reported similar confusion and concern among constituents as they spent their Saturday painstakingly, and sometimes painfully, trying to craft a still-elusive compromise package. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Republican Leader Mitch McConnell aimed to have a final plan ready by 6 p.m. Sunday, in time for the opening of markets around the world.

Hedge Funds Are Bracing for Investors to Cash Out
Even as Washington reached a tentative agreement on Sunday over what may become the largest financial bailout in American history, new worries were building inside the nearly $2 trillion world of hedge funds. After years of explosive growth, losses are mounting — and so are concerns that some investors will head for the exits. No one expects a wholesale flight from hedge funds. But even a modest outflow could reverberate through the financial markets. To pay back investors, some funds may be forced to dump investments at a time when the markets are already shaky. The big worry is that a spate of hurried sales could unleash a vicious circle within the hedge fund industry, with the sales leading to more losses, and those losses leading to more withdrawals, and so on. A big test will come on Tuesday, when many funds are scheduled to accept withdrawal requests for the end of the year.

Bailout Plan Gains Key Support $$
The emerging plan to rescue wounded U.S. financial markets received the tentative support of both presidential candidates and key lawmakers Sunday, as days of haggling over the $700 billion package appeared to be coming to a close. . . . Lawmakers plan to vote on the bailout measure on Monday. Final details haven't been released yet, but the agreement will include significant oversight of the Treasury Department's purchases of troubled assets, executive compensation restrictions, the potential for equity stakes in firms that participate in the asset-sale program, and other taxpayer protections.

Rescue bill revealed
Congress details legislation to enact
historic bailout of nation's financial system.

Congress on Sunday made public a proposed bill that would enact a far-reaching government rescue of the financial system. The core of the bill is based on Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's request for authority to purchase as much as $700 billion in troubled mortgage assets from financial institutions so banks can resume lending and so the credit markets, now virtually frozen, can begin to operate more normally.

Rival Republican bailout plan poses stark alternative
Whether House Republicans accomplish what they sought by introducing a sketchy but distinctly contrarian alternative to the Bush administration's bailout plan depends on how they intended it: as a better mousetrap, an ideological line in the sand, a negotiating tactic, or a platform that will let them and their presidential candidate run against Washington, the White House and the Democrats all at once. As a straightforward alternative it is far from the "core" ideas of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson Jr. and the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, ideas that the White House put forward with the utmost urgency. Instead of buying sickly mortgages with $700 billion borrowed by the Treasury, it would make financial institutions buy insurance from the government and throw in a capital gains tax cut for good measure.

Deal reached on financial markets bailout
House vote could come Monday, with
Senate balloting Wednesday earliest

llion bailout for the financial industry predicted Sunday it would pass Congress, putting in place the largest government intervention in markets since the Great Depression. Flexing its political muscle, Congress insisted on a package that gives lawmakers a stronger hand in controlling the money than the Bush administration had wanted. The rescue plan casts Washington’s long shadow over Wall Street with the federal government taking over huge amounts of devalued assets from beleaguered financial firms in exchange for more oversight.

Bailout Deal Appears Headed to Vote
$700 Billion: 'Nobody Believes That's Going to Be the Final Cost'
After marathon day-and-night negotiations this weekend, the $700 billion deal to bail out the financial industry may be close to becoming reality. The Democratic chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, Barney Frank, said the House will "definitely" begin debate Monday on the rescue package. A vote could follow the same day, with the Senate possibly voting by mid-week. Democrats agreed to the deal after accepting compromises demanded by some conservative Republicans and moderate Democrats.

Bailout deal vote, market verdict awaited
U.S. lawmakers pushed to finalize a deal to create a $700 billion government fund to buy bad debt and halt the financial crisis as European regulators scrambled to prevent two banks from collapsing. However, questions abound as to whether the U.S. financial rescue plan, which would use taxpayer funds to buy up toxic mortgage debt, would restore confidence to shaky markets and head off a deeper downturn.

Payback provision in US bail-out plan
The US financial services sector could be forced to reimburse the US government for any losses on its $700bn rescue plan under a breakthrough agreement that paves the way for congressional approval as early as Monday. After a weekend of frenzied talks, Hank Paulson, the Treasury secretary, and Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic House speaker, announced early on Sunday that a tentative deal had been reached authorising the government to buy up to $700bn of troubled assets from financial institutions. The deal envisages historic restrictions on executive pay for banks involved in the programme and opens the door for the government to take equity warrants in those institutions.

Pelosi: This is not a bailout, it’s a buy-in
House vote could come Monday, with
Senate balloting Wednesday earliest

Congressional leaders and the White House agreed Sunday to a $700 billion rescue of the ailing financial industry after lawmakers insisted on sharing spending controls with the Bush administration. The biggest U.S. bailout in history won the tentative support of both presidential candidates and goes to the House for a vote Monday. The plan, bollixed up for days by election-year politics, would give the administration broad power to use billions upon billions of taxpayer dollars to purchase devalued mortgage-related assets held by cash-starved financial firms.

Boutiques provide a glimpse of a new-look Wall Street
A few short weeks ago, way back on September 4, the unthinkable happened: a Wall Street investment bank – Lazard – sold $265m worth of its own stock to the public in an underwritten offering. What is more, this was a secondary offering of shares, meaning that the proceeds flowed into the pockets of the selling shareholders – in this case a long list of the bank’s most senior executives – and none of the proceeds went into the company, which has been around since 1848 and has never needed much more than a drop of capital to operate profitably anyway. The offering flew out the door. Huh? That this offering occurred at the precise moment when the pluralistic investment banking system that has thrived for so long now seems to be coming apart at the seams makes the Lazard offering all the more remarkable. But it also provides a glimpse into what the post credit-crisis Wall Street will look like.

Breakthrough Reached in Negotiations on Bailout
Congressional leaders and the Bush administration reached a tentative agreement early Sunday on what may become the largest financial bailout in American history, authorizing the Treasury to purchase $700 billion in troubled debt from ailing firms in an extraordinary intervention to prevent widespread economic collapse. Officials said that Congressional staff members would work through the night to finalize the language of the agreement and draft a bill, and that the bill would be brought to the House floor for a vote on Monday. The bill includes pay limits for some executives whose firms seek help, aides said. And it requires the government to use its new role as owner of distressed mortgage-backed securities to make more aggressive efforts to prevent home foreclosures.

Lawmakers Reach Accord on Huge Financial Rescue
Vote on $700B Bailout Plan May Come as Early as Monday
Congressional leaders and the Bush administration this morning said they had struck an accord to insert the government deeply into the nation's financial markets, agreeing to spend up to $700 billion to relieve Wall Street of troubled assets backed by faltering home mortgages. House and Senate negotiators from both parties emerged with Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. at 12:30 a.m. from a marathon session in the Capitol to announce that they had reached a tentative agreement on a proposal to give Paulson broad authority to organize one of the biggest government interventions in the private sector since the Great Depression.

Lawmakers work to nail down $700B bailout plan
Lawmakers work to nail down financial rescue
plan details, which House GOP still must review

Key lawmakers who struck a post-midnight deal on a $700 billion bailout for the financial industry predicted Sunday it would pass Congress, putting in place the largest government intervention in markets since the Great Depression. Flexing its political muscle, Congress insisted on a package that gives lawmakers a stronger hand in controlling the money than the Bush administration had wanted. The rescue plan casts Washington's long shadow over Wall Street with the federal government taking over huge amounts of devalued assets from beleaguered financial firms in exchange for more oversight.

Congress aims to finalize rescue bill on Sunday
The federal government would provide as much as $700 billion in a far-reaching plan to rescue the nation's troubled financial system, according to a draft of the proposed bill obtained by CNN. The legislation is still being negotiated and elements of the bill could still change. The core of the bill is based on Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's request for authority to purchase troubled assets from financial institutions so banks can resume lending and so the credit markets, now virtually frozen, can begin to operate more normally.

Congress, White House reach financial bailout deal
Congressional leaders and the Bush administration reached a tentative deal early Sunday on a landmark bailout of imperiled financial markets whose collapse could plunge the nation into a deep recession. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced the $700 billion accord just after midnight but said it still has to be put on paper. "We've still got more to do to finalize it, but I think we're there," said Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who also participated in the negotiations in the Capitol.

U.S. Democrats seek Wall Street tax in bailout plan
Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives are pushing for a new Wall Street tax that would cover the potential costs of a $700 billion bailout being negotiated by Congress and the Bush administration. U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, speaking to reporters after a meeting with fellow Democrats, said the fee could be assessed after five years if the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office determined taxpayers had lost money in the bailout. "If after five years ... the CBO decides that the American taxpayer has lost money in this, then there would be a fee on financial institutions," Pelosi said, adding that she hoped the provision could be part of a final bailout deal.

Advocates Demand Congress Put Bailout Details on Internet
The prospect of a gargantuan $700 billion Wall Street bailout agreement presents a prime opportunity for Congress, and in particular the presidential candidates, to live up to their promises of using the internet to free themselves of undue influence. When Congress rushes through important legislation such as this upcoming bill, extraneous items of questionable merit are usually thrown in during the final stretch of the haggling process among key staff members behind closed doors.

Whose conservatism is it?
When President George W. Bush went before the nation Wednesday evening to speak about the crisis on Wall Street, he declared that "my natural instinct is to oppose government intervention." But his ultimate recommendation to the American people was the $700 billion bailout plan outlined by his Treasury secretary, Henry M. Paulson Jr. That proposal is seen by some as the latest evidence that the Republican Party has embraced the "big government" ideology of the Democrats. Unsurprisingly, there has been a revolt on the right.

Stopping a Financial Crisis, the Swedish Way
A banking system in crisis after the collapse of a housing bubble. An economy hemorrhaging jobs. A market-oriented government struggling to stem the panic. Sound familiar? It does to Sweden. The country was so far in the hole in 1992 — after years of imprudent regulation, short-sighted economic policy and the end of its property boom — that its banking system was, for all practical purposes, insolvent. But Sweden took a different course than the one now being proposed by the United States Treasury. And Swedish officials say there are lessons from their own nightmare that Washington may be missing. Sweden did not just bail out its financial institutions by having the government take over the bad debts. It extracted pounds of flesh from bank shareholders before writing checks. Banks had to write down losses and issue warrants to the government.

Washington’s waning way: how bail-outs poison a free market recipe for the world
Debating with Al Gore in the presidential election eight years ago, George W. Bush defined a new, humbler attitude towards the rest of the world. “I’m not so sure the role of the United States is to go around the world and say, ‘this is the way it has got to be’,” he said. “I just don’t think it’s the role of the United States to walk into a country and say: ‘we do it this way, so should you’.” In one area Mr Bush might be about to get his wish, though not perhaps in the way he expected. The events of the past few weeks on Wall Street have handed ammunition to the opponents of free markets well outside the financial sector and way beyond America’s shores. A model of freewheeling finance the US has pushed around the world, which had already undergone some tactical withdrawals over the past decade, appears in headlong retreat.

Wall Street, R.I.P.: The End of an Era, Even at Goldman
WALL STREET. Two simple words that - like Hollywood and Washington - conjure a world. A world of big egos. A world where people love to roll the dice with borrowed money. A world of tightwire trading, propelled by computers. In search of ever-higher returns - and larger yachts, faster cars and pricier art collections for their top executives - Wall Street firms bulked up their trading desks and hired pointy-headed quantum physicists to develop foolproof programs.

Congress fiddles while Rome burns
Just nine days ago - Thursday, Sept. 18 - financial Armageddon was warded off when word began to leak about the government's giant bailout plan. The news first broke around 2:10 p.m., New York time, when Bloomberg News moved an article quoting Senator Charles Schumer, Democrat of New York, as saying the government was considering a "permanent" plan to address the financial crisis. (In fact, as Schumer told me later, he had not meant for his words to sound so definitive; he really didn't know the planning was so far along.) Then, less than an hour later, CNBC reported that a plan was being readied by the Treasury Department along the lines of the savings-and-loan bailout of the 1980s. That did it. In the time between the Bloomberg article and the CNBC report, the stock market rose 145 points. In a 45-minute burst right after the CNBC report, stocks rose another 270 points. The Dow closed up 410 points.

What $700B Won't Buy: A Quick Fix for the Economy
Not even $700 billion will be enough to spare the United States from more economic anguish if the government's proposed banking bailout pans out like similar desperation moves during the past two decades. It usually takes years to recover from a financial crisis severe enough for politicians to ride to the rescue with truckloads of taxpayer money. Take, for example, the U.S. government's August 1989 bailout of the savings-and-loan industry. The stock market fell by 12% within the first 14 months of the rescue plan while the economy slipped into an eight-month recession that began in July 1990. Housing prices that had just begun to erode continued to fall for another three years.

Auto Makers, DOE at Odds on Loans $$
U.S. auto makers may not have access to a proposed $25 billion loan package for at least 18 months, Bush administration officials said, setting up a potential clash with congressional lawmakers. The loan package to help companies meet stricter fuel-economy standards was passed by the U.S. House on Wednesday and is expected to be passed by the Senate as soon as Saturday. The president is expected to sign the bill. Detroit's Big Three auto makers -- General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC -- said it is critical they get the low-interest loans soon so they can begin retooling auto plants to make hybrids and other fuel-efficient vehicles. As sales plummet and credit markets tighten further, their need for the loans has become increasingly urgent.

Big Banks and Bumbling Idiots
The really chilling news is that investment banks are being changed into commercial banks, which gives them the right to create - out of thin air, and then loan - money using fractional-reserve banking! Yikes! They are now banks! These greedy, thieving, lying, staggeringly stupid weenies who are at the epicenter of the biggest financial catastrophe in American history are now being given the right to increase the money supply at their whim to satisfy the willingness of customers, and themselves, to borrow the money! Astounding!

Citigroup and Wells Fargo Said to Be Bidding for Wachovia
Citigroup and Wells Fargo were locked in a bidding war on Sunday over a possible emergency takeover of the Wachovia Corporation, people involved in the talks said. The intense negotiations come as concern grew about Wachovia’s stability on Friday, these people said, despite a breakthrough reached Sunday by Congressional negotiators on a $700 billion bailout for the financial system. The government, led by the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department, has been involved in the talks as well, these people said. But so far, the government is resisting pressure to help bidders by guaranteeing a part of Wachovia’s assets the way it did for Bear Stearns when it was sold to JPMorgan Chase in March. The government has also opposed taking over Wachovia the way it did Washington Mutual last week, these people said, unless its financial position deteriorates more rapidly.

'Hope for Homeowners,' Still Long in Coming
We interrupt this financial crisis with a word from its sponsor: the families who are losing homes to foreclosure. They're still circling the drain, to pick up on Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke's colorful metaphor describing credit markets as the economy's plumbing. Right now, the plumbing is clogged with bad securities backed by bad home mortgages. The federal bailout is designed to free up the system. A separate bailout for troubled homeowners is supposed to launch this week. The new "Hope for Homeowners" program, passed in late July, is scheduled to go into effect Wednesday. (That's lightning speed by government standards.) It's designed to allow refinancing for people who cannot pay their mortgage and who can't refinance into something better because their home value is now too low to pay off the unaffordable old loan.

How Fannie -- and You -- Bought a Hapless House
The American taxpayers own Yellowstone, Yosemite, the Grand Canyon, dozens of parks, monuments, wildlife refuges, forests, pastureland, government complexes and historic sites. And now, for all intents and purposes, the American people are the major stakeholders in a little townhouse at 14746 Barksdale St. in Dale City. The titular owner is Fannie Mae, which the U.S. government effectively subsumed this month, though the legal machinations are still ongoing. With the Treasury backing Fannie Mae, taxpayers have a huge interest in the fate of the mortgage giant's assets. They include the 1,296-square-foot, two-level, three-bedroom, 1 1/2 -bath house on Barksdale.

Behind Insurer’s Crisis, Blind Eye to a Web of Risk
"It is hard for us, without being flippant, to even see a scenario within any kind of realm of reason that would see us losing one dollar in any of those transactions." - Joseph J. Cassano, a former A.I.G. executive, August 2007
Two weeks ago, the nation’s most powerful regulators and bankers huddled in the Lower Manhattan fortress that is the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, desperately trying to stave off disaster. As the group, led by Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr., pondered the collapse of one of America’s oldest investment banks, Lehman Brothers, a more dangerous threat emerged: American International Group, the world’s largest insurer, was teetering. A.I.G. needed billions of dollars to right itself and had suddenly begged for help. The only Wall Street chief executive participating in the meeting was Lloyd C. Blankfein of Goldman Sachs, Mr. Paulson’s former firm. Mr. Blankfein had particular reason for concern. Although it was not widely known, Goldman, a Wall Street stalwart that had seemed immune to its rivals’ woes, was A.I.G.’s largest trading partner, according to six people close to the insurer who requested anonymity because of confidentiality agreements.

Want to know if it works? Watch the banks
Earliest measure of success will be how key interest rate is affected
The New Deal it is not. The government's biggest economic bailout since the Great Depression is aimed not at relieving unemployment or reforming questionable business practices, but at resuscitating financial markets debilitated by lousy bets on the housing market. Put simply, the hastily crafted plan lawmakers agreed to in principle on Sunday is intended to revive jittery and fragile banks on Wall Street with enough money — by using taxpayer funds to purchase billions upon billions of their worst mortgage-related assets — so that lending, the lifeblood of the American economy, flows freely again.

A successful bailout? Watch lending between banks
Bailout's success will be evident once banks
begin lending freely to each other -- and then us

The New Deal it is not. The government's biggest economic bailout since the Great Depression is aimed not at relieving unemployment or reforming questionable business practices, but at resuscitating financial markets debilitated by lousy bets on the housing market. Put simply, the hastily crafted plan lawmakers agreed to in principle on Sunday is intended to revive jittery and fragile banks on Wall Street with enough money -- by using taxpayer funds to purchase billions upon billions of their worst mortgage-related assets -- so that lending, the lifeblood of the American economy, flows freely again.

Bailout Too Late to Matter Much
Not even $700 billion will be enough to spare the United States from more economic anguish if the government's proposed banking bailout pans out like similar desperation moves during the past two decades. It usually takes years to recover from a financial crisis severe enough for politicians to ride to the rescue with truckloads of taxpayer money. Take, for example, the U.S. government's August 1989 bailout of the savings-and-loan industry. The stock market fell by 12 percent within the first 14 months of the rescue plan while the economy slipped into an eight-month recession that began in July 1990. Housing prices that had just begun to erode continued to fall for another three years.

Day of Reckoning for Uncle Sam
How did the United States of America, the richest nation on earth, whose economy represents 30 percent of the global economy, arrive at the precipice of a financial panic and collapse? The answer lies in the abject failure of both America's financial elite and the political elite of both parties – the same elites now working together to determine how much of our wealth will be needed to bail the nation out of the crisis of their own creation. Big Government is riding to the rescue – saddlebags full of our tax dollars – to save us from the consequences of the stupidity and folly of Big Government. New York and Washington, the twin cities responsible for the crisis, are now being hailed by the media as the 7th Cavalry, coming to rescue a beleaguered nation.

Buffett warns Congress
Lawmakers face "biggest financial meltdown
in American history" if they don't act.

Legendary investor Warren Buffett warned Congressional leaders Saturday night of "the biggest financial meltdown in American history" if they did not act to secure the financial system. Buffett, by telephone, was consulted by lawmakers who were in marathon talks on Capitol Hill to forge a deal on the administration's $700 billion economic bailout plan, according to two sources. One lawmaker in the negotiations said that the participants called Warren Buffett to get his help in gauging potential market reaction.

Bank CEOs Made Billions Before Crash
As the backlash builds around the country to the proposed $700 billion bailout of Wall Street, a shocking new figure is making headlines. It turns out that the five biggest investment banks gave their top execs more than $3.1 billion over the last five years alone, doubling their pay even as those executives made the decisions that landed the country in this huge mess. From Bloomberg News, here's a couple of highlights: Merrill Lynch paid $172 million to former CEO Stan O'Neal. It paid another $86 million to CEO John Thain, for a month's work, before Bank of America bought the firm. And Bear Stearns managed to give $161 million to CEO Jimmy Cayne before it was taken over by the government. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, the architect of the current bailout plan, got $111 million between 2003 and 2006. He was CEO of Goldman Sachs before coming to Washington.

After the Deal, the Focus Will Shift to Regulation
Even before Congress passes a $700 billion bank bailout that nearly all legislators believe to be both necessary and unpopular, the jostling has begun over legislation that may prove to be the first test for the next president: How to reshape the financial system and its regulation. It is clear that the old system failed — it wouldn’t need the bailout otherwise — but the diagnosis of why that happened may be crucial in deciding what changes are needed. Already, liberals are blaming the deregulation that began under Ronald Reagan for letting a financial system get out of control, and conservatives are pointing to market interventions by liberals — notably efforts to assure mortgage loans for the poor and minorities — as being the root cause of the mess.

Buffett's Nuclear Bargain
Warren Buffett has gotten a lot of ink for his $5 billion investment in Goldman Sachs, but his other deal - the $4.7 billion takeover of Constellation Energy Group - might have been an even better one. How good a deal? Think about it this way. To build a brand new nuclear plant - assuming you can get the permits and the loans - would cost about $6 billion (at least), take about 10 years, and in the end would produce about 1,000 megawatts. Buffett has bought himself a company with 9,000 megawatts of electric power production, including four nuclear plants, for less than the price of a single new nuclear unit. Oh, and he also got the Baltimore utility, an energy trading operation and a few other odds and ends, too. Of course those Constellation nuclear plants aren't new. But they're also generating relatively cheap electricity now, and for the next few years electricity costs are almost definitely heading up. And if Congress and the next president agree on a cap-and-trade approach to climate change legislation that puts a price on carbon emissions, those nuclear plants will be even more profitable.

GM Claims 100 Miles-a-Gallon Volt 'Bragging Rights'
General Motors Corp. said it reached a preliminary agreement that clears the way for U.S. regulators to certify the Chevrolet Volt, an electric vehicle that can be recharged at home or with a 1.4-liter gasoline engine, as the first 100 mile-per-gallon car. The country's biggest automaker, whose sales of pickup trucks and sport-utility vehicles collapsed this year as gasoline topped $4 a gallon, is cutting the mileage deal while urging Congress to approve $25 billion in government loans to help the industry meet new federal fuel-economy standards.

Hong Kong investors in Lehman protest again
Hong Kong investors in Lehman Brothers stage
another protest over banks' sales methods

Investors in Lehman Brothers in Hong Kong held their second protest in a week on Sunday, accusing local banks of misleading them about investment products backed by the failed U.S. investment bank. Holding signs that said "Return my blood money" and "Crafty salesmanship, sugarcoated poison," about 400 people marched through Hong Kong's Central financial district to nearby government headquarters. The protesters complained that banks that sold them Lehman-backed bonds didn't properly explain the products to them and urged the Hong Kong government to better regulate methods of selling investment products.

Israeli Banks Can Cope With Credit Woes, Fischer Says
Israeli banks are financially "strong" and can cope with the impact of the global credit crisis, Bank of Israel Governor Stanley Fischer said in an interview with Israel Radio. "Our financial system is integrated into the world, so there will be an impact," Fischer said in a recorded interview broadcast today. "But our financial system, in particular the banks, is very, very strong. We can't know how changes in the world in the long term will hurt our financial system. We have to be prepared."

Fortis Gets EU11.2 Billion Rescue From Governments
Fortis, the largest Belgian financial-services firm, received an 11.2 billion-euro ($16.3 billion) rescue from Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg after investor confidence in the bank evaporated last week. Belgium will buy 49 percent of Fortis's Belgian banking unit for 4.7 billion euros, while the Netherlands will pay 4 billion euros for a similar stake in the Dutch banking business, the governments said in a statement late yesterday. Luxembourg will provide a 2.5 billion-euro loan convertible into 49 percent of Fortis's banking division in that country.

U.S. installs early-warning radar in Israel to warn against Iran attack
JERUSALEM: The U.S. Army has deployed an advanced American radar system on Israeli soil, an official here said Sunday, allowing early detection of incoming ballistic missiles and enhancing Israel's defensive capability against any future attack by Iran. The system will at least initially be operated by an American crew. No official announcement has been made by either side about the arrival of the system. The Israeli Army said in a statement that while it "enjoys longstanding strategic cooperation" with all branches of the American military, it is not its practice to discuss details of the bilateral activities. But an official confirmed a Sept. 26 report published by Defense News weekly saying that the system had been flown to Israel in parts over the past week and was being installed in the Negev. He added that it would serve not only Israel, but the Americans, too.

Chavez says Venezuela will develop nuclear power
President Hugo Chavez said on Sunday Venezuela will develop a nuclear reactor for peaceful purposes, in another challenge to Washington just days after Russia offered nuclear assistance to the socialist Latin American leader. "In Venezuela we are interested in development of nuclear energy, of course for peaceful purposes, for medical purposes, for purposes of electricity generation," Chavez said at a political rally. "Brazil has various nuclear reactors, so does Argentina. We will have ours."
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Archived Page Link
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Fri 09.26.2008

Time is running out
Whenever a Great Bipartisan Consensus is announced, and a compliant media assures everyone that the wondrous actions of our wise leaders are being taken for our own good, you can know with absolute certainty that disaster is about to strike. The events of the past week are no exception. The bailout package that is about to be rammed down Congress’ throat is not just economically foolish. It is downright sinister. It makes a mockery of our Constitution, which our leaders should never again bother pretending is still in effect. It promises the American people a never-ending nightmare of ever-greater debt liabilities they will have to shoulder. Two weeks ago, financial analyst Jim Rogers said the bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac made America more communist than China! "This is welfare for the rich," he said. "This is socialism for the rich. It’s bailing out the financiers, the banks, the Wall Streeters." That describes the current bailout package to a T. And we’re being told it’s unavoidable. The claim that the market caused all this is so staggeringly foolish that only politicians and the media could pretend to believe it. But that has become the conventional wisdom, with the desired result that those responsible for the credit bubble and its predictable consequences - predictable, that is, to those who understand sound, Austrian economics - are being let off the hook. The Federal Reserve System is actually positioning itself as the savior, rather than the culprit, in this mess!

RON PAUL SAYS "CALL THEM"
With a Rasmussen poll finding support for the bailout at an anemic seven percent, some members of Congress are afraid to vote for it. Call them! Let them hear from you! Tell them you will never vote for anyone who supports this atrocity.

Capitol Hill Switchboard TOLL FREE:
1-877 851-6437
1-800 828-0498
1-800 614-2803
1-866 340-9281
1-866 338-1015
1-866 826-0044

Main number: 202 225 -3121 - ask for your elected officials in D.C.
Our elected Senators and Representatives supposedly work for us, the taxpayers!
Tell them what YOU think about any Bailout. WaMu was resolved without a taxpayer backstop.

Political Posturing, with focus on Bailout Battle, at the
Clinton Global Initiative on Thursday, Sept 25, 2008.
Be aware of and follow this NGO's global agenda at the Conference via the CGI Web site.

Bailout Outrage Races Across the Web
The Internet is flooded with angst about Treasury
Secretary Paulson's proposed $700 billion bailout-
and inspiring old-fashioned street protests

Arun Gupta was enraged as he learned the details of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan to fix the U.S. banking system with $700 billion in taxpayer funds. The 43-year-old copy editor and freelance journalist, who publishes his own alternative newspaper, The Indypendent, needed to channel his angst but couldn't find a live protest to attend. So on Sept. 22, he sent an e-mail to some politically active friends in New York. Within days, they'd planned a protest against the bailout in New York and at 80 other locations in the U.S. on Sept. 25. "I couldn't sit back while this plan gets rammed through Congress," says Gupta. "We live in a digital world, but change has to happen in an analog world. We married the two—the Internet helped us organize like wildfire." Gupta, now working with the online organization truemajority.org, says he expects hundreds and possibly a thousand protesters to converge at the protest near Wall Street. Protesters plan to build a pile of "citizen junk" that the government should also purchase in front of the iconic bull sculpture.

NO AMNESTY FOR WALL STREET
At the time of this writing, the U.S. House and Senate are poised to pass a $700 billion bailout to Wall Street. At the behest of President George W. Bush, the U.S. taxpayers are going to be on the hook for what can only be referred to as the biggest fraud in U.S. history. Virtually our entire financial system is based on an illusion. We spend more than we earn, we consume more than we produce, we borrow more than we save, and we cling to the fantasy that this can go on forever. The glue that holds this crumbling scheme together is a fiat currency known as the Federal Reserve Note, which was created out of thin air by an international banking cartel called the Federal Reserve. According to Congressman Ron Paul, in the last three years, the Federal Reserve has created over $4 trillion in new money. The result of all this "money-out-of-thin-air" fraud is never-ending inflation. And the more prices rise, the more the dollar collapses. Folks, this is not sustainable.

What's at stake for the economy
First, the good news: Even if warnings of economic catastrophe aren't enough to win approval of a controversial $700 billion Wall Street bailout, the economy is not at risk of falling into a depression, most experts agree. During the Great Depression, unemployment shot up to as much as 25% in 1933. That came after the gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic activity, plunged 13% the previous year. Millions of people lost their savings when banks closed without any insurance for its customers' deposits. Few economists are predicting economic pain of that magnitude. Now the bad news: Even if the plan to buy up bad mortgage debt from troubled banks and Wall Street firm does pass, it probably won't be enough to stop the economy from getting worse than it is today.

Alabama Senator Calls Plan 'Flawed From the Beginning'
Everything seemed to be headed toward a deal -- and then Sen. Richard C. Shelby emerged from the White House with a bit of bad news. "We hadn't got an agreement," said Shelby (Ala.), the ranking Republican on the Senate banking committee. "There's still a lot of different opinions. Mine is: It's flawed from the beginning." Shelby has made no secret of his distaste for the plan all week. His strong opposition was a primary reason that Sen. Robert F. Bennett (Utah), a close friend and political ally of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.), was leading talks on the package for Senate Republicans. But it is also what made Shelby's inclusion in White House talks, which were designed to reach agreement on a $700 billion recovery plan, something of a surprise. Inviting a lawmaker completely opposed to a plan to a negotiation usually is not a recipe for reaching a deal. Then again, those around the table could count on him to represent the contrary view, a familiar position for him.

Fed reaches $13B deal
The U.S. central bank expands currency deals with
the European Central Bank and the Swiss National
Bank in effort to increase dollar liquidity.

The U.S. Federal Reserve Bank announced an expansion of deals with European nations Friday in an effort to stabilize global financial markets. The Fed said it is boosting reciprocal-currency arrangements with the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank by $13 billion. The agreement allows the Fed to make another $13 billion available to the two central banks. In return, the Fed will receive the reciprocal amount of foreign currency from each country. Under these types of arrangements, the currency 'swaps' get unwound at a later date. The U.S. central bank's move to increase liquidity by reaching out to other countries is part of a larger effort to restore some level of confidence to Wall Street

Fed pumps out more dollars
Fed increases deals with ECB, Swiss National bank
to provide $13B to banks in Europe; U.S. banks,
Wall Street firms also increase their borrowing from Fed.

The Federal Reserve expanded deals early Friday morning with two of its counterparts in Europe in order to make an extra $13 billion available to banks there, after reporting increased lending to U.S. banks and Wall Street firms. The deal will have the Fed provide $10 billion to the European Central Bank and $3 billion to the Swiss National Bank. In return, it will receive a reciprocal amount of foreign currency from each country. The $13 billion comes on top of the $277 billion in such swap deals that had previously been announced, including $110 billion with the ECB and $27 billion with the Swiss National Bank.

US Mint suspends sale of 24-karat gold coins
The U.S. Mint is temporarily halting sales of its popular American Buffalo 24-karat gold coins because it can't keep up with soaring demand as investors seek the safety of gold amid economic turbulence. Mint spokesman Michael White said Friday that the sales were being suspended because demand for the coins, which were first introduced in 2006, has exceeded supply and the Mint's inventory of the coins has been depleted. The Mint had to temporarily suspend sales of its American Eagle one-ounce gold coins on Aug. 15 and then later that month announced sales of the American Eagle coins would resume under an allocation program to designated dealers. White said the Mint expected to soon start distributing available Buffalo gold coins through a similar allocation program. Through Thursday, the day the Mint suspended sales of the American Buffalo, the Mint had sold 164,000 of the coins this year, up 54 percent from the same period a year ago.

Gold jumps above $920 on bailout worries
Gold surges above $920 as bailout worries
spur safe-haven buying; crude declines

Gold prices briefly jumped above $920 an ounce Friday as a stalled plan to bail out the U.S. financial system unnerved investors and prompted a flight into safe-haven assets. Silver also rose. In other commodities trading, crude oil turned slightly lower on worries that failure to approve the $700 billion rescue package would deepen the economic crisis and further curtail U.S. energy demand. Agriculture futures also fell. Investors fixated on Washington as lawmakers huddled in meetings in hopes of sealing an agreement on the package that would win approval in both houses of Congress. The White House-backed measure would create a repository for billions of dollars of banks' bad mortgage-related debt and other risky assets. Republican lawmakers rejected the plan Thursday and proposed dramatic changes, though officials from both parties said Friday they were making progress.

Wachovia, Citigroup in early merger talks
Wachovia Corp has begun preliminary merger talks with Citigroup Inc, the New York Times said on Friday, a move that would combine two giant U.S. banks battered by the global credit crisis. The talks are early and no transaction may emerge, the newspaper said, citing people briefed on the matter. Wachovia's market value was about $21.6 billion as of Friday's market close, and Citigroup's was $109.7 billion, according to Reuters data. Wachovia spokeswoman Christy Phillips-Brown declined to comment. Citigroup did not immediately return calls.

Wachovia, National City tumble on bailout, WaMu
Wachovia Corp and National City Corp shares tumbled as talks on a $700 billion government bailout of the financial sector stalled and regulators seized Washington Mutual Inc. Investors fear a collapse of bailout talks could prolong the freeze in parts of the credit markets and worsen losses on bank balance sheets from troubled mortgages and other loans. "You're talking about the largest failure in banking history, so there is going to be a negative reaction, right?" said William Smith, president of Smith Asset Management in New York. "What you're going to see is the strong stronger and the weak are going to die off."

"Banker to poor" has suggestion for bankers to rich
If Wall Street's storied investment banks need help easing their financial woes, they would do well to look to the world's humblest lenders, Nobel Peace Prize laureate Muhammad Yunus said on Friday. Yunus, nicknamed "banker to the poor," won the Nobel in 2006 for inspiring a global microfinance movement that has lifted millions out of poverty by granting tiny loans. Started 30 years ago with a $27 loan to women in Bangladesh, his Grameen Bank has mushroomed by providing credit to poor people who do not have access to mainstream banking. Unlike Wall Street, which is reeling from a flood of loans that may never be paid back, Grameen bank has a recovery rate of more than 98 percent.

The frozen pipes of credit
Stalled bailout talks and the largest bank failure in history keep already anxious lenders from issuing loans. Just when it looked like relief was on its way, credit markets seized up again Friday. With the Treasury's $700 billion financial industry bailout proposal in jeopardy, and with Thursday night's collapse of an agreement and subsequent JPMorgan Chase takeover of Washington Mutual - the largest bank failure in the nation's history - bank lending has again stalled. "Things have frozen over again," said Steve Van Order, chief fixed income strategist with Calvert Funds. "Banks are nervous about lending to each other, and the commercial paper market has come to a standstill."

List of no-short stocks is expanding
Stock exchanges now are maintaining lists of companies that can't be shorted, and perhaps fittingly, the "no-short" lists keep getting longer and longer — and they are adding some unexpected names. This week, almost 100 companies have been added to the New York Stock Exchange's list of stocks traders aren't allowed to short, including some surprising names like tech-services titan IBM and drugstore operator CVS Caremark Corp. On Sept. 19, the Securities and Exchange Commission temporarily banned short selling of 799 financial stocks, preventing investors from betting they would fall, in order to help shore up confidence. The agency then asked major stock exchanges to draft their own list of stocks that shouldn't be shorted. The NYSE started with a list of 204 stocks, and that list had grown 299 as of Thursday, and includes many financial firms. But some of the stocks on the no-short list have minimal connections to finance, or an unexpected connection.

190 Economists against bailout
To the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President pro tempore of the Senate: As economists, we want to express to Congress our great concern for the plan proposed by Treasury Secretary Paulson to deal with the financial crisis. We are well aware of the difficulty of the current financial situation and we agree with the need for bold action to ensure that the financial system continues to function. We see three fatal pitfalls in the currently proposed plan.

We Don't Need to Be Rescued (video)
Frank Curzio and David Peltier think that the market will be just fine without a rescue.

Discount Window Borrowings: $262 Billion
I wrote a few weeks ago when Lehman collapsed or AIG collapsed that observing the financial markets today is like reading financial science fiction. This another unprecedented evening after an unprecedented day. There is no history to consult and no markers to guide us. We are flying seat of the pants and at the moment it appears that the pilot has had a heart attack and is slumped over the control panel. We have all read about the collapse of the rescue plan as hopes for a package faded TS Eliot style “not with a bang but a whimper”. I am fearful for the markets tomorrow as the already much stressed markets confront this latest blow to confidence. Consider the level of Discount Window borrowings in the week ended Wednesday: $262 billion. As the Romans said,”res ipsa loquitur” which in English translates to “the thing speaks for itself”.

In crisis, banks pullback consumer credit card limits
After a weekend getaway in New York City, Joseph Lanza logged onto his Bank of America Visa account and was shocked to see that his line of available credit had been reduced to $1,000 from $3,800. Because of the recent charges from his trip, his balance was $970, dangerously close to his credit limit. "I had been trying to pay my debt down to improve my FICO score and also my debt-to-credit ratio," said Lanza, 26, who works at an investment firm in New Hampshire. But despite making timely payments and keeping careful track of each charge, he said, "It feels like I'm running up against a bunch of walls." Betty Riess, a spokeswoman for Bank of America, said she was unable to address the specifics of Lanza's account, but she did say the bank is "taking a more aggressive look at accounts to control risk, given the current environment."

Need for action on the banking panic
Banks are not to be trusted. This is not just the view of the public and policymakers, but that of the banks themselves. Spreads on unsecured inter-bank lending have reached unprecedented levels, particularly in dollars and, to a lesser degree, sterling. Such stresses cannot continue for long, without serious damage to both the financial system and the economy. Something has to be done. The question is: what? Thursday’s spread over one month between the London interbank offered rate and future expected policy rates was close to 200 basis points for dollar loans and 120 basis points for sterling ones. In the case of dollar loans, the spread was nearly twice as high as at any point since the crisis began in August 2007. Market stress has evidently reached frightening levels. If lenders demand huge spreads for such short periods, they are either tightly constrained in their ability to lend, deeply concerned about the solvency of counterparties, or engaged in predatory behaviour. Whichever of these possibilities is true, credit to the economy will dry up. If banks do not trust banks, what do they trust? The answer is: only the government.

Bailout Negotiations in Disarray $$
Treasury's $700 Billion Proposal Hits
Stalemate; Dramatic Gesture by Paulson

Wrangling among the nation's top political leaders threw the Bush administration's $700 billion bailout plan into disarray late Thursday, despite a dramatic day of negotiations on Capitol Hill that seemed to promise a deal. Negotiators broke off talks Thursday night with no agreement and with plans to reconvene in the morning, without House Republicans. It was the Republicans' surprise championing of a competing plan late Thursday that derailed a carefully crafted compromise previously taking shape. Also raising the stakes: The demise of Washington Mutual Inc., the largest banking failure in U.S. history, sent a fresh message to Washington of the fragility of the financial system.

Bailout Would Add Urgency to Washington Handoff
Filling Positions at Treasury Quickly Considered Critical

The Bush administration's proposed bailout plan for financial firms is ratcheting up interest in how quickly the next administration will be able to move new leaders into the federal agencies dealing with the crisis. The question is particularly urgent in the case of the Treasury Department. The rescue plan proposed by the administration would give the department responsibility for buying from financial firms as much as $700 billion of the souring mortgages and mortgage securities that are at the heart of the financial crisis. Although the Treasury Department would in turn hire asset managers to buy and dispose of assets, political responsibility for overseeing those contractors would lie with a new Treasury secretary, assuming the plan is approved by Congress.

WaMu Is Seized, Sold Off to J.P. Morgan,
In Largest Failure in U.S. Banking History
$$
In what is by far the largest bank failure in U.S. history, federal regulators seized Washington Mutual Inc. and struck a deal to sell the bulk of its operations to J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. The collapse of the Seattle thrift, which was triggered by a wave of deposit withdrawals, marks a new low point in the country's financial crisis. But the deal, as constructed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., could hold some glimmers of hope for the beleaguered banking system because it averts any hit to the bank-insurance fund. Instead, J.P. Morgan agreed to pay $1.9 billion to the government for WaMu's banking operations and will assume the loan portfolio of the thrift, which has $307 billion in assets. The full cost to J.P. Morgan will be much higher, because it plans to write down about $31 billion of the bad loans and raise $8 billion in new capital. All WaMu depositors will have access to their cash, but holders of more than $30 billion in debt and preferred stock will likely see little if any recovery.

Government Seizes WaMu and Sells Some Assets
Washington Mutual, the giant lender that came to symbolize the excesses of the mortgage boom, was seized by federal regulators on Thursday night, in what is by far the largest bank failure in American history. Regulators simultaneously brokered an emergency sale of virtually all of Washington Mutual, the nation’s largest savings and loan to JPMorgan Chase for $1.9 billion, averting another potentially huge taxpayer bill for the rescue of a failing institution. The move came as lawmakers reached a stalemate over the passage of a $700 billion bailout fund designed to help ailing banks, and removed one of America’s most troubled banks from the financial landscape. Customers of Seattle-based WaMu, with $307 billion in assets, are unlikely to be affected, although shareholders and some bondholders will be wiped out. WaMu account holders are guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation up to $100,000.

White House calls in big guns as bailout battle rages
The Bush Administration tried to tighten the screws on squabbling members of Congress on Friday as an increasingly bitter Washington debate over a $700 billion financial rescue held Wall Street in thrall. President George W. Bush acknowledged that there were disagreements over the plan, which is aimed at getting bad debts off of banks' books and reviving frozen credit markets that threaten to plunge the U.S. economy into a deep recession. But he said he expected Congress to end up passing legislation. "There are disagreements over aspects of a rescue plan but there is no disagreement that something substantial must be done," he said told reporters at the White House.

Latest Bailout Plan Spin: Its a Money Maker!
Most people are unfamiliar with the evolution of financial management over the years. It began as a clubby old boys network, who you knew mattered more than what you knew. It evolved over time. Starting in the late 1970s, retail stock brokerage became a telemarketing sales business. Although that model is clearly changing, there is still trillions of assets under management today that got that way via the cold call. The cold calling sales approach was developed and refined at Lehman Brothers (perhaps their collapse was Karma). It was encapsulated by a man named Martin D. Shafiroff, who wrote up, refined and perfected various phone techniques. These include the straight line, the first trade, the trust close. All of his various techniques were published in the book "Successful Telephone Selling in the '80s" and subsequent editions ('90s, etc.)

FDIC Press Releases
JPMorgan Chase Acquires Banking Operations of Washington Mutual
FDIC Facilitates Transaction that Protects All Depositors and Comes at No Cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund

Office of Thrift Supervision (Treasury) Statement
Press Releases
September 25, 2008
OTS 08-046 - Washington Mutual Acquired by JPMorgan Chase

JPMorgan Buys WaMu Bank Business as Thrift Seized
JPMorgan Chase & Co., the third- biggest U.S. bank by assets, agreed to acquire Washington Mutual Inc.'s deposits and branches for $1.9 billion after regulators seized the thrift in the biggest bank failure in U.S. history. Customers withdrew $16.7 billion from WaMu accounts since Sept. 16, leaving the Seattle-based bank "unsound," the Office of Thrift Supervision said today. WaMu's branches will open tomorrow and customers will have full access to all their accounts, Sheila Bair, chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., said on a conference call. WaMu's fate played out as Congress debated an accord to end the global credit crunch that drove Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and IndyMac Bancorp out of business and led to the hastily arranged rescues of Merrill Lynch & Co. and Bear Stearns Cos., which was itself absorbed by JPMorgan. WaMu in March rebuffed a takeover offer from JPMorgan Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon that WaMu valued at $4 a share.

Risk of Paulson failing has the markets frozen with fear
Warren Buffett did three things yesterday to help Hank Paulson in his efforts to sell the big bail-out plan to sceptical members of Congress. First, he demonstrated the acute stress in the US banking system by investing in Goldman Sachs, Paulson's old firm, on terms the great bank would once have considered humiliating. Second, he said last week's market panic would "look like nirvana" if Congress did not do something. Third, Buffett offered ideas on how the US taxpayer might avoid being ripped off. You could say that Buffett is "talking his book" as his Goldman shares are clearly more valuable if Paulson's plan is approved. Buffett admitted as much. But put that almighty conflict of interest aside for one moment to consider the Goldman investment itself. Buffett will get an annual dividend of $500m a year on his $5bn of new preference shares. So Goldman is paying 10% for its money - a pauper's rate.

Gingrich urges vote against bailout, labels $700 billion plan ‘dead loser’
Newt Gingrich said Tuesday that any lawmaker who votes for the Bush administration’s $700 billion bailout proposal, a package he called a “dead loser,” will face defeat in November. The former Speaker of the House said the bailout has the potential to turn the election — particularly the presidential race — on its head depending on what Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama decide to do if the plan comes to a vote. The Georgia Republican, talking to reporters at a lunch, added that he expects Democratic presidential candidate Obama (Ill.) to back the plan. He predicted that if McCain (R-Ariz.) ends up opposing the administration proposal, that would give the Arizona senator a chance to truly grab the mantle of reform and rewrite the current election narrative.

For Greenwich, ‘This Is Our Katrina’
With markets continuing to swoon, the next shoe to drop is likely to be hedge funds. That means tough times for hedge-fund filled Greenwich, Conn. (As Nick Paumgarten wrote in the New Yorker magazine recently, “If New York City is the heart of the marketplace, Greenwich is the liver, where toxins are processed and rich bits collect.”) Greenwich collected so many rich bits in recent years that its small population of about 60,000 contributed nearly $600 million in state income taxes in 2006. In other words, Greenwich pays 13% of all state income taxes in Connecticut with only 1.8% of the population. According to an article by Christopher Keating in the Hartford Courant, the town and state are bracing for lower tax revenue. There are no signs yet that Greenwichers are hurting–Saks, Tiffany and Brooks Brothers are still busy and the local Rolls Royce dealers (there are two) say their clientele is largely immune.

Labor unions protest in New York against bailout
Hard hats, transit workers, machinists, teachers and other labor unionists railed against the U.S. government's proposed bailout of Wall Street on Thursday in a protest steps from the New York Stock Exchange. Several hundred protesters yelled their enthusiastic support as union leaders decried a proposed $700 billion plan aimed at reinvigorating the credit markets by relieving financial institutions of distressed debt. "The Bush administration wants us to pay the freight for a Wall Street bailout that does not even begin to address the roots of our crisis," said AFL-CIO National President John Sweeney.

Climbing from the wreckage
After White House meeting, Dems complain of being “blindsided” by a new conservative alternative. Shares fell across Asia Friday morning, and all eyes were on Wall Street as investors and political leaders alike sifted through the wreckage left by a wild Thursday, in which Washington again failed to reach agreement on how to break the credit crunch. Talks were to resume at the Capitol on Treasury’s $700 billion rescue plan, but a high-profile White House meeting ended Thursday on a sour, contentious note after animated exchanges among lawmakers laced with presidential politics just weeks before the November elections.

GOP conservatives present rescue alternative
GOP conservatives present insurance-based
alternative to $700 billion Wall Street bailout

A group of conservative Republicans in the House on Thursday proposed a financial rescue package of tax breaks and a new government-sponsored insurance program for mortgage-backed securities as an alternative to President Bush's proposed $700 billion bailout of Wall Street. Instead of the government buying the toxic mortgage securities, banks, financial firms and other investors holding them would pay premiums to the Treasury to finance the insurance coverage. Democrats said the idea is unworkable and said Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson agreed. The GOP plan, said House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass., is "a mortgage insurance approach that Secretary Paulson said does not work." The idea behind the plan is that the insurance would give investors enough confidence to buy the illiquid securities and establish a market for them.

The Depression Has Begun
Has the Depression begun? Sadly the answer has to be “Yes”. In the last two weeks the two largest mortgage giants in the world (Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac) failed, the largest Insurance Company on earth crashed (all taken over by the US Government), Lehman Brothers went bankrupt (almost taking the entire financial system with it), Money Markets reeled, the two remaining giant Investment banks sought protection as “holding banks” - which means the end of Wall Street as we know it, etc, etc. Stocks are in turmoil, Oil leapt on Monday by the most ever recorded, gold is volatile - and on it goes. -The most shattering two weeks since the Great Depression. Meanwhile the US Treasury is seeking 700 billion dollars in a forlorn effort to put Humpty back together again - tragically too late.

WaMu is largest U.S. bank failure
Washington Mutual Inc was closed by the U.S. government in by far the largest failure of a U.S. bank, and its banking assets were sold to JPMorgan Chase & Co for $1.9 billion. Thursday's seizure and sale is the latest historic step in U.S. government attempts to clean up a banking industry littered with toxic mortgage debt. Negotiations over a $700 billion bailout of the entire financial system stalled in Washington on Thursday. Washington Mutual, the largest U.S. savings and loan, has been one of the lenders hardest hit by the nation's housing bust and credit crisis, and had already suffered from soaring mortgage losses.

Plan reawakens suspicions in Congress
The secretary of the US Treasury and former head of Goldman Sachs is not used to being called a socialist and invited to do remedial homework. Still less might he expect that criticism to come from congressmen and senators in his own party. But in an extraordinary week in Washington, the White House’s bail-out plan for Wall Street has been batted about and sometimes mauled in the hearing rooms of Capitol Hill. There have been dramatic scenes: hours of grilling in packed hearings by lawmakers expressing outrage at the extraordinary powers the administration is seeking; interruptions by protesters holding up placards decrying corporate welfare; the vice-president being “ripped into shreds”, in the words of one lobbyist, behind closed doors by furious Republican lawmakers. Deborah Pryce, a Republican on the House of Representatives financial services committee, on Wednesday told Hank Paulson, Treasury secretary, and Ben Bernanke, Federal Reserve chairman, to "prepare for an advanced macroeconomics class" on their plan. Jim Bunning, a senator from Kentucky, called it "financial socialism" and"“un-American".

Wall of Shame - The Bailout Plan
The bailout plan is the hottest topic around, let us examine some of the plan's unique characteristics:

Talks Implode During Day of Chaos;
Fate of Bailout Plan Remains Unresolved

The day began with an agreement that Washington hoped would end the financial crisis that has gripped the nation. It dissolved into a verbal brawl in the Cabinet Room of the White House, urgent warnings from the president and pleas from a Treasury secretary who knelt before the House speaker and appealed for her support. "If money isn’t loosened up, this sucker could go down," President Bush declared Thursday as he watched the $700 billion bailout package fall apart before his eyes, according to one person in the room. It was an implosion that spilled out from behind closed doors into public view in a way rarely seen in Washington.

Quick rate cut on the table in wake of rescue deal
A quick rate cut in coming days is definitely on the table, several Fed watchers said Thursday. "If they cut rates 50 basis points Monday morning before the open it wouldn't surprise me," said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo/Mitsubishi. "Nothing would shock me. One way or the other, they'll do anything to try to get the market settled down after the systemic shocks of Lehman, Merrill and AIG going out of existence," Rupkey said. The turbulent events in financial markets over the past week are sure to raise speculation that Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke gave Congress a nod or a wink about a rate cut as he pressed them to act swiftly to pass the $700 billion bailout of financial firms. It will probably never be known if there ever was such a nod or a wink - closed doors being closed doors after all. But it will probably be the talk of late night conversations of Fed watchers for years.

Debt Market Distress Spreads $$
Short-term money markets remained in turmoil, heightening the likelihood the credit pullback may harm the broader economy. Inside markets that are hidden to most Americans -- the overnight Treasury repo market, the short-term commercial-paper markets and the floating-rate municipal bond markets -- action was unfolding that will soon affect how companies meet payroll, pay vendors and make investments. These markets allow companies with ample reserves to squeeze out a few extra dollars by investing the cash in securities with life spans of just days or weeks. All that cash helps keep the economy lubricated by distributing money to other firms that need short-term loans to buy inventory or meet payroll.

Big bailout is unlikely to work
The U.S. "hold-to-maturity" bailout plan is really just the new "mark-to-myth," and even its heroic proportions are not likely to paper over solvency problems in the banking system. Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, told lawmakers that the plan to spend $700 billion to buy up bad assets would allow banks to avoid unloading loans at fire-sale prices. "Auctions and other mechanisms could be devised that will give the market good information on what the hold-to-maturity price is for a large class of mortgage-related assets," he said, trying to persuade a skeptical Congress that the plan he and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson Jr. have been pushing will give value for taxpayers' money.

U.S. bailout plan stalls after day of talks
The day began with an agreement that U.S. government hoped would end the financial crisis that has gripped the United States. It dissolved into a verbal brawl in the Cabinet Room of the White House, warnings from an angry president and pleas from a Treasury secretary who knelt before the House speaker and appealed for her support. "If money isn't loosened up, this sucker could go down," President George W. Bush declared Thursday as he watched the $700 billion bailout package fall apart before his eyes, according to one person in the room. It was an implosion that spilled out from behind closed doors into public view in a way rarely seen in Washington. Left uncertain was the fate of the bailout, which the White House says is urgently needed to fix broken financial and credit markets, as well as whether the first presidential debate would go forward as planned Friday night in Mississippi.

Summit ends with no deal
Markets brace after House Republicans hold up agreement
With the two men who want to succeed him sitting close by, President Bush on Thursday convened a historic, high-stakes summit to sell his $700 billion Wall Street bailout package, but the meeting produced fresh acrimony without clinching a deal on the rescue plan. Congressional leaders negotiated into the night with Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. on Capitol Hill hoping most especially to overcome objections by conservative House Republicans about the size and scope of the package.
"If we get support from House Republicans, this could all be done in a couple of days," Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said. Adding urgency to the crisis, a trio of new reports showed a rapidly weakening U.S. economy. Orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods and sales of new homes plunged in August while jobless claims shot up last week to their highest level in seven years, according to the government.

Although Congress Squelches the "Paulson Plan"
it’s Still $700 Billion to You and Me
Did U.S. taxpayers dodge a bailout bullet? Maybe not completely. To be sure, under the $700 billion credit-crisis bailout plan proposed by U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry M. "Hank" Paulson Jr., there were some decidedly scary codicils. For one thing, there was a near complete lack of taxpayer protection. To see what I mean, just take a look at the part of the plan that reads: “Decisions by the [U.S. Treasury] Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.” No courts? No administrative agency? No kidding … As Jason Linkins writes in The Huffington Post, Section 8 of the Paulson plan allows for a "consolidation of power and an abdication of oversight authority that’s so flat-out astounding that it ought to set one’s hair on fire."

Treasury bailout makes new bank deals more likely
Buckle up for more bank mergers. The September tally is already a breathtaking $100 billion, the sector's third-highest monthly volume on record, according to Dealogic. This isn't run-of-the-mill M&A, but rather a desperate scramble to shore up an ailing industry. The fury of activity - including Bank of America's $44 billion acquisition of Merrill Lynch - might have been ready to wind down as exhausted bankers surveyed the overhauled competitive landscape. But a fresh wave of government action has made conditions ripe for the breakneck pace to continue. First, a small window of opportunity was opened by the ban on shorting financial stocks. This was partly designed for banks to find partners or capital by shielding the shares of selling and buying banks alike. It hasn't exactly gone according to plan, with plenty of financial stocks still falling despite the lockout of professional skeptics. But when the ban is lifted, banks may find it gets worse.

Paulson to drive world’s bankers into action
Hank Paulson, US Treasury secretary, will be expected to lobby foreign central bankers to adopt similar rescue plans if Congress is to include non-US banks such as Credit Suisse and HSBC in its proposed $700bn bail-out of Wall Street, according to people A congressional aide said a deal still being thrashed out on Thursday afternoon was likely to include language that Mr Paulson should co-ordinate with global financial authorities to encourage them to adopt similar plans. “You are not going to get a guarantee: it is not as if Paulson can go around the world in the next 24 hours and say, ‘sign on the dotted line’, but it is important to mark the issue,” said one congressional aide. Lawmakers were also keeping an eye on sovereign wealth funds as a potential source of capital to help the effort. It is far from clear whether the non-binding provision would stem a potential backlash against a proposal that foreign institutions regulated in the US and employing hundreds of thousands of Americans be included in the rescue effort. The proposal has won support among some congressional leaders but has created unease in others.

U.S. Government Veers Away From Capitalism
Forget AIG for a moment. Forget Freddie and Fannie, Merrill Lynch, Bear Stearns, and Lehman Brothers. Imagine a company much bigger. Imagine a company that at the end of this year will have spent $400 billion more than it has taken in. Worse, imagine that the company's accounting is so bad, the $400 billion doesn't even begin to cover the whole of this company's liabilities. In fact, the company deliberately chooses to use what's known as "cash accounting" rather than the more accurate accrual accounting. Cash accounting looks at how much cash the company has on hand, regardless of future liabilities. It's like saying if you have $75 dollars in your checking account right now, you're $75 in the black, never mind that you've deferred your car payment this month, quit your job, and have a rent check due at the end of the month. The company also practices dirty accounting tricks like "forward funding," "advance funding," and "delayed obligations," deceptive tricks that hide its precipitous finances from auditors and its investors.

'Race to Bottom' at Moody's, S&P Secured Subprime's Boom, Bust
In August 2004, Moody's Corp. unveiled a new credit-rating model that Wall Street banks used to sow the seeds of their own demise. The formula allowed securities firms to sell more top-rated, subprime mortgage-backed bonds than ever before. A week later, Standard & Poor's moved to revise its own methods. An S&P executive urged colleagues to adjust rating requirements for securities backed by commercial properties because of the "threat of losing deals." The world's two largest bond-analysis providers repeatedly eased their standards as they pursued profits from structured investment pools sold by their clients, according to company documents, e-mails and interviews with more than 50 Wall Street professionals. It amounted to a "market-share war where criteria were relaxed," says former S&P Managing Director Richard Gugliada.

Credit Enters a Lockdown
The words coming out of Washington this week about the American financial system have been frightening. But many have raised the possibility that the Bush administration is fear-mongering to gin up support for its $700 billion bailout proposal. In many corporate offices, in company cafeterias and around dining room tables, however, the reality of tight credit already is limiting daily economic activity. "Loans are basically frozen due to the credit crisis," said Vicki Sanger, who is now leaning on personal credit cards bearing double-digit interest rates to finance the building of roads and sidewalks for her residential real estate development in Fruita, Colo. "The banks just are not lending."

Paranoia with substance
Banks desperately seeking funds as danger persists
Last week the US Federal Reserve, with the assistance of the Bank of England, European Central Bank and other central banks, channelled a colossal $180bn in short-term funds to the money markets in which commercial banks find their day-to-day funding. From Frankfurt to Japan dollars were pumped, while China cut interest rates. But the vast slick of monetary oil poured out across the globe has not succeeded in calming profoundly troubled waters. Money markets remain volatile and extremely expensive, creating serious funding problems for banks – and for the companies that depend on them. As the US Congress mulls the proposed - flawed - $700bn bailout, the dangers for the international financial system do seem great.

JPMorgan Chase buys WaMu assets after FDIC seizure
JPMorgan Chase buying Washington Mutual's assets after FDIC seizes ailing thrift
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Inc. came to the rescue of Washington Mutual Inc. Thursday, buying the thrift's banking assets after WaMu was seized by federal regulators in the largest failure ever of a U.S. bank. This is the second time in six months that JPMorgan Chase has taken over a major financial institution crippled by bad bets in the mortgage market. The deal will cost JPMorgan Chase $1.9 billion, and the bank said in a statement it planned to write down WaMu's loan portfolio by approximately $31 billion. JPMorgan Chase, which acquired Bear Stearns Cos. last March, also said it would sell $8 billion in common stock to raise its capital position. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which insures bank deposits, said it would not have to dip into the insurance fund as a result of the seizure. There had been concerns that the fund, which took a big hit after the seizure in July of IndyMac Bank, could be depleted by a WaMu seizure.

Rationale fails to win full agreement
When Hank Paulson first laid out the logic of the $700bn (£381bn) rescue plan he put it in the following terms. Illiquid mortgage-related securities were “clogging up our financial system” and choking off the flow of credit to the economy. By taking these unwanted assets out of the banking system the government would allow the banks to liquify their assets, cap their losses, raise new equity and start lending normally again. That rationale was swiftly challenged by top economists and Wall Street figures. “The real problem is that the financial system has too little capital,” says Raghuram Rajan, a professor at Chicago Business School. “Buying assets at the current depressed market price will not help.” If that happened, financial institutions might even have to write their capital down further, depending on how aggressively they had marked to market already, fuelling a vicious cycle of forced sales that could further depress asset prices. Ben Bernanke answered that critique in his testimony this week, expanding on the Paulson argument in ways that made it more robust in economic terms – though more problematic politically.

Paulson's 'Bottomless Pit': Beware Law of Unintended Consequences
Shortly before 2:00 p.m. EDT Thursday, news broke that Congress has reached "an agreement in principle" on the $700 billion bailout plan. The agreement would provide the funds in installments, starting with $250 billion immediately, The Wall Street Journal reports, adding: "The details still need to be ironed out with the White House." Of course, "the devil's in the details," and Joshua Rosner, managing director of Graham Fisher & Co., believes this legislation is the result of a "bipartisan effort to conspire against the taxpayer." The conspiracy is one of a lack of transparency, he adds quickly, not an intentional effort to mislead the public. But in their haste to draft legislation, lawmakers and policymakers have failed to consider other possible alternatives to this $700 billion plan says Rosner, one of the first analysts to warn of a looming crisis in the credit markets.

Gut Check
You're angry. I'm angry. House Republicans are angry. We're all angry at having to put up huge amounts of cash to rescue a financial system because a lot of very rich people rolled the dice with other people's money and lost. Now let me tell you something very simple and very important: You can try to prevent a financial meltdown or you can teach Wall Street a lesson, but you can't do both at the same time. So which will it be? You say you want straight talk -- no spin, no bull, no sugar-coating. Okay, here goes. First, stop fixating on Wall Street executives -- there will be time to deal with them later. Even if you clawed back every dime they made over the past decade, it would come to several billions of dollars. That's a rounding error compared with the size of the financial problem we're facing here.

Away from Wall Street, Economists Question Basis of Paulson's Plan
The Bush administration's pitch for a sweeping bailout of the financial system has centered on two simple premises: that the economy could suffer a crippling downturn if action is not taken very quickly and that this action should consist of the government buying troubled mortgage securities from banks and other institutions. But many of the nation's top economists disagree with one or both of those ideas, even as many top political leaders have swung behind them. Wall Street economists have mostly endorsed Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr.'s plan, or a variation thereof.

China Allows Short Sales, Margin Loans to Help Market
China's cabinet agreed to let investors buy shares on credit and sell borrowed stock to help develop Asia's second-largest market after prices and trading volumes slumped, an official familiar with the plan said. The State Council signed off on a China Securities Regulatory Commission plan submitted this month to allow margin lending and short selling, said the official, who declined to be identified as he isn't authorized to speak on the issue. China's action contrasts with regulators in the U.S., Europe and Australia that have banned short selling in the past week to shore up financial shares battered by the global credit squeeze. China's government is betting the changes will boost trading without spurring further declines after state share buybacks helped the CSI 300 Index rebound from a two-year low.

Asian shares dip over stalled talks in Washington
Asian stocks declined Friday over the uncertainty as talks in Washington to reach an agreement on a $700 billion financial bailout stalled. In Tokyo, the Nikkei average dipped 0.2 percent, dragged lower by blue-chip exporters like Kyocera. Financial services firm CSK Holdings tumbled more than 9 percent after saying it would post an annual loss, hurt by the turmoil in global credit markets, while shipping firms slid again on a further fall in a key freight index. Many investors were on the sidelines, watching events unfold in Washington. U.S. stocks futures were down more than 1 percent. As the U.S. Congress struggled to find agreement on modifying a proposal on the housing market crisis, a group of ultraconservative Republican lawmakers proposed an alternative mortgage insurance plan

Asian Stocks Decline After Bailout Imperiled; Mitsui Slides
Asian stocks fell for a fourth day after talks on a U.S. financial rescue plan stalled, Washington Mutual Inc. became the nation's biggest bank failure and shipping rates slumped the most in 23 years. Woori Finance Holdings Co. fell 4.5 percent on concern the credit crisis is deepening after Republicans splintered over the proposed $700 billion bailout and WaMu was seized by regulators. Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd., Japan's largest operator of dry-bulk ships, lost 3.8 percent. "The assumption is that the bailout will take longer than expected, which is negative," said Tsuyoshi Shimizu, a senior fund manager at Mizuho Asset Management Co., which oversees $26 billion. "As with Washington Mutual, the longer it takes to pass something, the more victims we're going to see."

Maybank Asks for Review, Extension of Indonesian Deal
Malayan Banking Bhd. was asked by the Malaysia's central bank to renegotiate for a lower price on its $2.7 billion acquisition of PT Bank Internasional Indonesia to avoid losses stemming from the global financial turmoil. Maybank, as Malaysia's biggest bank by assets is known, should seek an extension to today's deadline for the completion of the purchase, according to a statement dated yesterday. Approval of Bank Negara Malaysia, the central bank, for the transaction is subject to the new price, Maybank added. The central bank's decision may boost Maybank's shares after they resume trade on speculation the Kuala Lumpur-based lender may walk away from the deal, which investors judged expensive. Indonesia's benchmark stock index has declined 24 percent since Maybank agreed to purchase Bank Internasional as a global credit crisis threatens to cut earnings at companies.

Dollar Whacked by Slowing Economy
The U.S. dollar lost more ground against the yen and euro on Thursday after data showing weaker-than-expected weekly jobless claims and durable goods orders for August. The euro last traded up 0.7 percent at $1.4711, compared with $1.4685 before the release of the data. The dollar fell to 105.82 yen from 106.05 yen before the data. "Not looking too good at all," said George Davis, chief technical analyst at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto. "Obviously the data reinforces the slowdown in the U.S. economy and it is likely to generate some short term U.S. dollar weakness." New orders for long-lasting manufactured goods dropped by a sharper-than-expected 4.5 percent in August as demand for transportation equipment and many other costly items plummeted, the Commerce Department said. Economists surveyed by Reuters had forecast a 1.6 percent decline in August orders.

We need a new Global Monetary Authority
Even if the US’s massive financial rescue operation succeeds, it should be followed by something even more far-reaching – the establishment of a Global Monetary Authority to oversee markets that have become borderless. Washington recognises that the crisis has become global. Hank Paulson, Treasury secretary, has said that foreign banks operating in the US will be eligible for federal assistance and he is urging other nations to fashion their own bail-out programmes. Central banks have also been synchronising injections of funds into markets. These should be steps to a more comprehensive international response designed not just to extinguish the current fires, but to rebuild and maintain the capital markets for the longer term. The current global institutional apparatus is woefully incapable of overseeing the financial system that is evolving. The International Monetary Fund is irrelevant to this crisis, the Group of Seven leading industrial countries lacks legitimacy in a world where China, Brazil and others are big players, and the Bank for International Settlement has no operational role. The US Federal Reserve is too besieged to act as a global central bank.

Libor rate soars worldwide
Money-market rates around the world soared on mounting concern the U.S. Treasury's $700 billion bailout plan will be diluted as it makes its way through Congress, causing financial institutions to hoard cash. The three-month London interbank offered rate, or Libor, that banks charge each other for dollar loans jumped today by the most since 1999 and the euro rate rose to the highest level since November 2000. Rates in Hong Kong and Singapore climbed as Bank of East Asia faced a run Wednesday on deposits. The difference between the three-month dollar rate and the overnight indexed swap rate, the Libor-OIS spread, widened to the most on record. "Liquidity in the money markets in maturities over a week is desperately scarce," said Tim Bond, head of global asset allocation at Barclays Capital in London. "A near-term solution to the crisis is urgent. Unchecked, the current crisis would turn into a self-reinforcing vortex of defaults, bank capital contraction and deep recession within a matter of weeks."

U.S. president's speech received coldly in Germany
Trans-Atlantic sniping over the global financial crisis intensified Thursday after President Bush cited an influx of foreign money into the United States as one of the root causes of the credit crunch. Peer Steinbrück, the German finance minister, countered in a speech in Berlin that the conditions that gave rise to the current turmoil in the markets were allowed to develop because of a reckless pursuit of short-term profit and huge bonuses in "Anglo-Saxon" financial centers — along with a lack of political backbone to stand up to what he characterized as bankers' greed. "Investment bankers and politicians in New York, Washington and London were not willing to give these up," he said. "The financial market crisis is above all an American problem"

Sarkozy sets out bigger state role
Nicolas Sarkozy, France’s president, on Thursday delivered a ringing endorsement of global capitalism but said its values and practices must be fundamentally rethought in the face of the biggest financial crisis since the 1930s. He also outlined plans to strengthen the state’s role in the economy by under?writing all savers’ deposits in French bank accounts and extending regulation to every financial institution and fund. In a sombre speech to 4,000 supporters in Toulon, Mr Sarkozy said the current crisis had killed off the doctrinaire beliefs that followed the fall of the Berlin Wall that democracy and the market were the solutions to all mankind’s problems. “The idea of an all-powerful market without any rules and any political intervention is mad,” he said. "Self-regulation is finished. Laisser faire is finished. The all-powerful market that is always right is finished."

Russian Banks' Outlook Rated as 'Negative' by Moody's
The outlook for Russia's banking system was rated "negative'' by Moody's Investors Services amid financial volatility that forced lenders to borrow $13 billion at an emergency auction and led to a two-day equities trading halt. Slowing asset growth, higher inflation, the slump in equities and funds leaving the country may result in deteriorating fundamentals for banks, Moody's said in its Banking System Outlook for Russia report today. Russia halted stock market trading and rushed to pledge more than $100 billion in emergency funding last week to stem the country's worst financial crisis since the government defaulted on domestic debt in 1998. Capital outflows followed last month's war in Georgia, the drop in commodity prices and capital markets' seizure, leading Standard & Poor's to cut Russia's credit outlook.

New-home sales fall; jobless rate up
Three key economic indicators nosedived Thursday, lending statistical evidence to President Bush's dire warnings about the economy and adding to the sense of urgency surrounding the administration's bailout plan. New-home sales plunged and orders for durable goods fell steeply in August while initial unemployment claims soared last week, a trifecta of bad economic news that threatened to tip the U.S. economy into a recession, if one has not already begun. "The market has taken three straight punches to the jaw today," said Patrick Newport, U.S. economist for Global Insight. He described the Commerce Department report on orders and shipments of big-ticket manufactured goods as both "miserable" and "ominous."

Bank Balance Sheets Strained as Goodyear, GM Reach for Credit
Balance sheets at JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp. and other banks face another drain on their capital as companies tap credit lines. Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co., General Motors Corp., and International Lease Finance Corp. lead companies drawing on so- called revolving loans obtained before the credit crisis began in July 2007. Banks had more than $1.4 trillion in untapped loan commitments as of a year ago, the most on record, according to the Shared National Credit survey by four U.S. regulators including the Federal Reserve.

Major firms on Wall Street face debt deadline
GE, Caterpillar among those in the money-market crunch
A clock is ticking on Wall Street, and it will sound the alarm Tuesday when corporate titans like GE and Caterpillar must start rolling over their debts in stressed credit markets where financing has become difficult or impossible to find. Major companies finance their day-to-day business, including salaries and rent, by borrowing for two or three months in the $1.7 trillion commercial paper market. Many of those debts come due Sept. 30. But since the credit crisis intensified with the Lehman Brothers' bankruptcy last week, buyers have been shying away from the market and it has been rapidly shrinking - falling by $61 billion in the week ending Wednesday, the Federal Reserve reported Thursday.

Orders drop sharply for U.S. factory goods
Spending by American businesses on major items fell in August after three consecutive monthly increases, reinforcing the sense that businesses are nervous about making long-term investments in the current downturn. Meanwhile, sales of newly constructed homes fell for the third time in four months, and prices continued to decline. Orders for durable goods fell 4.5 percent, to $208.5 billion, the U.S. Commerce Department said on Thursday, a $9.9 billion decline. Durable goods are items intended to last three years or more, like automobiles, aircraft or household appliances. A closely watched gauge of business spending, which measures orders for civilian capital goods outside of aircraft, fell 2 percent. And even outside the transportation sector, which has been squeezed by high oil prices, orders dropped 3 percent.

Departing Circuit City CEO gets $1.8 million
Circuit City Stores Inc.'s departing chief executive is receiving at least $1.8 million in a severance deal after resigning from his post at the consumer electronics retailer earlier this week, according to a regulatory filing on Thursday. Philip J. Schoonover, who agreed to step down Monday as chief executive, chairman and president of the Richmond-based company, will receive his annual base salary and the target bonus for the current fiscal year, each worth $900,000, according to documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The 48-year-old also will receive health and welfare benefit plan participation for two years, up to $50,000 in outplacement services and the acceleration of the vesting of his stock options and restricted stock awards that would have vested prior to Oct. 4, 2009.

Credit Derivatives Market Shrinks 12%, First Decline
Credit-default swap dealers reduced outstanding contracts for the first time amid efforts to cut risk by cleaning up the derivatives market. The volume of trades in the worldwide market fell to $54.6 trillion from $62 trillion in the first half, the International Swaps and Derivatives Association said in a statement yesterday. It was the first decline since New York-based ISDA started surveying traders seven years ago. Credit-default swaps grew 100-fold since 2001 as insurance companies, hedge funds and investors used the derivatives to protect against bond losses and speculate on companies' abilities to pay their debt. Traders are unwinding trades and protecting against losses after credit markets froze amid the worst U.S. housing crisis since the Great Depression. Regulators are starting to call for more oversight of the unregulated market following the bankruptcy last week of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.

The credit crunch: Loans out of reach
The market meltdown has caused banks big and small to tighten their credit standards, making it tougher to get loans for a home, car and even college. Interest rate spreads. Libor. Collateralized debt obligations. Unless you're fluent in the language of high finance, it's tough to make heads or tails of all the terms being tossed around in the headlines lately. Simply put, the meltdown on Wall Street has made it tough for many Americans to get a loan to buy a home, purchase a car, start a business or even send a kid to college. And with all the talk of a credit crunch -- some are even calling it a credit freeze -- it may get even tougher.

GMAC's Future May Hinge on Inclusion in U.S. Rescue
GMAC LLC's best chance of riding out the financial crisis intact may involve the lender finding its way into the U.S. government's $700 billion bank-rescue plan, analysts say. While Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke try to sell the package to Congress, Detroit-based GMAC is burning through cash and its bonds have fallen to a record low. The biggest drain is GMAC's Residential Capital LLC home-lending unit, which lost $1.9 billion in the second quarter -- 2-1/2 times more than the auto loan unit. "Internally, everyone's got to be hoping like heck they make it into the bailout program," said David Lykken, co-founder of Mortgage Banking Solutions, an Austin, Texas-based consulting firm. "That is probably the only option they have at this point."

GE cuts outlook, citing Wall Street woes
Wall Street's woes are hurting General Electric, a corporate bellwether, raising fresh concerns that the impact of the financial turmoil will be severe on business profits and the wider economy. GE sharply reduced on Thursday its profit projections for the current quarter and the year, citing the "unprecedented weakness and volatility in the financial services markets." GE pinned the blame for the shortfall on its finance arm, GE Capital, whose global portfolio spans aircraft leasing, commercial real estate lending, credit cards and home mortgages.

Big banks delay decisions on bonuses
Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are delaying their decisions about year-end bonuses as they struggle with the financial crisis. The US investment banks have traditionally set the bar for European and American competitors because their fiscal years end earlier. But the two, which have been forced to seek regulated retail bank status, are putting off their October meetings on bonuses until they have greater clarity about the fourth quarter. Bulge bracket banks have warned that bonus pools will be cut sharply and that top performers will get the bulk of the money. “A falling tide lowers all boats but some people will end up above the river on stilts,” said one bank executive.

Tentative meltdown deal: Bush, McCain, Obama meet
Meltdown deal reached in principle -- Bush, McCain, Obama meet Congress leaders at White House
President Bush and the two men fighting to succeed him joined forces Thursday at a historic White House meeting on a multibillion-dollar Wall Street bailout plan, aiming to stave off a national economic disaster. Key members of Congress said they had struck a deal earlier in the day, but its future was unclear. The tentative accord would give the Bush administration just a fraction of the $700 billion it had requested up front, with half that total subject to a congressional veto, Capitol Hill aides said. But nothing appeared final. Amid several signs that conservatives were balking, Sen. Richard Shelby of Alabama, the top Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, emerged from the White House and said the announced agreement "is, obviously, no agreement."

Financial crisis expected to squeeze developing economies
As Europe and Asia play down the need for an American-style rescue plan, the financial crisis may threaten a different cohort of countries: those in Eastern Europe, Latin America and Africa that depend on foreign capital and share the U.S. affliction of trade deficits. Emphasizing this threat, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, called this week for a multilateral consultation to confront the crisis. "We're facing a systemic crisis and it needs a systemic response," Strauss-Kahn said Wednesday during an interview. "The IMF is the right place to organize a global response to weaknesses in the global financial system."

Buffett's deal versus Paulson's
Maybe the American taxpayers should be asking
Warren Buffett to be negotiating on their behalf.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson Jr. spent a good part of two days on Capitol Hill arguing that the federal government should not demand a stake in any Wall Street concerns it bails out. Demanding such a stake, Paulson said, could scare away many of those companies from participating in the And then Buffett swooped in and announced that his company, Berkshire Hathaway, was investing $5 billion in Goldman Sachs, which made far fewer bad investments than most of Wall Street. Buffett's money will help Goldman shore up its balance sheet. What will he receive in exchange? Something like a 7 percent stake. Paulson, of course, has a different objective than Buffett. The Treasury secretary is trying to resuscitate the U.S. financial system and keep the economy from falling into a deep recession. If he drives too hard a bargain, he won't solve the problem. Buffet is merely trying to make money.

Clergymen join politicians in Europe to criticize U.S. capitalism
Whatever happened to "God helps those who help themselves?" Now even religious leaders are joining the chorus of European critics of unchecked, American-style capitalism, which Continental politicians are citing as a root cause of the global financial crisis. The archbishop of Canterbury, Rowan Williams, wrote in an article this week in The Spectator, a British magazine, that the crisis had been caused by placing too much trust in the righteousness of the market, adding that this had become a kind of "idolatry." Williams cited Karl Marx's criticism of laissez-faire capitalism, saying, "He was right about that, if about little else."

Garrison Keillor: Where were the cops?
Where were the cops? It's just human nature that some calamities register in the brain and others don't. The train engineer texting at the throttle ("HOW R U? C U L8R") and missing the red light and 25 people die in the crash - oh God, that is way too real - everyone has had a moment of supreme stupidity that came close to killing somebody. Even atheists say a little prayer now and then: Dear God, I am an idiot, thank you for protecting my children. On the other hand, the America's federal bailout of the financial market (yawn) is a calamity that people accept as if it were just one more hurricane. An air of crisis, the secretary of the Treasury striding down a hall at the Capitol with minions in his wake, solemn-faced congressmen at the microphones. Something must be done, harrumph harrumph. The Current Occupant pops out of the cuckoo clock and reads a few lines off a piece of paper, pronouncing all the words correctly. And the newscaster looks into the camera and says, "Etaoin shrdlu qwertyuiop." Where is the outrage? Poor Senator Larry Craig got a truckload of moral condemnation for tapping his wingtips in the men's john, but his party proposes to spend 5 percent of the GDP to buy up bad loans made by men who walk away with their fortunes intact while retirees see their 401(k) go pffffffff like a defunct air mattress, and it's business as usual.

Asia ponders the demise of Wall Street's 'superior model'
A decade ago, Alan Greenspan, then the Federal Reserve chairman, declared that Asia would realize that "market capitalism, as practiced in the West, especially in the United States, is the superior model." Asian governments never quite saw it that way. Now, policy makers in the region may feel that the collapse of Wall Street investment banks and Washington's planned $700 billion bailout have vindicated their suspicion of freewheeling capitalism. The implications for investors in the region are enormous. Governments may slow deregulation, rush to the rescue of troubled companies or clamp down more quickly on market ructions. Greenspan made his comments about the "superior model" to U.S. lawmakers to justify a bailout for the collapsing Asian economies during the crisis of 1997 and 1998. He is now accused by some economists of pursuing a lax monetary policy that helped create the bubble that led to Wall Street's implosion.

Gas Shortage In the South Creates Panic, Long Lines
If Drivers Can Fill Up, They Get Sticker Shock
Gasoline shortages hit towns across the southeastern United States this week, sparking panic buying, long lines and high prices at stations from the small towns of northeast Alabama to Charlotte in the wake of Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. In Atlanta, half of the gasoline stations were closed, according to AAA, which said the supply disruptions had taken place along two major petroleum product pipelines that have operated well below capacity since the hurricanes knocked offshore oil production and several refineries out of service along the Gulf of Mexico.

Rice urges U.N. to address Iran threat to Israel
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said on Friday she would ask the U.N. Security Council to take up the matter of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's threats against Israel. Speaking at a council meeting on Israeli settlement expansion, Rice said at the top of the list of threats to international peace and security was Ahmadinejad's assertion that Israel "should be wiped from the face of the map, should be destroyed and should not exist." "The United States of American will be asking that the council convene again to take up the matter of one member of the United Nations calling for the destruction of another member of the United Nations in a way that simply should not be allowed," Rice said.

Russia orders upgrade of its nuclear deterrent
Russia said on Friday it would build a space defense system and a new fleet of nuclear submarines by 2020, beefing up its nuclear deterrent at a time of heightened tensions with Washington. Announcing the biggest defense initiative in Russia for at least a decade, President Dmitry Medvedev said this summer's war with Georgia -- which opened up new rifts between Moscow and the West -- showed the need for Russia to have a strong military. The plan for a stronger deterrent also comes against the backdrop of fierce Russian opposition to the United States' plans for a missile defense shield in eastern Europe, a project the Kremlin says is a threat to its national security.

India open for $80 billion in nuclear business
Indian nuclear energy officials say they would like to do business with GE and other U.S. firms. But if they can't, there's always France and Russia. Even as a landmark U.S.-India nuclear accord hangs in limbo in the U.S. Congress, the global gates of nuclear trade with India are now open. Whether or not U.S. companies get the go-ahead to sell nuclear fuel and technology to India, the country's nuclear officials are confident they will get their uranium. "If a deal with Congress doesn't happen, we will have business with other countries. So simple," said SK Malhotra, a spokesman for India's Department of Atomic Energy.

Bush rejected Israeli strike on Iran, says paper
Israel gave serious thought earlier this year to a military strike on Iran's nuclear sites but was told by U.S. President George W Bush he would not support it, a British newspaper reported on Friday. The Guardian, quoting what it called senior diplomatic sources who work for a European head of government for its information, said Bush also told Israel he did not expect to revise that view for the rest of his presidency. Then Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, who has since announced his resignation, used the occasion of Bush's trip to Israel for the 60th anniversary of the state's founding to raise the issue in a one-on-one meeting on May 14, the sources said. "He took (the refusal of a U.S. green light) as where they were at the moment, and that the U.S. position was unlikely to change as long as Bush was in office," said one source.

U.S., Pakistani troops exchange fire
U.S. and Pakistani ground forces exchanged fire across the Afghanistan-Pakistan border on Thursday, the latest in a string of incidents that has ratcheted up diplomatic tension between the two allies. No casualties or injuries were reported after Pakistani forces shot at two U.S. helicopters from a Pakistani border post. U.S. and Pakistani officials clashed over whether the American helicopters had entered Pakistan. The incident follows a U.S. campaign of attacks on militant targets inside Pakistan, including a September 3 U.S. commando raid on a village compound in South Waziristan. Islamabad has protested those strikes and warned it would defend itself. "Just as we will not let Pakistan's territory be used by terrorists for attacks against our people and our neighbors, we cannot allow our territory and our sovereignty to be violated by our friends," Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari said in New York on Thursday.

Pakistani and American troops exchange fire
Pakistani and American ground troops exchanged fire along the border with Afghanistan on Thursday, a top American military official said, ratcheting up tensions as the United States increases its attacks against militants in Pakistan's restive tribal areas. The clash started after the Pakistanis fired shots or flares at two American helicopters that Pakistan says had crossed its border. The two American OH-58 Kiowa reconnaissance helicopters were not damaged and no casualties were reported. But American and Pakistani officials agreed on little else about what happened. American and NATO officials said that the two helicopters were flying about one mile inside Afghan airspace to protect an American and Afghan patrol on the ground when the aircraft were fired on by troops at a Pakistani military checkpoint near the Tanai district in Khost Province. The officials said small-caliber arms were used.

Pakistan's president calls US support a 'blessing' despite warning not to intrude
Pakistan's president said Friday he still looks positively on U.S. support to his nation despite a brief exchange of gunfire between the two countries a day earlier along the border with the Afghanistan. Asif Ali Zardari's remarks came during a brief appearance alongside Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice after they emerged from an hour-long private meeting with other foreign ministers from major powers. "I look at U.S. support as a blessing. I look at the world support as a blessing to Pakistan," Zardari said. On Thursday, Zardari addressed the U.N. General Assembly and warned that Pakistan cannot allow its territory to "be violated by our friends." His speech came hours after Pakistani and U.S. troops clashed on the ground after Pakistanis fired on or sent flares at two American reconnaissance helicopters. The Pakistanis said that the U.S. choppers had crossed into the tribal Pakistani areas along the Afghan border that are semiautonomous regions where the Pakistani government has traditionally had limited influence.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Archived Page Link
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Thurs 09.25.2008

Capitol Hill Switchboard TOLL FREE:
1-877 851-6437
1-800 828-0498
1-800 614-2803
1-866 340-9281
1-866 338-1015

Main number: 202 225 -3121 - ask for your elected officials in D.C.
Our elected Senators and Representatives supposedly work for us, the taxpayers!
Tell them what YOU think about the Wall Street Bailout.

I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around [the banks] will deprive the people of all property until their children wake-up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs. —Thomas Jefferson, 1802

Ron Paul EXPLAINS the underlying problems with the Wall Street Bailout being shoved down our throats by the bureaucrats of Wall Street and Capitol Hill. . . .




Bailout protesters plan day of action Thursday
The public backlash against the Bush administration's proposal to use tax dollars to bailout Wall Street spilled into the streets "People all over the country are up in arms about this," said David Elliot, a spokesman for grassroots advocacy group UsAction. "Our members are livid, and they're hitting the streets." TrueMajority.com, an online forum for activists, said its members had organized 251 events in more than 41 states to protest the bailout. Several other grassroots organizations were involved in the protests, including Democracy for America, the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now (Acorn) and labor unions.

Bailout Idea a Disaster
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's proposed bailout plan is "astonishing, devastating, and very harmful for America," internationally-known investor Jim Rogers told The New York Sun. Rogers says the current monetary climate in Washington reminds him of when then-Fed Chair Arthur Burns refused to let anyone fail. Rogers insists Washington is making the same mistake again. "We're in for the worst recession since World War II, as well as higher long-term interest rates, higher inflation, higher taxes, a weaker dollar, and substantially lower stock prices," Rogers says. Even worse, Rogers believes it's "embarrassing to see how little the presidential candidates know or grasp what's going on, just like the current administration."

An absence of leadership as Bush fumbles
It took President Bush until Wednesday night to address the American people about the nation's financial crisis, and pretty much all he had to offer was fear itself. There was no acknowledgement of the shocking failure of government regulation, or that the country cannot afford more tax cuts for the very wealthy and budget-busting wars, or that spending at least $700 billion of taxpayers' money to bail out Wall Street and the banks should be done carefully and with oversight by Congress and the courts. We understand why he may have been reluctant to address the nation, since his contempt for regulation is a significant cause of the current mess. But he could have offered a great deal more than an eerily dispassionate primer on the credit markets in which he took no responsibility at all for the financial debacle.

A Bailout We Don't Need
Now that all five big investment banks -- Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley -- have disappeared or morphed into regular banks, a question arises. Is this bailout still necessary? The point of the bailout is to buy assets that are illiquid but not worthless. But regular banks hold assets like that all the time. They're called "loans." With banks, runs occur only when depositors panic, because they fear the loan book is bad. Deposit insurance takes care of that. So why not eliminate the pointless $100,000 cap on federal deposit insurance and go take inventory? If a bank is solvent, money market funds would flow in, eliminating the need to insure those separately. If it isn't, the FDIC has the bridge bank facility to take care of that.

George Soros hates Paulson's bailout
George Soros, billionaire financial speculator, philanthropist and liberal boogeyman to many conservatives, doesn't like Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson Jr. $700 billion bailout plan. Indeed, from his Financial Times opinion piece, it doesn't sound like he'd allow Paulson to manage any of his billions of dollars. Here's an excerpt. Pay close attention to what he says about "asymmetric information," one of his favorite subjects. it's the idea that not all parties in financial transactions have equal access to best-informed party usually has the upper hand: Mr Paulson's record does not inspire the confidence necessary to give him discretion over $700bn. His actions last week brought on the crisis that makes rescue necessary. On Monday he allowed Lehman Brothers to fail and refused to make government funds available to save AIG. By Tuesday he had to reverse himself and provide an $85bn loan to AIG on punitive terms. The demise of Lehman disrupted the commercial paper market. A large money market fund "broke the buck" and investment banks that relied on the commercial paper market had difficulty financing their operations. By Thursday a run on money market funds was in full swing and we came as close to a meltdown as at any time since the 1930s. Mr Paulson reversed again and proposed a systemic rescue.

No Blank Check For Paulson
Billionaire George Soros says giving a "blank check" to U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson would be a huge mistake. The $700 billion package as originally proposed is rife with new risks, including the shocking deferral of power directly to Paulson, Soros writes in the Financial Times. "Mr. Paulson's record does not inspire the confidence necessary to give him discretion over $700 billion," Soros writes. Soros charges that Paulson so far has brought chaos, not resolution, to the markets. For instance, Paulson let Lehman fail and then had to be forced to provide $85 billion to AIG, Soros argues. Lehman's end then disrupted the commercial paper market to the point that money market funds were forced to shut down. Commercial banks couldn't get financing.

An inadequate case for the bailout plan
Under skeptical questioning in the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke gave no ground in defense of their $700 billion proposal to bail out the financial system. They also gave little reason to believe that their proposal would protect taxpayers from huge losses. Instead, they said that any eventual loss would be less than the losses that Americans would endure if lending froze up, as it did briefly last week in the panicked aftermath of the failure of Lehman Brothers and the near-death of the American International Group. The candor is appreciated, but it is not a good enough answer for Congress or the American people. Rather than rushing to approve the $700 billion bailout, lawmakers need to examine alternatives. They should look for one that ideally would let taxpayers share in the gains from any post-bailout revival, along with the bankers and private investors who will make money if the bailout succeeds. Several ideas have been advanced that Congress should examine.

US 'will lose financial superpower status'
The US is poised to lose its role as a global financial "superpower" in the wake of the financial crisis, Peer Steinbrück, German finance minister, said on Thursday as he called for a regulatory crackdown on financial markets. “The US will lose its status as the superpower of the world financial system. This world will become multipolar” with the emergence of stronger, better capitalised centres in Asia and Europe, Mr Steinbrück told the German parliament. "The world will never be the same again." Mr Steinbrück launched a biting attack at the US government for resisting calls for stricter regulations of financial markets even after the subprime crisis erupted last summer, for which he said Washington was partly responsible. In language that went much further than recent comments by Angela Merkel, Germany’s chancellor, Mr Steinbrück said tougher capital market rules were an urgent necessity. "Crisis management alone will not rebuild the lost confidence," he said. "We must civilise financial markets, and not just through moral appeals against excess and speculation. Self-regulation is no longer sufficient."

Total Bailout At Least $1.2 Trillion
The banks will need another $500 billion on top of the $700 billion being requested by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, says bond guru Bill Gross. Gross told CNBC that the government's current plan will help clear up bank balance sheets but leaves just $50 billion in free cash to lend out. "The plan goes far but it doesn't go far enough in terms of recapitalization," Gross said. "The banking system and the investment banking system in total really requires about $500 billion more. Where that comes from is still up in the air." Separately, banking experts already predict that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) could need an additional $150 billion to cover coming bank failures.

FDIC Could Need $150 Billion
The government agency that is supposed to bail out depositors when a bank fails might need a bailout itself — to the tune of $150 billion. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has a "secret list" of 117 banks it is watching, writes David Evans of Bloomberg News. It won't reveal bank names for fear of immediate runs on those banks. So far in 2008, 12 banks with assets of $42 billion have gone under. Indymac, which had $32 billion, was the largest by far. Yet the FDIC has just $45.2 billion to back up its more than 8,000 covered institutions. Meanwhile, Christopher Whalen, managing director of Institutional Risk Analytics in Torrance, California, figures it will need $200 billion during 2009 alone to dig out additional failing banks.

Bosses’ greed releases class war
This week, America discovered class war. Newt Gingrich denounced the Treasury’s $700bn plan to flush the toxic debt off Wall Street balance sheets as a "very, very bad idea" and accused the White House of being bamboozled by its ex-Goldman Sachs advisers. John McCain railed against CEO "greed" and said no boss of a corporation bailed out by the government should "be making more money than the highest paid government official". Rupert Murdoch’s New York Post newspaper ran a two inch-high front-page headline yesterday that simply read: "FRAUD ST". And that’s just the voices on the right. For a sense of the discourse on the left, consider the quarter-page ad run this Tuesday in the New York Times by the Institute for America's Future, a progressive think-tank. It accused Wall Street of "extorting” US taxpayers, and asked:"“Rather than just bailing out bankers, shouldn’t we be helping the folks they victimised?"

Banking after the bail-out
Who would have ever thought that the most sophisticated financial system in the world – that of the US – would trigger the most dramatic government rescue operation in history? Some may see this as a sad indication of the sharp and rapid deterioration in the standing of the country. More accurately, it speaks to how quickly the cruel realities of an unanticipated deleveraging process can alter the policy and institutional landscape. As is now widely recognised, left to their own devices, US financial markets simply could not accommodate the large and simultaneous shrinkage of multiple balance sheets without major damage to institutions and, critically, the system. Last week, the damage had migrated to the essential component of any financial system – the smooth functioning of cash, collateral and counterparty risk management.

Why Mark-to-Paulson Accounting Won't Save Banks
There's one glaring weakness in Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson's plan to save the U.S. financial system: We know what the plan is. Any other problems with it are mere details. Much like the credo of Brad Pitt's character in the 1999 movie "Fight Club," the first rule of market manipulation is you don't talk about market manipulation. Give Paulson a $700 billion check without asking any questions, and the former Goldman Sachs boss might have a shot at kick-starting the credit markets using some mysterious, black- box, trading sorcery. Because the money isn't his, though, he has to give us at least a vague outline of what he's up to. Now, even if Congress approves some form of his proposal, it's far less likely to work because we're all in on the deal. The plan goes like this: Treasury will pay financial institutions above-market prices for garbage assets nobody else wants. Then, through the magic of mark-to-Paulson accounting, everybody else that owns similar stuff will use those same prices, or marks, to value the trash on their own balance sheets.

Dear Hank: Here’s How to End the Credit Crisis at No Cost to Taxpayers
While it’s clear from the current credit crisis that our financial system is at a critical juncture, it’s just as clear that there’s no agreement over how we should fix the problems we face. The reality is that neither the plan put forth by U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry M. "Hank" Paulson Jr. - nor any of the addendums offered up by Congress or the lobbyists - will resolve this crisis. The key culprits are the structured financial products that reside on the balance sheets of banks, dead investment banks, insurance companies, hedge funds and all manner of other duped and unsuspecting investor entities worldwide, as well as the proliferation of the unregulated $62 trillion credit default swaps (CDS) market. Because all these securities, and in the case of credit default swaps, bilateral contracts, are impossible to value and impossible to guarantee, no one trusts them. As a result, everyone is afraid of these securities and contracts.

Asia Needs Deal to Prevent Panic Selling of U.S. Debt
Japan, China and other holders of U.S. government debt must quickly reach an agreement to prevent panic sales leading to a global financial collapse, said Yu Yongding, a former adviser to the Chinese central bank. "We are in the same boat, we must cooperate,'' Yu said in an interview in Beijing on Sept. 23. "If there's no selling in a panicked way, then China willingly can continue to provide our financial support by continuing to hold U.S. assets.'' An agreement is needed so that no nation rushes to sell, "causing a collapse,'' Yu said. Japan is the biggest owner of U.S. Treasury bills, holding $593 billion, and China is second with $519 billion. Asian countries together hold half of the $2.67 trillion total held by foreign nations.

Senator Bunning Blasts "Financial Socialism"
John McCain claims to be a straight talker, but it is Senator Jim Bunning, Republican of Kentucky, who on Tuesday, in front of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Board chairman Ben Bernanke, labeled the Paulson/Bernanke $700 billion Wall Street takeover plan “financial socialism.” He also called it “un-American.” Bunning’s comments, which have been reported widely, have alerted many Americans to the proposed radical transformation of the U.S. economy that is being pushed by the Bush Administration and mostly Congressional Democrats on Capitol Hill. Bunning’s views are consistent with the 2008 Republican platform, which declares, "We do not support government bailouts of private institutions. Government interference in the markets exacerbates problems in the marketplace and causes the free market to take longer to correct itself. We believe in the free market as the best tool to sustained prosperity and opportunity for all."

Dollar falls as traders fret over rescue plan
The dollar took a hit on Thursday after further delays to the US government’s proposed $700bn rescue package for the financial system. As markets grew increasingly anxious over whether the bail-out would pass through Congress undiluted, traders liquidated dollar positions.

The New York Times Spreads Disinformation About the Paulson Plan
Vikas Bajaj of the New York Times is an able reporter and I have often enjoyed his work. I was therefore taken aback when I read his article, "Plan’s Basic Mystery: What’s All This Stuff Worth?" since it misleads readers as to the intent and thrust of the so-called Troubled Asset Relief Program. This is part of a disturbing pattern in the mainstream media as far as the plan is concerned. Despite the considerable diversity of opinion and political orientation among economists, the criticism of the plan among economists has been widespread, verging on unanimity (with Alan Blinder a notable outlier). Yet the press has treated the plan with vastly more deference than it deserves. How did this come about? Perhaps select members of the media got a version of the scary talk that Paulson gave to the Congressional leadership behind closed doors. But that still does not explain the obfuscation of how the plan will work. In a nutshell, the article seeks to explain why a lot of the assets likely to be bought by the program are hard to value, and does a good job on that front. Fair enough. But get a load of the premise:

Paulson's vacuum cleaner?
Would banks and other financial institutions be allowed to act as conduits to hedge funds selling these securities? Given that Ben Bernanke has conceded that it is the government's intention to purchases assets at a "hold-to-maturity" price rather than at a price near market bids, banks favored by Paulson could earn a nice living serving as a market-maker to any entity in the world holding bad paper. Bank buys "toxic" asset from hedge fund, individual, foreign government, whomever, for something above the market bid and then resells to Treasury for the "hold-to-maturity" price, earning a nice spread. All those "blockages" in the financial system might start flowing real fast, into as well as out of our poor sclerotic banks. This adds to concerns expressed by others that banks would acquire bad mortgages and structure new assets eligible for "hold-to-maturity" sale.

A $700 billion slap in the face
The initial Treasury stance on the bailout was one of sheer demand for authority: give us total discretion and a blank check, and we’ll fix things. There was no explanation of the theory of the case — of why we should believe the proposed intervention would work. So many of us turned to our own analyses, and concluded that it probably wouldn’t work — unless it amounted to a huge giveaway to the financial industry. Now, under duress, Ben Bernanke (not Paulson!) has offered an explanation of sorts about the missing theory. And it is, in effect, a metastasized version of the "slap-in-the-face" theory that has failed to resolve the crisis so far.

An inadequate case for the bailout plan
Under skeptical questioning in the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke gave no ground in defense of their $700 billion proposal to bail out the financial system. They also gave little reason to believe that their proposal would protect taxpayers from huge losses. Instead, they said that any eventual loss would be less than the losses that Americans would endure if lending froze up, as it did briefly last week in the panicked aftermath of the failure of Lehman Brothers and the near-death of the American International Group. The candor is appreciated, but it is not a good enough answer for Congress or the American people.

Corruption, Whispers & Receivership
The United States has transformed itself, the most radical degraded aspects having occurred in the last eight years. Many might object or cringe at repeated mention of the Fascist Business Model implemented by the Clinton Administration, and carried to extreme by the Bush II Administration. It is a harsh departure from Beacon of Freedom. Too bad, fact of life! This merger of state and big business in the midst of a climax, the biggest display of exported financial toxin in modern history, and the disintegration of the financial structure for the nation owning the world reserve currency. The Fascist Business Model has criminal fraud & corruption as its chief characteristic, alienation & resentment as its chief foreign effect, and systemic failure & collapse as its chief outcome. Broad war often follows.

Bush and co. talking down economy?
Used to be talking down the economy was something government officials weren't supposed to do, especially senior U.S. officials. Conservatives often bashed liberals who they frequently perceived as trying to talk the economy into recession for political reasons. And on occasion liberals even attacked conservatives for allegedly cynically talking down the economy for the same reasons. Now its open season on the economy. Everyone seems to be talking it down, particularly those top government officials who are usually so guarded in their public comments they won't even discuss in detail U.S. policy towards the value of the dollar for fear of affecting markets. From President Bush, to Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson Jr. to Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke, the message is the economy will essentially go down the tubes if Congress don't pass the $700 billion bailout "national rescue plan" quick, fast and in a hurry.

Congress Close to Bailout Deal as Bush Urges Action
Congress moved closer to an agreement on a $700 billion financial rescue plan as President George W. Bush urged swift action to help avert "a long and painful" recession. "The package is basically done," Representative Paul Kanjorski, a Pennsylvania Democrat, told CNBC today. "The hard issues are resolved. They have to shake hands. They have to smile and they have to have the photo set." The Bush administration paved the way for a deal by making major concessions. They include curbs on executive compensation, help for homeowners facing mortgage foreclosure and independent oversight of the Treasury-managed program. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson also agreed to a Democratic demand that the government take equity stakes in companies it assists.

Credit Crisis Update:
U.S. Stocks Skid as Bailout Bogs Down, President to Address the Nation
U.S. stocks dropped for the third straight day yesterday (Wednesday) on worries that increasingly rancorous debates will squelch a proposed $700 billion bailout of the U.S. financial system even as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke warned Congressional leaders that the credit crisis was already damaging the American economy. As part of his most dire commentary about the U.S. economy since he became the central bank chief two years ago, Bernanke said the credit crisis posed "grave threats" to American financial stability and urged Congress to pass U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson’s $700 billion plan to excise devalued - and even worthless - assets from the banking system, Bloomberg News reported. Noting that "economic activity appears to have decelerated broadly," Bernanke told members of the Senate’s Joint Economic Committee that "stabilization of our financial system is an essential precondition for economic recovery."

Bernanke Moves Closer to Rate Cut as Risks to Economy Intensify
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke moved closer to cutting interest rates, signaling that risks to U.S. growth are greater than policy makers saw them just last week. The "intensification" of the financial crisis in recent weeks is curbing Americans' access to borrowing, making the outlook for consumer spending "sluggish at best," Bernanke told lawmakers in Washington yesterday. While he noted that risks to inflation remain, the Fed chief's testimony focused on "grave threats" to the banking system.

Bringing Down Wall Street as Ratings Let Loose Subprime Scourge
Frank Raiter says his former employer, Standard & Poor's, placed a "For Sale" sign on its reputation on March 20, 2001. That day, a member of an S&P executive committee ordered him, the company's top mortgage official, to grade a real estate investment he'd never reviewed. S&P was competing for fees on a $484 million deal called Pinstripe I CDO Ltd., Raiter says. Pinstripe was one of the new structured-finance products driving Wall Street's growth. It would buy mortgage securities that only an S&P competitor had analyzed; piggybacking on the rating violated company policy, according to internal e-mails reviewed by Bloomberg.

Covered Bonds Head for Worst Month Since 1999 on Credit Turmoil
Covered bonds, securities which Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has advocated to boost U.S. mortgage lending, are poised for their worst month this decade as credit market turmoil erodes investor confidence in the top-rated debt. The bonds have handed investors a 1.12 percent loss this month, the biggest decline since they tumbled 1.41 percent in June 1999, according to Merrill Lynch & Co.'s European Covered Bond Index. Investors are demanding the highest yields, or spreads, to buy the securities relative to government debt in almost eight years.

Libor Soars on Concern Bank Bailout Will Be Diluted
Money-market rates around the world soared on mounting concern the U.S. Treasury's $700 billion bailout plan will be diluted as it makes its way through Congress, causing financial institutions to hoard cash. The three-month London interbank offered rate, or Libor, that banks charge each other for dollar loans jumped today by the most since 1999 and the euro rate rose to the highest level since November 2000. Rates in Hong Kong and Singapore climbed as Bank of East Asia Ltd. faced a run on deposits. The difference between the three-month dollar rate and the overnight indexed swap rate, the Libor-OIS spread, widened to the most on record.

New home sales plummet in August, prices tumble
New home sales plunge in August to slowest
pace in 17 years as prices fall by record amount

New home sales tumbled in August to the slowest pace in 17 years, while the average sales price fell by the largest amount on record, demonstrating the depth of the problem that Washington is trying to solve. The Commerce Department said Thursday that new homes sales fell by 11.5 percent in August to a seasonally adjusted annual sales rate of 460,000 units, the slowest sales pace since January 1991. It was a much bigger sales decline than the small 1 percent drop that economists had been expecting. The average price of a new home sold in August dropped by a record amount of 11.8 percent to $263,900, compared to the July average of $299,100. The median price was also down, falling 5.5 percent to $221,900.

Jobless claims pushed to 7-year high
Hurricanes Ike and Gustav and weak
economy push jobless claims to 7-year high

New claims for unemployment benefits jumped last week to their highest level in seven years due to the impact of a slowing economy and Hurricanes Ike and Gustav, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The department said new requests for jobless benefits for the week ending Sept. 20 increased by 32,000 to a seasonally-adjusted 493,000, much higher than analysts' expectations of 445,000. Wall Street was more focused on Washington, though, where lawmakers and the administration appeared to be moving closer to a $700 billion bailout package for the financial system. Stocks rose, with the Dow up more than 200 points in early trading.

GE cuts 3Q forecast, citing financial market woes
General Electric lowers profit forecast, plans
to boost reserves on financial market woes

General Electric Co., whose shares have been battered by anxiety over the health of its big loan and lease business, lowered its earnings forecast on Thursday, saying the unit's profits were falling and that it was taking action to bolster its reserves. The moves, prompted by "unprecedented" weakness and volatility in the markets, come as Wall Street grapples with the collapse of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, the government takeover of insurer AIG, and the fierce debate over a $700 billion plan for Washington to bail out banks weakened by risky mortgage-backed securities.

US Democrats claim Wall St. bailout breakthrough
Democratic Rep. Barney Frank said on Wednesday Democrats had reached an agreement to stem one of the worst U.S. financial disasters in decades, and that there would be enough votes to pass the measure and send it to President George W. Bush to sign into law. "We now have between House and Senate Democrats an agreement on what we think should be in the bill, and we have a meeting scheduled at 10 a.m. tomorrow to meet with the Republicans," said Frank, chairman of the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee. Proponents of a rescue plan have expressed hope that a bill could be delivered to Bush within days. While the Bush administration had asked Congress for $700 billion for an unprecedented Wall Street bailout, Frank said that amount might not be delivered all at once. "One tranche doesn't work," he said, adding that "safeguards" were needed.

Bush pitches bailout, calls summit
McCain suspends campaign for crisis
President Bush said that the U.S. economy is "in danger" but that his administration is responding with "decisive action," during a nationally televised prime time address Wednesday night. Congressional leaders, meanwhile, signaled they were nearing agreement on a rescue package and said they would draft a final bill in the morning. And the president announced he has invited the two presidential candidates and congressional leaders from both parties to the White House Thursday morning "to help speed our discussions."

Bush's address to the nation
President explains big bailout as high-stakes debate heats up.

Fixing the bail-out
Wall Street and Washington are never soulmates. Building a coalition to bail out financiers with public money would never be easy, especially when this involves massive spending without clear aims during an election cycle. Last weekend, Hank Paulson, US Treasury secretary, unveiled a plan to save US finance by setting up a $700bn fund to buy mortgage-backed securities. By getting them at a price above current market price but below their “fair value”, the taxpayer should make a profit, the scheme would establish a floor price for these securities, bank capitalisation would improve and banks would have swapped dubious assets for clean cash.

Win-win? No. The plan has some serious flaws. In particular, there is no reason why public sector buyers should be better at pricing these assets than private bidders. This could, potentially, lead to significant losses. This is the concern of congressional Democrats, who have suggested an alternative model.

Bailout Needs a Bridge to Main Street
Although it's bad-mannered to crow when you've been right about something, consumer advocates, civil rights organizations and community housing groups should be shouting, "We told you so!" The Neighborhood Assistance Corp. of America, ACORN, NeighborWorks, the Center for Responsible Lending and the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, to name a few, were screaming about the subprime mess and predatory lending practices before it became prime-time news here and around the world. These organizations long ago predicted that a crisis in the housing market would result in a staggering increase in foreclosures and cause the largest loss of personal net worth since the Great Depression.

Paulson's Panic
Why acting too hastily could create even more problems.
Call it Paulson's Panic. That's both unfair and accurate. It's unfair because Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson didn't create the underlying conditions that led to today's financial turmoil, and the failure for not quelling it is shared by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. But it's also accurate, because as world financial markets verged on panic, Paulson himself panicked. He saw no remedy except a massive bailout: having the government buy up to $700 billion worth of risky bonds. Historians will judge whether his outsized proposal was necessary, but the notion that its congressional enactment—assuming that happens—would magically end the crisis seems like wishful thinking. Americans often delude themselves that all problems can be "solved" if only government would act "boldly." This may be another example.

Hedge funds move $100bn into safe havens
Hedge funds charging hefty fees for sophisticated trading strategies aimed at outperforming the wider market have collectively parked $100bn in simple money market funds typically used by investors seeking safe rather than spectacular returns. Citigroup estimates that hedge funds have now placed $600bn in cash, and that $100bn of this is held in money market funds, normally seen as some of the safest places to invest cash. However, last week, those money funds became embroiled in the wider financial crisis to the point that the US Treasury was forced to offer a blanket guarantee on them as part of its attempts to prevent the spillover of the financial crisis into the $3,400bn sector. The extreme measures taken by the Treasury followed mounting fears that retail investors in the sector could be starting to panic and might withdraw funds on a large scale.

Auto industry to get $25 billion in federal loans
U.S. automakers get relief in massive spending bill approved by the House
In the next few years, consumers could see the fruits of $25 billion in government loans for the auto industry through a broader lineup of gas-electric hybrid vehicles, new plug-in electric cars and an expansion of fuel-efficient engines. The loans, approved by the House as part of a larger spending bill Wednesday, are intended to help the industry refurbish decades-old plants and develop advanced batteries and gas-electric hybrids. The loans are a major win for General Motors, Ford and Chrysler, who lobbied for the funding as they dealt with a sluggish economy and weak sales.

Jack Welch says U.S. faces "deep downturn"
Former General Electric Co Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Jack Welch said the U.S. economy faces a deep downturn in coming quarters, and he supports a proposed $700 billion government rescue package for the financial sector. "I now believe we are in for one hell of a deep downturn," Welch told the World Business Forum in New York on Wednesday, adding that the first quarter of 2009 will likely be "brutal." Until recently, Welch said, he had believed the U.S. economy could avoid recession, but he has changed his mind. "I am now caving," he said. "Get ready for real tough times. They're coming. There is no credit available."

Bush warns of 'long and painful recession'
Bush warns of 'long and painful recession'
if Congress fails to act on financial crisis

President Bush on Wednesday warned Americans and lawmakers reluctant to pass a historic financial rescue plan that failing to act fast risks wiping out retirement savings, rising foreclosures, lost jobs, closed business and "a long and painful recession." He spoke just after inviting Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain, one of whom will inherit the mess in four months, and key congressional leaders to an extraordinary White House meeting Thursday to hammer out a compromise.

Bush, candidates, lawmakers to meet on rescue plan
Bailout: Bush asks candidates, congressional
leaders to meet, yields on 'golden parachutes'

President Bush summoned Barack Obama, John McCain and legislative leaders to an extraordinary White House summit, warning Americans and Congress on Wednesday night that failing to act on a $700 billion financial industry bailout could lead to "a long and painful recession." Earlier, Bush bowed to Democratic demands to limit the pay of executives whose tottering companies would be rescued. Democrats and Republicans were nearing agreement on the rescue legislation, the most sweeping government intervention in the market since the Great Depression, and set a meeting early Thursday to draft a bipartisan bill. Bush acknowledged in a prime time television address Wednesday night that the bailout would be a "tough vote" for lawmakers.

Executive pay limits in bailout
Paulson gives in to Congress' demand
Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. Wednesday agreed to congressional demands to limit the pay of bank executives in one of his biggest concessions to date to try to secure quick passage of a $700 billion bank bailout. The Treasury gave ground on the politically potent executive pay issue after Republicans and Democrats questioned why taxpayers should pay for multimillion-dollar "golden parachutes" and other perks for executives who got their banks into trouble with toxic mortgages. "The American people are angry about executive compensation and rightfully so," Mr. Paulson told the House Financial Services Committee Wednesday. "Many of you cite this as a serious problem, and I agree. We must find a way to address this in the legislation, but without undermining the effectiveness of this program."

Bernanke pledges to 'act as needed'
Fed chief tells Congress Fed will act to minimize disruptions to business
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Wednesday that the worsening financial crisis could prove a major weight on U.S. business growth and pledged to “act as needed” to brace the wobbly economy. Bernanke and his Fed associates are fighting the biggest financial debacle since the Great Depression. On Wednesday, the Fed chief faced a second straight day of tough questioning on Capitol Hill about the Bush administration’s proposed $700 billion bailout plan.

Budget panel told of 'chaos'
Orszag echoes need for action
Failure to pass a substantial bailout package would risk "utter financial market chaos," Congressional Budget Office Director Peter Orszag told the House Budget Committee on Wednesday. The financial markets are expecting "a significant package" addressing the problems of liquidity and solvency, Mr. Orszag said. "If there's no package whatsoever," he told the committee, "it would be a very bad situation" that could produce a "a financial market meltdown, which would cause very severe economic dislocation, which may be on the order of magnitude of Great Depression-type effects." He warned of a "self-reinforcing negative spiral" that would damage the economy, intensify downward pressure on home prices, erode retirement savings and significantly raise the budget deficit.

Faber Says U.S. $700 Billion Rescue Plan Isn't Enough
The U.S. government's $700 billion bank rescue plan won't be enough to revive the finance industry, said investor Marc Faber, who forecast the so-called Black Monday crash in 1987. The government should buy out home owners, Faber, managing director of Marc Faber Ltd. and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told reporters on the sidelines of an investor conference in Hong Kong. He's also predicting Chinese economic growth to "disappoint" and Indian stocks to decline. "The U.S. has many problems," Faber said. "It's a period of hardly any growth in real terms in the economy for several years."

Bailout Plan a Blank Check
Yale professor and co-founder of the Case/Shiller housing index Robert Shiller admires Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson. "He's decisive and not afraid to do unusual things," Shiller told The Wall Street Journal. "He's thrown out a plan that none of us understand." What bothers Shiller is that if Paulson's plan goes through, U.S. taxpayers will have effectively given the Treasury secretary a blank check he will then use to pay too much for whatever Treasury buys. "Nobody else can value these securities, how is Treasury going to value them?" Shiller asks. "They'll do it in some crazy and arbitrary way. I don't like the sound of this at all."

Hank Tries Damage Control
After taking a drubbing in the Senate, the Treasury secretary yields on C.E.O. pay curbs
Trying to recast the $700 million bailout proposal as a taxpayer rescue package rather than a boon to Wall Street, Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson today appeared to embrace curbs on executive compensation, a hot-button issue among thousands of people who are inundating their lawmakers with complaints about lending moguls at hand at the expense of taxpayers. "The American people are angry about executive compensation and rightfully so," Paulson told a jammed hearing of the House Financial Services Committee. "Many of you cite this as a serious problem. And I agree. We must find a way to address this in legislation without undermining its effectiveness."

U.S. Firms Gird for Hits and Draw On Credit Now $$
Fearful of tightening credit and bank failures, a growing number of companies are hoarding cash by taking the unusual step of tapping credit lines they don't actually need. During the past week, large companies like General Motors Corp. and Texas beauty-care retailer Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. have drawn funds typically set aside for short-term working-capital needs, such as retooling a plant or a product launch. These companies say it is best to get the cash now, for fear that a bank may withhold it or be unable to deliver the funds down the road.

Bailout Pact Gains Momentum
Amid Push for Tough Controls
$$
A dramatic flurry of activity late Wednesday, including a prime-time address by President George W. Bush, appeared to galvanize efforts to finalize the administration's $700 billion financial-markets bailout, despite continuing tensions and an occasionally heated debate on Capitol Hill. Democratic leaders hope to nail down details of the measure early Thursday, ahead of an extraordinary summit meeting in the afternoon at the White House, which will bring together Republican and Democratic presidential nominees, along with Mr. Bush and top leaders from Congress. Much is still uncertain and the contours of a likely bill could change. But the outlines of a potential compromise began to emerge late Wednesday after congressional leaders started considering restrictions on the bailout plan that could break the pool of money into installments.

SEC Presses Hedge Funds $$
The Securities and Exchange Commission ordered more than two dozen hedge funds to turn over trading information as it ramps up its investigation into whether traders were spreading rumors to manipulate shares, according to people familiar with the matter. The order, dated Sept. 22, identifies six financial institutions the SEC believes may have been subject to such manipulation. The order is akin to a subpoena and requires information to be handed over with a sworn statement attesting to its accuracy. It seeks a wide range of trading data and email communications over a period of three weeks involving American International Group Inc., Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., Morgan Stanley, Washington Mutual Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co., according to the order, which has been viewed by The Wall Street Journal.

Paulson Seeks Mortgage Value That Eluded Bear, Lehman
U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's bailout plan hinges on answering the question that has vexed global markets for more than a year and sunk two securities firms: What's a bad mortgage worth? Pay too much for hard-to-value mortgage debt held by banks and recouping taxpayers' $700 billion investment becomes less likely, Merrill Lynch & Co. analysts led by Akiva Dickstein wrote in a Sept. 22 report. Pay too little and the banks may either refuse to sell or be forced to hoard cash to make up for losses, the analysts said. "This pricing thing is the 800-pound gorilla, the absolute core of the whole plan," said Bert Ely, a banking industry consultant in Alexandria, Virginia. "If the government takes an aggressive posture, it benefits taxpayers but it means some of the banks will have serious capital problems. This has the potential of politically being very troubling."

Bailout cost unknown - CBO
Budget agency can't give an estimate. But given the
assets the Treasury would buy, they would return value.

Average Americans aren't the only ones who think they don't have enough information to assess the Treasury's proposal to buy up to $700 billion of troubled mortgage assets. Even one of the country's top bean counters can't say with certainty how much the plan will ultimately cost taxpayers, if anything. The Congressional Budget Office says that it is "impossible" to estimate the bottom line cost of the Treasury's bailout proposal given its lack of specificity. However, in testimony before the House Budget Committee on Wednesday, CBO Director Peter Orszag said that the CBO expects the net cost to be "substantially less" than the $700 billion requested by the Bush administration. "It seems implausible that the U.S. would lose every cent on the dollar for the purchases it made," Orszag said.

Wall Street titans prepare to feel the pain
Hank Paulson, US Treasury secretary, on Wednesday acknowledged that his proposed $700bn bailout of Wall Street would have to take aim at executive pay, bending to political anger in Congress. By abandoning his previous assertion that congressionally-mandated curbs on executive compensation would make the bailout less effective, Mr Paulson handed Washington lawmakers their first scalp – Wall Street bankers. “We must find a way to address this in legislation but without undermining the effectiveness of this programme,” he said. At a hearing on Tuesday, Christopher Dodd, the chairman of the Senate banking committee, categorically stated that the administration should “count on” executive pay being a part of any legislation approved by the Democratic-controlled Congress.

A Hole In Henry's Bailout Bucket
Congress offered up a menu of grilled regulators on Wednesday, raking Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke over the coals as they questioned the $700.0 billion plan to bail out the American financial system. Paulson and Bernanke struggled to justify the massive expenditure of taxpayer money as legislators grew increasingly aggressive in their rolling interrogation. The two regulators, one with the field marshall manner of a chief executive and the other a contemplative academic, lost footing with politicians as they weakly sold their plan. It was the second day the bailout got a cool reception from lawmakers.

Bailout Not Necessary
Banking industry expert Bert Ely has a stellar track record in predicting crises and calling false alarms. Now he says that the banking industry does not need subsidies and can recover fully without government help. "I have run the numbers looking at the capacity of the industry to pay the tab," Ely said during an interview at Institutional Risk Analytics. "It's not going to be cheap, but the banks can handle it and clean up their own mess. The losses will feed back through the industry to depositors and borrowers in the form of lower rates on deposits and higher cost of loans." Ely opposes the idea of the government putting preferred equity into solvent but troubled banks that cannot raise capital on reasonable terms. "There is absolutely no need for the Treasury to have the authority to inject capital into solvent banks that are temporarily unable to raise new capital," Ely asserts.

The Bailout Rush: Time Is Money or Haste Makes Waste?
For Some Financial Experts, a Rushed Bailout Has Echoes of Hasty Bush Administration Policies
Though the ongoing financial crisis was years in the making and its fallout will undoubtedly shape U.S. fiscal policy for years to come, the secretary of the treasury urged Congress Tuesday to act "quickly and cleanly" on approving a multibillion-dollar bailout measure. Time is money, goes the old proverb, but members of Congress -- both Democrat and Republican -- as well as a chorus of economists have questioned the urgency with which Bush administration officials want to act. They want a measure that would not only allow the federal government to buy up and resell $700 billion worth of troubled mortgages, but also put much of the authority to do so directly into the hands of the treasury secretary. . . . . "Weren't these the same guys who two months ago told us everything was fine? The administration is proposing the biggest bailout in history. Shouldn't we not rush into this?" he asked.

Barrick Sees 'Large-Scale' Gold Buying on Bailout
Barrick Gold Corp. Chairman Peter Munk said bullion prices will go higher, driven by large-scale buying by "major, major" holders of dollars who fear the effects of the U.S. government's bailout plan on the currency. Central banks or sovereign wealth funds are among those likely to buy gold to diversify their investments and hedge against the risk of a weaker dollar, given the government's $700 billion plan to support the banking system, Munk said today. "That impact on holders of U.S. dollars in China or Russia or Abu Dhabi or Kuwait is that they're going to say, 'What is that going to mean for the U.S. dollar, and what alternative are we going to have?'" Munk said in an interview in New York. "So gold is going to have very powerful support." Munk, 80, founded Toronto-based Barrick in 1983 and made it the world's largest gold producer.

Dollar Falls Before Home Sales, Traders Raise Fed Rate Cut Odds
The dollar ended two days of gains against the euro before a U.S. government report that economists estimate will show new home sales dropped and as traders raised bets for a Federal Reserve cut in interest rates next month. The dollar declined versus the British pound and Swiss franc as President George W. Bush said the U.S. is in the "midst of a serious financial crisis" and "our entire economy is in danger." Futures show 80 percent odds the Fed will lower borrowing costs in October compared with 58 percent on Sept. 23 as Congress delays a $700 billion bailout proposal.

Debt and the dollar
“How are you, comrade Bush?” When Hugo Chãvez, Venezuela’s left-wing leader, cheers from the sidelines, the US government must be acting radically. The financial rescue plan is still being hammered out on Capitol Hill, but early estimates put next year’s fiscal deficit at about $1,000bn; a doubling of this year’s, to perhaps 7 per cent of GDP. Adding in the need to roll over existing borrowing, the Treasury will have to raise about $1,500bn in 2009. Yet the implications for the dollar are not all bad, if only because prospects are little better elsewhere. Indeed, when the last financial lifeboat – the Resolution Trust Corporation – began to buy bad assets in 1989, economic growth, house prices and equity markets did not bottom out for another 12-18 months. The dollar, however, traded sideways.

Clients of troubled money-market funds get help
Two brokerage firms told their customers Wednesday that they will cover up to $83 million of losses in a fallen money market fund, while clients of a Putnam Investments fund that suddenly closed last week were told their assets will be moved to another firm. The moves came a week after the Reserve Primary Fund's underlying assets fell below $1 for each investor dollar put in. The extremely rare instance of a fund "breaking the buck" exposed investors to losses of pennies on the dollar, triggering fears that prompted the government on Friday to take emergency steps to prop up the more than $3 trillion money-market mutual fund industry. TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. said that it will cover up to $50 million of losses in the Primary Fund. Ameriprise Financial Inc., meanwhile, said that it will commit up to $33 million.

Bernanke stays neutral despite slowdown
Inflation and slowdown are both "significant" concerns
Despite signs of a broad economic slowdown, and historic upheaval in the U.S. financial industry, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke seemed in no mood to step on the gas a bit and lower interest rates. In testimony prepared for the Joint Economic Committee, Bernanke said that risks of higher inflation and risks of a serious downturn were both "significant" concerns. For Fed watchers, this keeps the Fed stance on rates in balance, or "neutral," toward future interest rate moves. Many financial market participants were looking for signs that Bernanke may cut rates again soon. Investors in the futures market have increased the odds that the next move by the central bank would be a rate cut. The Fed has kept its benchmark short-term interest rate at 2% since April. The majority of the central bankers have agreed that is the proper level that provides some support for growth but is not so low as to spark inflation. Prior to the dramatic events in financial markets over the past month, there was a vocal minority on the central bank pushing for a rate increase.

'Trust me' on the bailout? That's just not good enough
America's financial mess was caused to a great degree by a culture of lax regulation and even less oversight, in which ordinary Americans were told to trust the government and Wall Street to do the right thing. President Bush's proposed solution, which he wants Congress to authorize immediately, tells taxpayers to write a check for $700 billion and trust the government and Wall Street to do the right thing - with inadequate regulation and little oversight. We agree with Barack Obama that the administration's plan lacks regulatory muscle, and we agree with John McCain when he said: "When we're talking about a trillion dollars of taxpayer money, 'trust me' just isn't good enough."

The Rescue Needs Rescuing
The rescue needs rescuing. And here's the deal. No deal, unless we change the deal, and fast. That's not democrats saying that about a $700 billion rescue package that looks like an increasingly fragile package. That's the republican presidential candidate John McCain. He's heading back to Washington. Suspending his campaign, and promising to roll up his sleeves. And get this, calling for cancelling Friday's big debate with Barack Obama to cobble together something...anything...to get this financial bailout off life support. President Bush himself set to address the nation tonight. He too sensing this thing ain't looking like quite a sure deal anymore. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson got a clear sense of that in testy hearings today. So too fed head Ben Bernanke. They pitched. Congress bitched.

Washington Mutual May Be on Block
Even as Washington moves to bail out financial institutions, the fortunes of Washington Mutual have spiraled downward. On Wednesday, Standard & Poor’s, a major credit rating agency, downgraded Washington Mutual’s debt further into junk territory, citing the increased chance that the company might have to be split up to facilitate a sale. Washington Mutual insists that it is well-capitalized and has adequate access to funding and noted “the rating actions do not affect the safety of customer deposits, which are insured up to the limits allowed” by the federal government. Brad Russell, a Washington Mutual spokesman, declined to comment on speculation about a possible sale. Still, shares fell 94 cents, or 29 percent, to $2.26 a share on Wednesday, leaving them down 83 percent this year.

Community banks react to rapid industry changes
As Congress and the Bush administration spar over the proposed $700 billion bailout of troubled financial firms, small town bankers are making sure they're not forgotten. Community bank groups responded quickly as policy makers devised solutions that could cost some banks millions of dollars or create unfair competition between hometown banks and Wall Street investment firms. A central problem: About 800 banks nationwide have invested heavily in preferred stock in the mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, said Paul Merski, the chief economist at the Washington-based Independent Community Bankers of America. The preferred stock was believed to be a safe investment for banks because it had the backing of the government and it provided a reliable revenue stream through quarterly dividends.

Mortgage Probes Focusing on How They Were Valued
The FBI now says 26 companies are being investigated.
Several ongoing investigations into the Wall Street crisis are increasingly focusing on asset valuation: the question of whether firms properly reported the value of their mortgage assets on their balance sheets, as well as whether mortgage-related securities were properly marketed to investors, sources have told CNBC. While sources describe asset valuation as a fertile area for investigation, they also say it's difficult to prove. With the market itself having trouble valuing the assets, it may be difficult to prove that firms intentionally overvalued them. "That's the million dollar question," one investigator said.

Goldman and Morgan Stanley prepare for battle
Wall Street's two largest investment banks are girding themselves for a long battle. In the past three days, Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Morgan Stanley became bank holding companies after investors last week lost confidence in their freewheeling, high-risk broker model. They're also busy stockpiling capital, sacrificing near-term results as they focus on getting through the downturn. Goldman announced deals that will raise $15 billion from Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway and public investors. Morgan Stanley plans to sell as much as a 20 percent stake for roughly $8.5 billion to Japan's Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, one of the world's largest banks.

Traders await bailout decision
Tension grew in the financial markets Wednesday, sending stocks mostly lower as investors worried about the effectiveness of a still-emerging government plan to rescue banks from crippling debt. The credit markets also showed added strain, with rising demand for short-term Treasury bills, considered the safest of investments. Wall Street was calmer than during the first two days of this week, with stocks meandering in and out of positive territory while investors tried to determine what shape the $700 billion plan might take. But the atmosphere was uneasy enough to erode the market's initial enthusiasm over investor Warren Buffett's decision to invest $5 billion in Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

The power of negative thinking
Greed - and its crafty sibling, speculation - are the designated culprits for the financial crisis. But another, much admired, habit of mind should get its share of the blame: the delusional optimism of mainstream, all-American, positive thinking. As promoted by Oprah Winfrey, scores of megachurch pastors and an endless flow of self-help best sellers, the idea is to firmly believe that you will get what you want, not only because it will make you feel better to do so, but because "visualizing" something - ardently and with concentration - actually makes it happen. You will be able to pay that adjustable-rate mortgage or, at the other end of the transaction, turn thousands of bad mortgages into giga-profits if only you believe that you can. Positive thinking is endemic to American culture - from weight loss programs to cancer support groups - and in the last two decades it has put down deep roots in the corporate world as well. Everyone knows that you won't get a job paying more than $15 an hour unless you're a "positive person," and no one becomes a chief executive by issuing warnings of possible disaster.

The Panic of 1907
There was more than a little déjà vu in the dead-tired appearances of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Ben Bernanke of the Federal Reserve, the desperate late-night meetings, and the dramatic scenes in New York board rooms as the assets drain began to gurgle on Wall Street. It is said to be the worst financial crisis since 1929, and no one today can say whether anything will work, or whether another Great Depression is about to descend. But I am thinking of a financial crisis 101 years ago, the "Panic of 1907," as it was called. In late October of that year, the greatest banker of his day, and perhaps any day, J.P. Morgan, 70 years old but at the height of his power, returned early from a meeting of Episcopalians in Virginia to gather titans of Wall Street together in the red room of his famous library. He was suffering from a bad cold, but got through the following days and nights on heavy doses of Havana cigars. All around him markets were crumbling, venerable companies were going into receivership, banks were about to go under as crowds of people lined up to get their money out before the entire edifice collapsed.

U.S. gasoline inventories lowest since 1967
U.S. gasoline inventories shrunk to the lowest level since 1967 after Hurricanes Gustav and Ike shut Gulf Coast oil refineries, but the Bush administration said there is still no need to ask for emergency fuel supplies from European allies. The drop in fuel stocks has caused long lines at service stations in southern cities. Retail outlets, including those in Atlanta and Memphis and as far away as Ohio, have run out of fuel. Nonetheless, U.S. Energy Secretary Sam Bodman said on Wednesday the Bush administration would not reconsider making a request to the International Energy Agency for emergency gasoline supplies. Bodman said last week the Energy Department was "reasonably satisfied" with the recovery of the U.S. oil sector after the hurricanes.

GMAC's Future May Hinge on Inclusion in U.S. Government Rescue
GMAC LLC's best chance of riding out the financial crisis intact may involve the lender finding its way into the U.S. government's $700 billion bank-rescue plan, analysts say. While Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke try to sell the package to Congress, Detroit-based GMAC is burning through cash and its bonds have fallen to a record low. The biggest drain is GMAC's Residential Capital LLC home-lending unit, which lost $1.9 billion in the second quarter -- 2-1/2 times more than the auto loan unit.

GM to put French factory, Hummer brand up for sale
General Motors Corp.'s treasurer said Wednesday that the automaker is planning to put its Strasbourg, France, manufacturing operation and its Hummer truck brand up for sale, and it may announce more asset sales later this year. Company Treasurer Walter Borst said in a slide presentation at the Deutsche Bank Leveraged Finance Conference that the company expects to distribute marketing materials for both operations in October. The slides posted on GM's Web site Wednesday say the assets under review are worth $2 billion to $4 billion. The presentation also says GM continues to review other asset sales and will make more announcements in the fourth quarter.

Daimler in talks to sell the rest of Chrysler
German carmaker says talking with private-equity firm Cerberus
Germany's Daimler AG said Wednesday that it is in talks to sell its remaining stake in Chrysler LLC to private-equity firm Cerberus Capital Management LP. Daimler spokesman Han Tjan confirmed a report in Germany's Manager Magazin that the company is in talks to sell the 19.9 percent it owns in the U.S.-based automaker, but he would not say how long the discussions have taken place or give other details. Cerberus said in a statement that it approached Daimler about the purchase. If the transaction is successful "all existing industrial relationships between Daimler and Chrysler would continue," the statement said, giving no details.

Fitch downgrades GM's 'junk' rating further
Analyst sees company struggling with demand, raw materials, capital
Fitch Ratings downgraded General Motors Corp.’s credit rating deeper into junk status Monday, saying the automaker faces headwinds in almost every direction and its liquidity could drop to "minimum required levels" within the next year. The credit ratings agency said it reduced GM’s issuer default rating one notch to "CCC" from "B-." Both ratings are noninvestment, or junk, grade. Fitch analyst Mark Oline said GM faces pressures from tightening credit in the U.S., weakening overseas sales, rising raw materials prices, continued sales declines in North America and the need for a large amount of capital spending to transform its lineup from trucks and sport utility vehicles to smaller, more fuel-efficient models.

Managing the Bailout: He’d Do It for Nothing
One of the chief concerns about the Treasury Department’s $700 billion bailout plan is that the same Wall Street firms that helped create the crisis could make a killing cleaning it up. William H. Gross, the manager of the country’s largest bond mutual fund, has a solution: he is offering to sort through the toxic assets — free. “We have a large and brilliant staff that can analyze and has analyzed subprime mortgages that can help the Treasury out,” Mr. Gross, the co-chief investment officer for the Pacific Investment Management Company, said in an interview at the company’s headquarters here. He added, "And I’d even be willing to say that if the Treasury wanted to use our help, it would come, you know, free and clear."

Buffett Considering Buying AIG Assets
Bottomfeeder's bold buys with taxpayers playing backstop
Billionaire investor Warren Buffett said on Wednesday his Berkshire Hathaway Inc insurance and investment company would consider buying some units from American International Group Inc, the insurer bailed out by the U.S. government. Buffett said he expressed interest in buying parts of the giant insurer over the September 13-14 weekend, when regulators and financial industry executives were holding emergency talks on problems that included the fate of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, which filed for bankruptcy protection on September 15. Speaking on CNBC television, Buffett said he "expressed an interest in one or two" AIG units that weekend, "but the pressures were such and the hole was deep enough that they simply couldn't get it worked out.

Credit crunch freezes hiring, expansion
When small businesses can't get loans, job growth and economic expansion stall.
After 41 years in business, Hull Printing shut down its printing presses for good in March, laying off 19 workers and closing one of the oldest family-run businesses in Barre, Vt. The catalyst: Hull Printing's bank slashed its line of credit, kicking off a death spiral that led to the company's collapse. "All of the equipment's gone and been liquidated," said Jon Hull, 32, whose grandparents started the commercial printing business in 1967. "The bank got all of their money back, but it left a lot of unsecured creditors that will never be paid back, including many other small businesses in town."

House approves bill to curb credit-card abuses
House lawmakers on Tuesday voted to 312 to 112
to approve credit-card legislation that would curb fees
and practices that critics have called unfair to consumers.

The bill would ban retroactive interest-rate increases on existing balances and require advance notice of interest-rate hikes to cardholders, among other moves. "Amidst the financial turmoil on Wall Street, today the House took steps to help those on Main Street," said Rep. Carolyn Maloney, D-N.Y., who has spearheaded the legislation. "It's now abundantly clear that in the area of consumer credit, the same lack of reasonable regulations, transparency and prudent lending has led to a level of pain on Main Street that matches or exceeds the pain on Wall Street." Consumer advocates say the bill is needed to protect cardholders from overly aggressive fees. "We consider winning a House vote ... to be an important milestone because it sends a clear message to the Fed not to weaken proposed rules. Banks are begging the Fed to weaken rules," said Ed Mierzwinski, consumer program director with U.S. Public Interest Research Group.

Credit card insiders tell of deceptive practices
Two former employees of credit card issuer MBNA, now owned by Bank of America, said on Wednesday they were forced to use aggressive and deceptive practices with customers in order to boost revenues. Cate Colombo, from Maine, said she signed up for a customer service job but was instead instructed to make insistent sales pitches aimed at getting MBNA customers deeper into debt. "I was hired to sell money," she said on a conference call organized by Americans for Fairness in Lending, an advocacy group. "We had a goal of selling $25,000 an hour, $4 million per month. And I was one employee among hundreds, just at this one site." To meet these goals, Colombo said she was told to turn every regular call from a customer into a sales call. She would do this by running the customer's name through the computer and finding out every possible line of credit they had ever obtained through MBNA.

U.S. Economy Faces Deep Downturn
Former General Electric Co Chairman and CEO Jack Welch said the U.S. economy faces a deep downturn in coming quarters, and he supports a proposed $700 billion government rescue package for the financial sector. "I now believe we are in for one hell of a deep downturn," Welch told the World Business Forum in New York on Wednesday, adding that the first quarter of 2009 would likely be "brutal." Until recently, Welch said, he had believed the U.S. economy could avoid recession, but he has now changed his mind. "I am now caving," he said. "Get ready for real tough times. They're coming. There is no credit available." Welch said mortgage lenders, legislators, investment bankers and others are all to blame for the crisis, which stemmed from easy credit and investors' appetite for yield. "The problem was money didn't cost anything," Welch said. "People took swings."

Occidental to buy Midwest oil fields for $1.25B
Occidental Petroleum to buy rest of Plains Exploration's stake in Midwest oilfields for $1.25B
Occidental Petroleum Corp. said Thursday it will buy out Plains Exploration & Production Co.'s stakes in two jointly operated Midwest oil and gas fields for $1.25 billion. Los Angeles-based Occidental currently owns 50 percent of the properties, which include the Permian Basin in west Texas and New Mexico, and the Piceance Basin in Colorado. The deal is expected to close in the fourth quarter, pending government approval. The facilities currently produce about 13,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, and have about 92 million barrels of oil equivalent proved reserves. At the Piceance Basin alone, Occidental said that during the first half of 2008 it produced 50 million cubic feet of natural gas per day, and expects to hit 200 million cubic feet per day by 2010.

Precursor to WAR? . . .
or an excuse to take focus off of Wall Street Bailout?


Pentagon Says Pakistan Fired on U.S. Aircraft, Expects Explanation
Pakistani troops fired on U.S. helicopters patrolling eastern Afganistan Thursday, the Pentagon said, adding that it expects an explanation Two American OH-58 reconnaissance helicopters, known as Kiowas, were on a routine afternoon patrol in the eastern province of Khost when they received small arms fire from a Pakistani border post, said Tech Sgt. Kevin Wallace, a U.S. military spokesman. There was no damage to aircraft or crew, officials said. "They did not cross the border and they did not fire back," Wallace said. The Pakistani military disputed that assertion, saying its troops fired warning shots when the two helicopters crossed over the border — and that the U.S. helicopters fired back.

Pakistan Said to Fire on U.S. Copters
Pakistani troops fired at American reconnaissance helicopters patrolling the Afghan-Pakistan border Thursday, heightening tensions as the U.S. steps up cross-border operations in a region known as a haven for Taliban and al-Qaida militants. Two American OH-58 reconnaissance helicopters, known as Kiowas, were on a routine afternoon patrol in the eastern province of Khost when they received small arms fire from a Pakistani border post, said Tech Sgt. Kevin Wallace, a U.S. military spokesman. There was no damage to aircraft or crew, officials said. ''They did not cross the border and they did not fire back,'' Wallace said. The Pakistani military disputed that assertion, saying its troops fired warning shots when the two helicopters crossed over the border -- and that the U.S. helicopters fired back.

Pakistani Troops Fire on US Helicopters at Border
Pakistani troops fire on US helicopters at
Afghan border; US demands explanation

Pakistani troops fired at American reconnaissance helicopters patrolling the Afghan-Pakistan border Thursday, heightening tensions as the U.S. steps up cross-border operations in a region known as a haven for Taliban and al-Qaida militants. Two American OH-58 reconnaissance helicopters, known as Kiowas, were on a routine afternoon patrol in the eastern province of Khost when they received small arms fire from a Pakistani border post, said Tech Sgt. Kevin Wallace, a U.S. military spokesman. There was no damage to aircraft or crew, officials said. "They did not cross the border and they did not fire back," Wallace said. The Pakistani military disputed that assertion, saying its troops fired warning shots when the "When the helicopters passed over our border post and were well within Paskitani territory, own security forces fires anticipatory warning shots. On this, the helicopters returned fire and flew back," a Pakistani military statement said. The Pakistani military said the matter was "being resolved" in consultations between the army and the NATO force in Afghanistan. A NATO statement said the militaries were "working together to resolve the matter.

Israel's Peres calls Iranian leader a "disgrace"
Israeli President Shimon Peres called Mahmoud Ahmadinejad a danger and a disgrace on Wednesday, rebuking the Iranian president for his vitriolic condemnation of Israel and Zionism at the United Nations. Taking the podium a day after Ahmadinejad's speech blaming "Zionist murderers" for everything from the Wall Street crisis to Russia's invasion of Georgia, Peres said: "His appearance here is already a shame." This week's annual General Assembly gathering of world leaders was the latest setting for a long-running war of words between Israel and Iran as Tehran presses ahead with its nuclear program in defiance of U.N. sanctions.

Israel's Peres says Ahmadinejad 'taking world for a fool'

Israeli President Shimon Peres sharpened his attack on Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Thursday, accusing him of "taking the world for a fool" in his statements to the UN General Assembly. "(Ahmadinejad) has committed a fatal error, and is taking the world for a fool. He thinks he is an absolute prophet, proclaiming that there is no more hope for the United States or Israel," Peres told Israeli public radio. "It is shameful to Islam, to all religions, to the United States, and to democracy. His voice does not come from heaven but hell and one day it will pass away like a breeze," he said in the interview conducted in New York. Israel has long considered Iran its greatest threat, both because of Tehran's accelerating nuclear programme and repeated statements by its leaders predicting the demise of the Jewish state.

Russia will not meet with U.S. on Iranian nuclear program
Russia said that it would not participate in a meeting with the United States this week to discuss Iran's nuclear program, the most significant indication yet of how Russia's war with Georgia has spoiled relations regarding other security issues. Russia's move apparently effectively scuttled the meeting. The Russian Foreign Ministry issued a biting statement Tuesday that criticized remarks made last week by the U.S. secretary of state, Condoleezza Rice, who declared that Russia had taken "a dark turn" away from democracy and respect for international norms. "We would very much like Washington, in the end, to make up its mind what kind of relations they want with Moscow," a ministry spokesman, Andrei Nesterenko, said in the statement. "If they want to punish Russia, that is one thing. If they agree that we have common interests that need to be jointly advanced, then that's another."

Pentagon: crashed "drone" in Pakistan not from U.S.
The Pakistani military said on Wednesday a pilotless aircraft that crashed in the northwestern region of South Waziristan had been recovered, but the Pentagon denied any U.S. drone had been lost in the area. Other countries with troops in the NATO-led force in neighboring Afghanistan use unmanned aerial vehicles, but the United States is the only one known to fly them inside Pakistan. Britain also said none of its aircraft operating in Afghanistan were missing. A spate of recent missile attacks by unmanned U.S. aircraft in Pakistan has strained ties between the allies. Pakistan has said such attacks are a violation of its sovereignty and the army has vowed to defend Pakistani territory. The U.S. military said on Wednesday one of its aerial vehicles had gone down with engine problems in Paktika province in eastern Afghanistan, about 60 miles west of the Pakistani border on Tuesday, but U.S. forces had immediately recovered the aircraft. Pentagon spokesman Bryan Whitman said there were no reports of any downed unmanned aerial vehicles in Pakistan. It was not immediately possible to reconcile the Pakistani and U.S. statements.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Archived Page Link
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Wed 09.24.2008

US dollar set to be major casualty of Hank Paulson's bailout
"This may prove to be the dollar’s epochal moment – the moment historians look back at as its major turning point." Whether or not tomorrow’s accounts of today’s turmoil prove David Owen of Dresdner Kleinwort right; whether or not this is the beginning of the end of the dollar’s pre-eminence in the world’s central banks and foreign exchanges, the economic landscape has undoubtedly changed forever. The US taxpayer bail-out of America’s banking sector is an event whose significance will reverberate for many years. What it means for free markets, for the way Western economies are run, for the prosperity of the world economy, must remain to be seen. But as investors scrambled to make sense of last week’s events, already one conclusion was all but irrefutable – the US dollar will have to take another major fall.

Washington must heed fiscal alarm bell
By David Walker
What do AIG, Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch have in common? Some thought that these companies were too big to fail. They were wrong: all of these companies have either filed for bankruptcy, been “bailed out” by the government, or, owing to the sub-prime crisis, have been acquired. Over the weekend, the US government went one step further, with its proposals for an estimated $700bn (€493bn, £391bn) bail-out to ease the credit crisis. The US government truly is too big to fail. However, there are disturbing parallels between the factors that led to the sub-prime crisis and the deteriorating financial condition and fiscal foundation of our federal government. These similarities ought to ring an alarm bell for Congress and the presidential candidates. The question is, will they hear it and wake up? The first parallel relates to the dangerous disconnect between the parties who benefit from various imprudent practices and those who bear the related risk and ultimately pay the price. In the housing crisis, some originators of unwise mortgages have not paid a price for their actions. In the case of our federal government, politicians have increased spending, expanded government entitlement programmes, and agreed tax cuts without considering their long-term costs.

Hitler gets a margin call . . . .




U.S. Troops In Homeland "Crowd Control" Patrols From October 1st
U.S. troops returning from duty in Iraq will be carrying out homeland patrols in America from October 1st in complete violation of Posse Comitatus for the purposes of helping with “civil unrest and crowd control” - which could include dealing with unruly Americans after a complete economic collapse. This shocking admission was calmly reported on September 8th by the Army Times website, which reports that from the beginning of next month the 3rd Infantry Division’s 1st Brigade Combat Team "Will be under the day-to-day control of U.S. Army North, the Army service component of Northern Command, as an on-call federal response force for natural or manmade emergencies and disasters, including terrorist attacks." The article notes that the deployment "marks the first time an active unit has been given a dedicated assignment to NorthCom, a joint command established in 2002 to provide command and control for federal homeland defense efforts and coordinate defense support of civil authorities."

Bailout: It’s all part of the New International Economic Order
According to a recent Rasmussen Reports survey, 28% of Americans support the banker bailout plan and another 35% are not sure what to think. “Adding weight to the large number of undecideds is the finding that 82% of Americans are following the bailout story, including 44% who say they are following it very closely. Sixty-five percent (65%) say they are at least somewhat confident they understand the reasons why the plan is being proposed.” In fact, most people have no idea what’s behind the plan because the corporate media is not telling them the whole story. Most do not realize there is a crash right around the corner and it is part of the New International Economic Order — synonymous with the phrase New World Order — proposed by the Trilateral Commission, a coterie of bankers and directors of transnational corporations headed up by the chairman of Chase Manhattan Bank and a central figure in the Council on Foreign Relations, David Rockefeller.

Paulson plan throws oil on fire
With the creation of the so called Mortgage and Financial Institutions Trust (MFI), the unfolding financial crisis, considered by many to be the worst in over 60 years, has become ever-more dangerous. While such an institution has not existed in any country, the MFI could prove to be disastrous for US public finance, economic growth, the dollar, relations with major foreign holders of dollars, the global financial system, and could ignite the worst inflation in the economic history of the United States and reverse globalization to levels not seen since the Great Depression. The initial cost of the MFI, put at US$700 billion, could easily escalate to trillions of dollars. At the same time, the Congressional Budget Office had previously projected a record fiscal deficit of US$500 billion for 2009. The MFI will further blow up the deficit to an unprecedented level, exceeding US$1.4 trillion. US debt, jumping with the takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to 86% of GDP, has moved to an unsustainable level.

Bush Considering Address to Nation on Market Crisis
President George W. Bush may give a national address on the crisis in U.S. financial markets as his administration steps up pressure on Congress to approve a $700 billion rescue plan, his spokeswoman said. "This is a huge moment for America and if we don't take decisive and bold action we could face financial calamity," White House press secretary Dana Perino said today. "How the president addresses this issue, whether, how, when and where, is under consideration." With the nation facing the worst financial upheaval since the Great Depression, Bush is proposing that the government take over the troubled assets of financial companies. He canceled a trip to a political fundraiser in Florida today to focus on the economy.

Congress balks at huge US financial bailout
US lawmakers were digging their heels in Wednesday against the government's 700-billion-dollar financial rescue package, setting the scene for a fierce showdown on Capitol Hill watched anxiously by markets around the globe. Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson were facing another day of testimony, after Tuesday's cold-shoulder reception by senators balking at a swift passage of the bailout. The duo argued that failure to pass the emergency measure quickly would put the entire US economy at risk, but lawmakers appeared unwilling to let Wall Street off the hook at the massive expense of US taxpayers, while the FBI reportedly launched a probe of failed banks and mortgage giants.

Paulson, Bernanke Put Bank Aid Ahead of Best Deal
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke have signaled that their priority is shoring up the nation's banks even if it means they don't get taxpayers the cheapest prices for the devalued assets the government buys. "I am not advocating that the government intentionally overpay," Bernanke told the Joint Economic Committee today, in response to a question from U.S. Rep. Jim Saxton, a New Jersey Republican.

Buffett Buys Goldman Stake in 'Economic Pearl Harbor'
Billionaire Warren Buffett, calling turmoil in the markets an "economic Pearl Harbor," said his $5 billion investment in Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is an endorsement of the Treasury's $700 billion bank rescue plan. "I am betting on the Congress doing the right thing for the American public and passing this bill," Buffett said on cable channel CNBC today. "I certainly have a vote of confidence in Goldman and vote of confidence in Congress." Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke are pushing Congress to quickly approve the proposal to remove illiquid assets from the banking system. Buffett is buying a stake in New York-based Goldman after three of the investment bank's biggest competitors collapsed or were forced into emergency sales.

Analyst says intervention big mistake
While some push for an extension of the US bail-out to homeowners, others argue that the whole idea of a Government rescue is folly. Peter Schiff is the president of Euro Pacific Capital in Connecticut. He believes in the purist free market principles of what's called the 'Austrian School of Economics'. Peter Schiff says the market must be left to deal with the mess, and Government intervention will merely delay the inevitable reckoning and lead to a far worse crash.
PETER SCHIFF: Well I don't think it's gonna rescue us from anything. I think what we're doing is the equivalent of selling our financial souls to the devil, because it was the government that got us into this mess. It's Henry Paulson, it's Ben Bernanke and his predecessor Alan Greenspan, they created this mess, not the free market and there's no solution that involves more government. And there's certainly no solution that involves more inflation. I mean if we think we can solve our problems by creating inflation, we ought to send some of these guys down to Zimbabwe to see how well it's working out for them.

Commercial-Property Players Find Their Pressures Growing $$
As Crisis Spreads, Market Seizes Up; Capital Preservation
For the commercial-real-estate players that were in hot water before the capital-markets crisis of the past two weeks, the temperature is rising. Retail giant Centro Properties Group, New York developer Macklowe Properties, office-building investor Broadway Real Estate Partners LLC and others are now facing an even rougher ride in the wake of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.'s bankruptcy, the collapse of American International Group Inc. and the buyout of Merrill Lynch & Co. by Bank of America Corp. After these and other market crises, cash-flow projections for properties are being scaled back in anticipation of a greater economic slowdown. The sales market -- long considered the last hope of many distressed players -- has virtually ground to a halt.

Paulson Plan Seeks Value for Mortgages That Eluded Bear, Lehman
U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's bailout plan hinges on answering the question that has vexed global markets for more than a year and sunk two securities firms: What's a bad mortgage worth? Pay too much for hard-to-value mortgage debt held by banks and recouping taxpayers' $700 billion investment becomes less likely, Merrill Lynch & Co. analysts led by Akiva Dickstein wrote in a Sept. 22 report. Pay too little and the banks may either refuse to sell or be forced to hoard cash to make up for losses, the analysts said.

Bernanke, Paulson and the US Government Following Eggertsson Buy High Policy
Many people have been wondering what the cost of all this intervention may be. I firmly believe that Bernanke, Paulson and the US Government are following the ideas laid out in Eggertsson's work "An interpretation of The Deflation Bias and Committing to Being Irresponsible". The following is from the work that Eggertsson did and I interpreted. It shows that the plan to buy assets was long in place before the current problems. One of those credited in the paperby Eggertsson is Ben Bernanke: ---- What Eggertsson means is if tax cuts are so large as to cut govt spending by 10% (tax breaks forever?) then to keep an inflationary bias as a credible outcome (keep inflation expectations in the mind of Institutions, Business and Joe Public) would require the use of a sum equivalent to 70% of US GDP to buy "real assets".

Bernanke Sees 'Grave Threats' to Financial Stability
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. is facing "grave threats" to financial stability and warned that the credit crisis has started to damage household and business spending. "Economic activity appears to have decelerated broadly," Bernanke said today to a congressional Joint Economic Committee hearing, downgrading the assessment of Fed officials when they met on Sept. 16. "Stabilization of our financial system is an essential precondition for economic recovery." Bernanke's remarks may stoke investors' expectations for the Fed to lower interest rates by year-end to alleviate the impact of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. The Fed chief reiterated his call for Congress to pass Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan for a $700 billion rescue fund to remove devalued assets from the banking system.

Bail-out cost 'impossible' to estimate
The cost of the Treasury plan to save the US financial system from collapse cannot be estimated because it is too vague, Peter Orszag, head of the Congressional Budget Office, told legislators on Wednesday. At a hearing before the House budget committee, Mr Orszag said: ”The secretary would have the authority to purchase virtually any asset, at any price, and sell it at any future date; the lack of specificity regarding how that authority would be implemented makes it impossible at this point to provide a quantitative analysis of the net cost to the federal government.” But Mr Orszag added that the CBO, which analyses the cost of legislation on a non-partisan basis, expected the Treasury to ”fully use” the $700bn authority in the fiscal year of 2009 it is demanding. Over time, he said, the government would recover some of that money, but the extent to which this would happen could not be estimated. His comments could further inflame opposition to the Treasury plan on Capitol Hill, where both Democratic and Republican politicians have expressed anger at the prospect of giving a ”blank cheque” to the government.

Mushroom Cloud over Wall Street as US Constitution Burns
These are dark times. While you were sleeping the cockroaches were busy about their work, rummaging through the US Constitution, and putting the finishing touches on a scheme to assert absolute power over the nation's financial markets and the country's economic future. Industry representative Henry Paulson has submitted legislation to congress that will finally end the pretense that Bush controls anything more than reading the lines from a 4' by 6' teleprompter situated just inches from his lifeless pupils. Paulson is in charge now, and the coronation is set for sometime early next week. He rose to power in a stealthily-executed Bankster's Coup in which he, and his coterie of dodgy friends, declared martial law on the US economy while elevating himself to supreme leader.

"All Hail Caesar!" The days of the republic are over. Section 8 of the proposed legislation says it all:

"Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency."

Right; "non-reviewable" supremacy.

Congress, of course, is more than eager to abdicate whatever little authority they have left. They're infinitely grateful for their purely ceremonial role, the equivalent of Caligula's horse, albeit, with considerably less dignity. Has even one senator spoken out against this madness, which--according to informal internet polls--is resoundingly rejected by the voters?

A default by the US government is no longer unthinkable
So, here we are – the start of a new world order.
After the tumultuous events of the last fortnight,
the global economic landscape will never look the same again.

Power has tangibly shifted – away from the United States and the Western world generally, and towards the fast-growing giants of the East. That’s been happening for some years now. But September 2008 marks the moment when the scale of our excesses, the extent of our debts and the moral bankruptcy of our financial regulatory system finally began to be I say began to be exposed. Back in March, Standard and Poor’s, the US ratings agency, estimated some $285bn (£156bn) of mortgage-backed securities would eventually be written-off by the global banking sector. On Friday, almost unnoticed amid the panic, that forecast was upped to $378bn. In reality, total credit losses will be much higher — at least $750bn in my view. But the extent of the 33 per cent one-off increase in S&P’s estimate speaks volumes. It reflects just how little anyone truly knows about either the ultimate size of the sub-prime losses or who ultimately holds the related securities. But with one in ten US mortgages now “delinquent” or “in foreclosure”, and house prices still falling, such "toxic waste" is burning holes in balance sheets wherever it sits. That’s why this crisis is far from over.

Fed plows $30 billion in money markets overseas
Federal Reserve plows $30 billion into money markets overseas to ease credit stresses
The Federal Reserve, in coordinated action with foreign central banks, plowed $30 billion into money markets overseas Wednesday, part of an ongoing effort to fight a global credit crisis. The Fed's action -- taken at 1 a.m. EDT -- sets up temporary "swap" arrangements to supply dollars to the central banks of Australia, Denmark, Norway and Sweden in exchange for their currencies. "These facilities, like those already in place with other central banks, are designed to improve liquidity conditions in global financial markets," the Fed said in a brief statement. "Central banks continue to work together during this period of market stress and are prepared to take further steps as the need arises," the Fed added.

Former IMF chief calls for global market regulator
Former IMF chief Camdessus: Financial markets should have international regulation
A former director of the International Monetary Fund says financial markets need international regulation to avoid another crisis. Michel Camdessus says the international community should have spoken out against the unregulated banking practices that spread globally from the United States. He describes many of those practices as ethical failures. Camdessus was head of the IMF for 13 years, including the period of the Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s.

Hey Congress, You Already Passed Homeowner Bailout
As Congressional Democrats and the Bush Administration wrangle over the need for aid to homeowners in the Wall Street bailout plan, both sides appear to have forgotten that Congress approved a $300 billion mortgage rescue package in late July. “We already have a rescue package for homeowners,” says Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at Global Insight, sounding a bit dumbfounded by the development. “Things get so weird in a presidential election year.” Among the provisions of the Housing And Economic Recovery Act of 2008 is the Hope for Homeowners program, which was designed to provide up to $300 billion for the refinancing of about 400,000 mortgages whose default might lead to foreclosure. The program starts Oct. 1 and runs for three years. Expensive, too. Put together, the Hope for Homeowners and Wall Street bailout total $1 trillion.

No bailout
The massive federal scheme ($700 billion and apparently growing) to have taxpayers buy up bad mortgages that is currently being cobbled together by the Bush administration and a bipartisan coalition on Capitol Hill is a terrible idea. It constitutes a large transfer of wealth from the American taxpayer in an effort to revive failed private-sector businesses that should be permitted to fail - something that is essential if a free-market capitalist system is to survive and prosper in the future. Aside from the dubious substance of the legislation, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, the Bush administration's point man in pushing for the mortgage bailout bill, is pressing Congress to act with what can only be called unseemly haste, insisting that if lawmakers do not fork over the money right away, the American economy will collapse. Congress may vote on the bill (which is still being written) as early as Friday. This bailout package does not represent fiscal conservatism. It is untenable. If ever there were legislation that deserves careful, deliberate analysis and consideration, it's this measure.

Issue Is Payback, Not Bailout
So are you for the bailout or against it? Many people, I'm guessing, don’t have an immediate answer to the question. They understand that the financial crisis is serious enough to require a big response from the government. But they also hate the idea of rewarding Wall Street for its failures and are wary of yet another assurance from the Bush administration that this step will be the one that contains the crisis. Imagine, then, what it’s like to be in Congress this week. Most members of Congress have no expertise in the byzantine details of mortgage finance — or even have aides on their staff with such expertise. "The problem here is none of us has that kind of advice," Senator Charles Schumer, Democrat of New York, who knows more about Wall Street than most of his colleagues, told me.

Congress Objects to Lack of Help Aimed at Homeowners
The White House waged a multifront campaign Tuesday to persuade Congress to accept its vast economic bailout plan, though many in Congress, still unhappy with what they were hearing, continued to push for changes that would provide stronger protection for taxpayers and impose tougher terms on financial institutions. President Bush told world leaders that the United States had taken “bold steps” to deal with the financial crisis, while Vice President Dick Cheney and other top officials went to Capitol Hill to address lawmakers. Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. and the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben S. Bernanke, faced five hours of grilling by skeptical, angry members of the Senate Banking Committee. But with just six weeks before an election, Congress and the administration were negotiating intensely behind the scenes to resolve major sticking points in the plan, and some of the drama was intended for hometown audiences.

Only 28% Support Federal Bailout Plan
Most Americans are closely following news reports on the Bush Administration’s federal bailout plan for the country’s troubled economy, but just 28% support what has been proposed so far. Over one-third of voters (37%) oppose the $700-billion plan, and nearly as many (35%) are undecided, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken Sunday night. Details of the plan were made public on Saturday. Investors, who account for 62% of the nation’s voters, are evenly divided on their views of the plan: 36% favor it, and 36% oppose it. Twenty-eight percent (28%) are undecided. Among non-investors, only 15% support the plan, while 41% oppose it.

Consumer, Investor Confidence Nearing All-Time Lows
Consumer and investor confidence continues to fall and is now approaching the lowest levels ever recorded in the seven-year history of the Rasmussen Index. The turmoil on Wall Street has wiped out three months worth of improving economic confidence. The Rasmussen Consumer Index, which measures the economic confidence of consumers on a daily basis, fell two more points on Thursday to 70.3. That’s down sixteen points since the failure of Lehman Brothers ignited the latest round of financial concern and is just four points above the lowest level of confidence ever measured. Overall, adults are pessimistic on the current state of their personal finances. While only 21% feel that their personal finance are getting better, most (54%) claim their finances are worsening. Among men, 24% say their finances are getting better; 50% claim they're getting worse. Women are much less positive--18% state their finances are improving, but 58% feel they're worsening.

Opposition to Bailout Plan Grows but Still Expected to Pass
The more voters learn about the proposed $700 billion federal bailout plan for the U.S. economy, the more they don’t like it, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken Monday night. Now 44% oppose the taxpayer-backed plan, up seven points from 37% yesterday. Twenty-five percent (25%) support it now, versus 28% in the earlier poll. Thirty-five percent (35%) were undecided before; now 31% are. While 35% think the bailout plan will help the economy, nearly as many (30%) say it will hurt, and 13% believe it will have no impact at all. But, despite their concerns, 74% of voters also believe it is at least somewhat likely to be approved by Congress this week.

Paulson bailout: seizing moral high ground can be hazardous
They are at it again, the moral hazard fundamentalists. Critics of the Paulson bailout plan insist that the banks must pay for having their toxic assets removed. Otherwise, the proposal “completely eviscerates the concept of moral hazard”, according to Henry Waxman, a leading Democratic congressman. This is because it would enrich the Wall Street executives whose reckless investments caused the financial crisis. Having learnt the term, people tend to get a great deal too excited about moral hazard, the idea that by compensating people for the cost of their own reckless behaviour you encourage similar behaviour in the future. The US Federal Reserve was accused of ignoring moral hazard when it helped JPMorgan Chase to rescue Bear Stearns. As if arranging for shareholders to get $2 a share for stock with a book value of $80 would encourage reckless lending in future.

U.S. Economy: Home Resales Drop; Bernanke Sees Tighter Credit
Sales of previously owned U.S. homes fell more than forecast in August and prices dropped the most on record as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke suggested the housing market may get worse before it gets better. Sales of existing homes dropped 2.2 percent to an annual rate of 4.91 million units from 5.02 million the prior month, the National Association of Realtors said today in Washington. The median price declined 9.5 percent from August 2007 and the number of properties fell from a record.

Republicans Press Paulson for Time to Revise Rescue Proposal
House Republicans warned Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson today that his $700 billion financial rescue plan wouldn't pass and asked for more time to consider alternative ideas, a lawmaker said. "The $700 billion bill is simply not going to pass, and they recognize that," Representative Ray LaHood of Illinois said after Republicans met with Paulson behind closed doors at the U.S. Capitol today. "Now it is up to Congress."

Meltdown and Bailout: Why Our
Economic System Is on the Verge of Collapse

Bush wants to fleece us for hundreds of billions in the financial crisis, but that's just the first layer of a more fundamental economic problem. The immediate cause of our financial meltdown is unchecked, unbridled greed. Mainstream newspapers and the business press are doing a fairly good job of explaining how the lack of regulatory oversight led us into this nightmare. But you have to dig down one layer to find the cause of that situation. Under cover of the ideological euphemism known as the "free market" and with enormous cash investments over the past four decades, business elites have captured the regulatory organs of powerful democratic states -- nowhere more so than the United States -- and promoted their own narrow economic agendas for short-term gain.

US at a turning point
This is now a national disaster for the United States. The centrality and import of inexpensive and available credit to America's function is total. We have moved well beyond a subprime crisis. We have moved well beyond a financial industry crisis. The position of the US economy is in jeopardy and the employment security and wealth of the nation is now very much in play. Like the nations of East Asia in the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis of 1997-8, or Eastern Europe after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, our way of economic life - warts and all - is imperiled. No matter what happens as the week comes to a close our lives have changed. Shock waves are emanating out from the debt collapse ground zero. US$3.6 trillion in global stock market wealth has evaporated this week. The job losses and macro effects are not far off.

Dirty Secret Of The Bailout: Thirty-Two Words That None Dare Utter
A critical - and radical - component of the bailout package proposed by the Bush administration has thus far failed to garner the serious attention of anyone in the press. Section 8 (which ironically reminds one of the popular name of the portion of the 1937 Housing Act that paved the way for subsidized affordable housing ) of this legislation is just a single sentence of thirty-two words, but it represents a significant consolidation of power and an abdication of oversight authority that's so flat-out astounding that it ought to set one's hair on fire. It reads, in its entirety: Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.

Mad as hell - taxpayers lash out
We asked you what you had to say about the
bailout, and we heard you loud and clear: 'No way!'

"NO NO NO. Not just no, but HELL NO," writes Richard, a reader from Anchorage, Alaska. "This is robbery pure and simple," Anna from Denver posted on CNNMoney.com's TalkBack blog this weekend. "It's our money! Let these companies die," added Claudio from Plainville, Conn. After President Bush petitioned Congress Saturday for the authority to spend up to $700 billion to to bail out a financial industry on the verge of collapse, he said the high price tag was not only justified, but essential. "It is a big package because it's a big problem," Bush told reporters at a news conference. "The risk of doing nothing far outweighs the risk of the package." But when asked what they thought of the government's proposal, most readers gave an overwhelming thumbs down.

Americans Oppose Bailouts, Favor Obama to Handle Market Crisis
Americans oppose government rescues of ailing financial companies by a decisive margin, and blame Wall Street and President George W. Bush for the credit crisis. By a margin of 55 percent to 31 percent, Americans say it's not the government's responsibility to bail out private companies with taxpayer dollars, even if their collapse could damage the economy, according to the latest Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll. Poll respondents say Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama would do a better job handling the financial crisis than Republican John McCain, by a margin of 45 percent to 33 percent. Almost half of voters say the Democrat has better ideas to strengthen the economy than his Republican opponent.

The shadow banking system is unravelling
Last week saw the demise of the shadow banking system that has been created over the past 20 years. Because of a greater regulation of banks, most financial intermediation in the past two decades has grown within this shadow system whose members are broker-dealers, hedge funds, private equity groups, structured investment vehicles and conduits, money market funds and non-bank mortgage lenders. Like banks, most members of this system borrow very short-term and in liquid ways, are more highly leveraged than banks (the exception being money market funds) and lend and invest into more illiquid and long-term instruments. Like banks, they carry the risk that an otherwise solvent but liquid institution may be subject to a self?fulfilling and destructive run on its ?liquid liabilities. But unlike banks, which are sheltered from the risk of a run – via deposit insurance and central banks’ lender-of-last-resort liquidity – most members of the shadow system did not have access to these firewalls that ?prevent runs. A generalised run on these shadow banks started when the deleveraging after the asset bubble bust led to uncertainty about which institutions were solvent. The first stage was the collapse of the entire SIVs/conduits system once investors realised the toxicity of its investments and its very short-term funding seized up.

Bernanke and Paulson: Here's Why We're Screwing You
At today's Wall Street Bailout Hearings, we finally learned what Hank Paulson and Ben Bernanke are thinking. Specifically, we learned what prices they plan to pay for the crap assets they're buying (more than they're worth). And we learned why they picked this plan instead of one more like Sweden's in the early 1990s, which included the government taking ownership stakes in the banks it saved. The main justification for the plan is that taxpayers are already screwed because banks have stopped lending money. The big difference between this bailout and the ones that have come before, meanwhile, is that the banks aren't yet on death's door. Thus, in Paulson and Bernanke's opinion, these banks must be persuaded to participate in the bailout--by making it a boon to them and a liability for taxpayers. What Paulson and Bernanke are trying to do, in other words, is fast-forward the economic-crisis movie a couple of months: Instead of waiting until the banks realize that they are hosed and come begging for help, we'll just solve all their problems now.

Understanding the Crisis
What caused this? It is a simple question, and yet answers are all over the map, as you might expect. Here's mine in two words: fiat money. The word fiat means: out of nothing. Money out of nothing is money that is eventually worth nothing. The possibility of precisely that happening emerged on August 15, 1971. Since Nixon severed the last tie of the dollar to gold, the world's monetary system has not been restrained by anything physical. We've depended on the discretion of central bankers. We can't trust that, and this crisis shows precisely why. Of course there are subsidiary factors. The lifting of restrictions on Freddie and Fannie. Subsidized lending. The Fed's artificially low interest rates. The Community Reinvestment Act. Financial "deregulation." The war. Bush profligacy. Debt. There is much more besides. But fighting each of these forces individually is like battling down flies at the garbage dump. The core issue is that there is nothing to restrain money creation. The first time that people hear this, they find their minds rather boggled, and they want to know more. My whole experience in this area is that once people start digging around the area of monetary theory, they find that 1) it is not as difficult a subject as it seems, 2) it is endlessly fascinating, and 3) it explains far more than they realized before.

Bailouts will lead to rough economic ride
Ron Paul commentary on bailouts
Many Americans today are asking themselves how the economy got to be in such a bad spot.
For years they thought the economy was booming, growth was up, job numbers and productivity were increasing. Yet now we find ourselves in what is shaping up to be one of the most severe economic downturns since the Great Depression. Unfortunately, the government's preferred solution to the crisis is the very thing that got us into this mess in the first place: government intervention. Ever since the 1930s, the federal government has involved itself deeply in housing policy and developed numerous programs to encourage home building and home ownership.

The Bailout Plan: Welcome to Economic Shock and Awe
See if this sounds familiar: There is a gathering threat to the safety of the United States. We must take immediate action. Congress must quickly grant the President and the Secretary what they want and also give them full and unfettered authority to execute the plan. Welcome to Economic Shock and Awe (or as some have dubbed it, according to Paul Krugman, "the Authorization for Use of Financial Force"). Even the amount of taxpayer money being bandied about -- $1 trillion -- is similar. Think you got your money's worth for the Iraq war? Congratulations -- you're about to buy another pricey debacle. We've seen how negligent the Bush administration is with our money -- flushing billions on wasteful, mismanaged Iraq reconstruction and Katrina recovery projects. Now the same folks who brought us those no-bid, profit-guaranteed, crony-friendly, war-and-disaster-profiteering boondoggles want us to hand them control of a $700 billion Wall Street slush fund -- with no strings attached.

Auto loans included in must-pass spending bill
A mammoth spending bill to keep the U.S. government running through March will include a $25 billion loan guarantee package for the struggling auto industry, House Appropriations Chairman David Obey said on Tuesday. The must-pass spending measure, which carries a price tag of more than $600 billion, is likely to come up for a vote on the House of Representatives floor on Wednesday, Obey told reporters. The inclusion of the low-interest loan guarantees is a victory for struggling U.S. manufacturers General Motors Corp, Ford Motor Co, and Chrysler LLC, which is controlled by private equity firm Cerebus Capital Management LLC.

Dire warnings fail to sway senators on big bailout
Refusing to be pushed, Republicans and Democrats alike rebuffed dire warnings Tuesday from the government's top economic officials of recession, layoffs and foreclosed homes if Congress doesn't quickly approve the administration's emergency $700 billion financial bailout plan. Congressional leaders still predicted passage — with significant changes — but Wall Street's nerves were hardly soothed. The Dow Jones industrials sank 161 points and now are off more than 500 this week after initially surging on the bailout announcement last week.

Libor's Accuracy Becomes Issue Again $$
Questions on Reliability of Interest Rate
Rise Amid Central Banks' Liquidity Push
The accuracy of a widely used interest rate, seen as critical to judging the health of the financial markets at a precarious time, is coming under question for the second time this year. Doubts about the London interbank offered rate, or Libor, center on whether banks are understating what it costs them to borrow dollars in stressed financial markets. Libor's reliability became an issue again this week when banks paid higher interest rates to borrow using collateral than they did for unsecured loans.

Hank Paulson is shocked, shocked by Wall Street
I am glad that Hank Paulson, who wants to raise a $700bn US government fund to buy distressed mortgage securities in an effort to restore confidence to financial markets, is an old Wall Street hand. In a world where Sarah Palin, the US Republican vice-presidential nominee, claims expertise about Russia because it can been seen from her home state of Alaska, it is reassuring to have a US Treasury secretary with actual experience. It is definitely more comforting to have Mr Paulson in the hot-seat than John Snow or Paul O’Neill, his predecessors. That said, Mr Paulson’s background as the former chairman and chief executive of Goldman Sachs, does raise questions.

Chris Cox versus Alan Greenspan on derivatives
Listening to Chris Cox, the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, giving evidence to Congress a few minutes ago, I was particularly struck by his assault on the lack of regulation of the over-the-counter derivatives market. Mr Cox described the unregulated $58,000bn credit default swaps market as "ripe for fraud and manipulation", saying that it was a forum for the shorting of corporate debt without the oversight imposed on cash markets.

Paulson’s plan was not a true solution to the crisis
Desperate times call for desperate measures. But remember, no less, that decisions taken in haste may shape the financial system for a generation. Speed is essential. But it is no less essential to get any new regime right. No doubt, the crisis has long passed the stage when governments could leave the private sector to save itself, with just a little help from central banks. For the US, the rescue of Bear Stearns was the moment when that option evaporated. But the events of the past two and a half weeks – the rescues of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the failure of Lehman Brothers, the sale of Merrill Lynch, the rescue of AIG, the flight to safety in the markets and the decisions by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs to become regulated bank holding companies – have made a comprehensive solution inevitable. The US public expects action. The question is whether it will get the right action. To answer it, we must agree on the challenge the US financial system faces and the criteria for judging how it should be met.

Bail-out faces flak from wary Congress
The US plan to create a $700bn financial rescue fund encountered widespread discontent in Congress on Tuesday as Ben Bernanke suggested that the government should buy toxic mortgage assets at more than their current distressed prices. The Federal Reserve chairman said that if the Treasury buys assets at a price "close to the hold-to-maturity price" rather than current "firesale" price there would be "substantial benefits". Banks would be able to mark their portfolios to the new higher prices rather than the current firesale prices. Mr Bernanke said taxpayers would still be reasonably safe as the government would pay less than the cash flow value of the securities. In effect, he argued that there could be a win-win solution for both taxpayers and banks.

Administration plan will be hard sell
Administration may get financial bailout
passed but only after hard sell to Congress

The biggest government bailout in history may eventually win congressional approval but not easily, not without changes and not before lawmakers are finished venting what they call the frustrations of ordinary Americans over Wall Street greed and bad judgment. Fear that the economy would worsen if the government does nothing could help propel the legislation to passage. But the bipartisan skepticism that greeted Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke on Capitol Hill on Tuesday showed the $700 billion rescue package will be a hard sell at best.

Good luck to Congress on Wall St pay cut
There was much at today's Senate Banking Committee hearing on the Treasury Department's proposed $700 billion bailout of Wall Street about executive compensation. Even Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson Jr., who himself made a fortune on Wall Street, said the incredible compensation packages on Wall Street troubled him: I've heard your comments on executive compensation. I share your frustrations. I feel those frustrations. Practices throughout America also upset me. Sen. Chris Dodd, chairman of the committee, told Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke that whatever legislation the Congress agreed to would definitely address the pay issue.

National Banks fall with market
National bank stocks end down after wobbling
with market; analyst cuts 3rd-qtr, year estimates

Stocks of national banks ended lower Tuesday, falling along with the broader market after tracking indexes back and forth through much of the session. Investors sent the market lower as Congress grilled Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on their plan to buy up $700 billion in soured loans from financial institutions. Meanwhile, high-profile analyst Meredith Whitney at Oppenheimer cut her forecasts for major banks and other financials, citing the recent market strain. "A virtual suction of liquidity has occurred in the credit and lending markets, and consumer and corporate credit is already showing the effects," wrote Whitney in a note to clients. "What started last summer has accelerated and intensified so much so that we believe any government bailout plan has little hope of improving core fundamentals over the near and medium term."

Paulson on bailout: Trust but verify
The Senate Banking Committee and the government's top economic experts are getting into the weeds of the Paulson plan. But there is one overarching theme emerging: Let Treasury handle it. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has repeatedly expressed his view that Congress resist the temptation to legislate the mechanics of the plan as much as possible. One area in which Paulson has offered resistance involves giving taxpayers an equity stake in the outcome of the purchases and sales of the distressed assets. Another involves the method (as yet undeveloped) through which the assets would be valued and purchased by the government. Sen. Robert Bennett (R-Utah) described the challenge that would face the Treasury Department: "In theory, it's easy to describe and it will work," Bennett said. "But if you end up paying too little to this institution, you're not giving them the support that they need. If you end up paying too much, there is no upside potential for the taxpayer when you liquidate these assets."

Singapore fund warns of lengthy crisis in U.S.
A Singapore sovereign wealth fund that bought large stakes in banks UBS AG and Citigroup Inc. warned Tuesday that the worst of the U.S. financial crisis may not be over even if Washington implements a $700 billion bailout plan. The Government of Singapore Investment Corp., or GIC, said the turmoil in the U.S. banking system will likely undermine the future earnings of the fund, which manages more than $100 billion. "The proposal put forth by the U.S. Treasury should stabilize the markets to some extent," said GIC Deputy Chairman and Executive Director Tony Tan at a news conference. "But we should not assume the worst is over. Financial markets and the economic situation have deteriorated significantly in the last five months."

Berkshire buying $5 billion stake in Goldman Sachs
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is investing at least $5 billion in Goldman Sachs, a huge vote of confidence for one of the survivors of the credit crisis that felled two of its investment banking peers. In addition to buying $5 billion in preferred stock, Berkshire also got warrants to buy another $5 billion in Goldman's common stock. Goldman also said late Tuesday it would raise another $2.5 billion in its own public stock offering. The news sent shares of Goldman Sachs and stock index futures soaring in electronic trading, after the Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a triple-digit decline for the second day in a row.

Republican anger at 'financial socialism'
Congressional Republicans on Tuesday voiced their strongest objections to date about the Bush administration’s $700bn financial rescue plans, dealing a blow to White House ambitions for them to be quickly approved. As Hank Paulson, Treasury secretary, and Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve, predicted grim consequences if the plan were rejected, the Republicans’ Senate leadership called for new provisions on executive pay, which the administration opposes, while others cast doubt on the whole package. "We are going to advance taxpayers’ dollars, and government ends up in effect taking an equity position in businesses," Mitch McConnell, Senate minority leader, said. "I think the taxpayers should expect no less than strict limits on the type of executive compensation that might be possible for those involved in these partially government-controlled enterprises."

Bernanke: US should pay higher prices for assets
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress Tuesday the government should pay more than "fire-sale" prices for the toxic assets it would acquire under a proposed $700 billion bailout plan. That could mean both higher initial costs for taxpayers and reduced returns when the assets are later resold. Bernanke's comment was the first indication of how he and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson are thinking about formulating the rescue plan's medicine in a way that doesn't kill the patients. Requiring banks and other financial institutions to sell troubled loans and other assets anywhere close to recent sales prices of only a few cents on the dollar could wipe out the net worth of many and lead to a new wave of bank failures. The Fed chairman said he favors buying the assets based on their "hold-to-maturity" value, which would require an estimate to be made of what each security will eventually be worth as payments come in over the years.

Proposed Bailout Faces Opposition, Wall Street on Sale
As the ongoing effects of the capital markets credit crisis continue to be felt, U.S. government financial leaders urged Congress to make a speedy intervention, while foreign banks capitalized on U.S. distress by snapping up assets at bargain prices. U.S. markets sank yesterday (Tuesday) as a quick turnaround on the proposed bailout legislation seemed less and less likely as criticism for Paulson’s plan in its current form became more widespread.

How Complex Securities, Wall Street Protectionism and Myopic
Regulation Caused a Near-Meltdown of the U.S. Banking System

[In Part III of his three-story investigation of the credit crisis,Money MorningContributing Editor Shah Gilani details how the very complexity of the global financial system brought us to the brink of a total meltdown. In a special addendum tomorrow (Thursday), the former professional trader and hedge-fund manager will detail a banking-system overhaul that would immediately end the credit crisis - possibly without a single penny of taxpayer money.] There’s no time to beat around the bush. Let’s flush out the three credit-crisis catalysts that have remained hidden for too long, thanks to Wall Street protectionism and myopic regulation. Those catalysts - which brought us to the brink of a financial meltdown - are structured collateralized debt obligations, credit default swaps, and the horrific offspring of the two - credit default swaps on structured collateralized debt obligations.
Part 1
Part 2

In Bailout Furor, Wall Street Pay Becomes a Target
Congress wants Wall Street to feel it where it hurts: the wallet. The stratospheric pay packages of Wall Street executives have become a lightning rod issue as Congress shapes a historic $700 billion bailout for financial firms. Proposals circulating on Capitol Hill vary, but they all would impose some limits or approval authority on salaries of executives whose firms seek help. The moves in Washington mirror the popular outcry — in constituent e-mail messages and postings in the blogosphere — over the prospect of Wall Street’s tarnished titans walking away with tens of millions of dollars a year while taxpayers pick up the bill.

FBI probing Fannie, Freddie, Lehman, AIG
The FBI is investigating four major U.S. financial institutions whose collapse helped trigger a $700 billion bailout plan by the Bush administration. Two law enforcement officials said Tuesday the FBI is looking at potential fraud by mortgage-finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and insurer American International Group Inc. The inquiries, still in preliminary stages, will focus on the financial institutions and the individuals that ran them, a senior law enforcement official said. Officials said the new inquiries bring the number of corporate lenders under investigation during the last year to 26.

US blue-collar workers look for bail-out
For workers at the General Motors truck plant in Flint, Michigan, the nearby Wooden Keg pub is like a shelter from the economic storm ripping across the US. Craggy men in baseball caps and well-worn T-shirts nurse bottles of Budweiser at the bar, peering up at a muted TV showing live coverage of OJ Simpson’s armed robbery trial in Las Vegas. A one-line update on the latest Wall Street turmoil scrolls across the news ticker at the foot of the screen, but the financial crisis otherwise appears to be attracting little attention. Lew Rough, a 50-year-old industrial equipment contractor, says the local economy was already so bad, people were immune to further shocks. Money Magazine named Flint the worst place to live in the US 20 years ago, and Mr Rough says it has only got worse since. "We’re not losing sleep over a few people losing their jobs on Wall Street."

Upheaval on Wall St. Stirs Anger in the U.N.
Wall Street and the Bush administration’s record of financial oversight came under attack at the United Nations on Tuesday, with one world leader after another saying that market turmoil in the United States threatened the global economy. "We must not allow the burden of the boundless greed of a few to be shouldered by all," said President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil in an opening speech that reflected the tone of the gathering.

Iran's leader gives thumbs down during Bush speech
Iran's leader flashed a thumbs-down Tuesday as President Bush denounced Tehran as a sponsor of global terrorism in his farewell address to the U.N. Then Bush got less than 10 seconds of polite applause at the end of a speech in which he urged world leaders to take "an unequivocal moral stand" against suicide bombings, hostage taking and other terror tactics. It was a decidedly low-key appearance, rehashing familiar themes, devoid of the passion Bush displayed in the early years of his presidency when he summoned the world after Sept. 11, 2001, to a battle against terrorism and tried — but failed — to win U.N. backing for the war in Iraq.

I'm Ben Stein, And I've Erred Financially
Feeling Bad About Your Recent Financial Choices? You're Not Alone
Aug. 3, 2008
These days I spend even more time than usual beating myself up. I'm supposed to know a lot about economics and finance. And I guess compared to some people and my dogs I do. But I still have made major money mistakes lately. I have a lot more real estate than I should have. When prices were skyrocketing that was mighty sweet. Not so much now. I have a lot more stock than I probably should have. A year and a half ago, that looked smart. Now we have some stock market days that turn my stomach.

Senators skeptical of bailout plan
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke bluntly warned reluctant lawmakers Tuesday they risk a recession with higher unemployment and increased home foreclosures if they fail to pass the Bush administration's $700 billion plan to bail out the financial industry. Bernanke sketched a scenario in which neither businesses nor consumers could borrow money as President Bush and top lawmakers leaders in both parties voiced hope for agreement within days on a plan to ease the crisis. "Nobody is happy" about the bailout request, said House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, D-Md., although he spoke of possible passage of legislation by the weekend. "Nobody wants to have to do this," agreed Rep. John Boehner of Ohio, the Republican leader. He said he was hopeful of a quick agreement, despite withering criticism from conservative GOP lawmakers, some of whom likened the plan to socialism.

Bailout on Trial: What Does Taxpayer Get Other than a $700B Bill?
The drama on Wall Street took center stage in Washington Tuesday as Treasury Secretary Paulson, Fed Chairman Bernanke and SEC Commissioner Cox testified before Congress. Paulson and Bernanke, specifically, made the case for the $700 billion bailout plan for banks, with the Fed chairman warning in prepared testimony of "very serious consequences" if the plan isn't approved. But Bernanke and Paulson faced some tough push-back from a number of Senators -- of both parties.
  • "This plan is stunning in its scope and lack of detail," said Connecticut Sen. Christopher Dodd, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee. "It does nothing in my view to help a single family save a home."
  • "I am concerned that Treasury's proposal is neither workable nor comprehensive, despite its enormous price tag," said Alabama Senator Richard Shelby, the ranking Republican on the committee.

Wall Street wavers amid testimony on bailout
Investors wonder whether plan will stabilize economy or spur inflation
Financial markets resumed their pullback Tuesday as investors worried that lawmakers were losing the sense of urgency seen last week, when the government proposed a massive bailout for financial institutions as a way to revive ailing credit markets. Investors grew fearful that top economic officials updating Congress about efforts to work out a $700 billion financial rescue plan were facing a greater degree of second-guessing from lawmakers than expected. The Dow Jones industrials, up for much of the session, fell more than 125 points by early afternoon. Still, trading appeared more orderly than Monday, when investors rushed into hard assets like oil and gold. Meanwhile, demand remained high for 3-month Treasury bills, considered the safest short-term financial asset, while the dollar regained ground after being hard hit Monday.

FDIC Chief wants home loans part of bailout plan
FDIC Chief Bair wants home loans part of $700
billion bailout plan; says banks holding up well

As Congress moves on the financial bailout plan, restructuring of troubled mortgages should be part of the final package, the head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said Tuesday. FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair said she hoped that changes on home loans "will be a feature of that." Under the $700 billion proposed bailout plan, the government could acquire troubled mortgage assets or provide a guaranty for delinquent loans, buying them and removing them from the overall pool of mortgages, Bair suggested. Mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, taken over earlier this month by the government which is operating them under a conservatorship, buy mortgages from banks and other lenders and guarantee them in exchange for fees.

Investment-Bank Demise May Speed Regulatory Overhaul
The financial crisis that obliterated the lines between banks and securities firms may be about to do the same to divisions between federal regulators. The demise this week of independent securities firms may accelerate a change Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson have called for: a single supervisor to ensure market stability. It may also avert a battle over which regulator might gain or lose power because the Securities and Exchange Commission's role is already diminished.

How the Democrats Created the Financial Crisis
The financial crisis of the past year has provided a number of surprising twists and turns, and from Bear Stearns Cos. to American International Group Inc., ambiguity has been a big part of the story. Why did Bear Stearns fail, and how does that relate to AIG? It all seems so complex. But really, it isn't. Enough cards on this table have been turned over that the story is now clear. The economic history books will describe this episode in simple and understandable terms: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac exploded, and many bystanders were injured in the blast, some fatally. Fannie and Freddie did this by becoming a key enabler of the mortgage crisis. They fueled Wall Street's efforts to securitize subprime loans by becoming the primary customer of all AAA-rated subprime-mortgage pools. In addition, they held an enormous portfolio of mortgages themselves.

Bernanke push for bail-out
The US economy could grind to a halt if Congress refuses to back its $700bn financial rescue plan, the administration warned on Tuesday as it stepped up efforts to win round doubting members of President George W. Bush’s own Republican party. At the first congressional hearing on the plan to authorise the administration to buy banks’ toxic assets, Ben Bernanke, Federal Reserve chairman, warned that global markets remained “under extraordinary stress”. He added: “Action by the Congress is urgently required to stabilise the situation and avert what otherwise could be very serious consequences for our financial markets and for our economy.” Hank Paulson, Treasury secretary, added that the plan would "avoid a series of financial institution failures and frozen credit markets that threaten American families’ financial well-being, the viability of businesses both small and large and the very health of our economy".

Dodd On Paulson Plan: "Not Just Our
Economy At Risk...Our Constitution As Well"

Senator Christopher Dodd opened today's Senate Banking Committee hearing by offering deep concern over the bailout package proposal that's been put forth by U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson. During his opening remarks, Dodd criticized the underlying thinking behind the proposal, pointing out its lack of attention to taxpayers, its allowance of "golden parachutes" for CEOs, and its dearth of detail. Most importantly, however, Dodd squarely aimed a shot at Section 8 of the proposal, which stipulates that, under the plan, the Secretary's actions would be "non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency." "After reading this proposal," said Dodd, "I can only conclude it is not just our economy that is at risk but our Constitution as well."

Finance Officials Face Wary Lawmakers
Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. received an angry and skeptical reception on Tuesday when he appeared before the Senate Banking Committee to ask Congress to promptly give him wide authority to rescue the nation’s financial system. Mr. Paulson urged lawmakers "to enact this bill quickly and cleanly, and avoid slowing it down with other provisions that are unrelated or don’t have broad support." The Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, who appeared with Mr. Paulson, said the financial system "continues to be very unpredictable, and very worrisome," and that inaction could lead to a recession. But one after another, senators from both parties said that, while they were prepared to move fast, they were far from ready to give the administration everything it wanted in its proposed $700 billion plan to buy up and hopefully resell troubled mortgages.

Fears emerge over $700bn rescue
The dollar buckled, stocks tumbled and the price of oil jumped on Monday as the $700bn (£376bn) US government bail-out plan for the financial sector made slow progress in Washington and once-mighty Wall Street names turned to Japan to safeguard their future. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve threw open the doors to investment in the US banking industry by private equity firms, sovereign wealth funds and corporate investors – in the hope that this would direct much-needed capital to US banks.

Banks Take Bigger-Than-Estimated Hit on Freddie, Fannie Conservatorship
We have said more than once that a terribly misguided aspect of the Freddie and Fannie conservatorship was the elimination of dividends on the GSE's preferred stock. Preferred was the best vehicle that struggling financial firms had for raising new capital. Eliminating the dividend lead to big losses in all financial preferred stocks, since investors assumed any bailout would similarly trash the preferred. Indeed, it is quite possible that this move accelerated Lehman's demise, since it closed off its best funding option. A second reason for taking a dim view of this move was that the Treasury had encouraged banks to buy Fannie and Freddie preferred stocks, so any losses on these holdings would reduce the equity of banks that owned the stock. Paulson alluded to the issue in his statement announcing the conservatorship, and claimed very few banks would be affected, and the impact would not be significant:

Freddie and Fannie bank losses grow
US regulators have underestimated potential bank losses on preferred stock issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the American Bankers Association said on Monday. Nearly a third of US banks hold preferred stock issued by the two mortgage financiers that were taken into conservatorship this month, according to an industry survey conducted by the ABA. The average bank exposure to such securities relative to core equity capital was 11 per cent. “The negative impact on banks – particularly Main Street community banks – is far greater than regulators first thought,” wrote Edward Yingling, chief executive of the ABA in a letter to the Treasury, the Federal Reserve and other banking regulators.

Politics influenced 1930s precedent
Casting about for a precedent for the bail-out, most analysts have picked the Resolution Trust Corporation, set up at the end of the 1980s to cope with the bad assets the US government inherited from collapsed savings and loan institutions. But a more apposite comparison might be a the Reconstruction Finance Corporation, a body set up by President Herbert Hoover and expanded by Franklin D. Roosevelt to help troubled banks during the Great Depression. While the RFC has been credited with helping to keep the banking system functioning, it illustrates how politics can influence technocratic decisions.

Paulson and Bernanke warn of costs of bailout delay
U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Tuesday urged Congress to act swiftly to put in place a $700 billion financial system bailout, warning delay would put the economy at risk. Testifying before a sometimes-skeptical Senate Banking Committee, they said financial markets were in serious stress and needed to be stabilized quickly by cleansing them of illiquid assets. Paulson wants lawmakers to approve a massive war chest, funded by taxpayers, to buy distressed debt from financial institutions to try to keep credit markets from choking up. Lawmakers have vowed to move without delay, but also are insisting on changes. These include more protections for taxpayers and limits on compensation for executives of firms that would be offloading their bad assets onto the government.

Retirees Filling the Front Line in Market Fears
Older Americans with investments are among the hardest hit by the turmoil in the financial markets and have the least opportunity to recover. As companies have switched from fixed pensions to 401(k) accounts, retirees risk losing big chunks of their wealth and income in a single day’s trading, as many have in the last month. "There's a terrified older population out there," said Alicia H. Munnell, director of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. "If you're 45 and the market goes down, it bothers you, but it comes back. But if you're retired or about to retire, you might have to sell your assets before they have a chance to recover. And people don't have the luxury of being in bonds because they don’t yield enough for how long we live." Today’s retirees have less money in savings, longer life expectancies and greater exposure to market risk than any retirees since World War II. Even before the last week of turmoil, 39 percent of retirees said they expected to outlive their savings, up from 29 percent in 2007, according to a survey by the Employee Benefit Research Institute, an industry-sponsored group in Washington.

Chrysler: Government loans could head off deeper cost cuts
Chrysler LLC Chief Executive Bob Nardelli said on Tuesday that without a low-cost government loan package, the automaker would be forced to cut costs more deeply to free up funds for electric car technology. Chrysler CBS.UL also said it planned to bring an electric vehicle to market by 2010, about the same time when General Motors Corp (GM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) rolls out its all-electric Chevy Volt plug-in car. The automaker showed off the prototypes for three electric vehicles -- one based on its popular minivan, one based on a Jeep SUV, and an all-electric sports car. Chrysler executives said the decision has not yet been made on which vehicle it would manufacture first or where production would be based. Nardelli told reporters that without the $25 billion loan package now before Congress, Chrysler could be forced to cut more jobs to fund the investment for the new vehicles.

Unrepentant Bush delivers his last speech to UN
There was no departing from his usual script of indignant impatience at the shortcomings of other world leaders, governments and institutions as President George Bush came to New York today to give his eighth and last address to the United Nations, a body that has never found him particularly palatable. An unrepentant Mr Bush, who might have been on the defensive not least because of the meltdown of American financial institutions over recent days, if not the continuing war in Iraq, instead rehearsed familiar appeals for pushing out the boundaries of freedom, justice for terrorists and punishment for countries that may harbour them. While paying some lip service to the UN saying that it and other "multilateral organisations are needed more than ever," he implied that the body and its members had been too passive in combating terrorism, which he said, remained the greatest "threat to our civilisation".

Russia-Venezuela moves stir cold war ghosts
A Russian military fleet set off from its Arctic Sea port of Severomorsk on Monday, bound for military exercises off Venezuela in mid-November that would mark the first such Russian action in the region since the end of the cold war. Coming just days after supersonic, nuclear-capable Tu-160 bombers streaked home to Russia after a flying visit to Venezuela, the move evokes images of the time when Latin America was a prime theatre of US-Soviet rivalry, from the 1962 Cuban missile crisis to the 1980s civil wars in Nicaragua and El Salvador. As Washington criticises Russia for seeking to extend its sphere of influence in neighbouring countries, the Kremlin has sought to embarrass the US by deepening ties with a part of the world the US has traditionally seen as its backyard.

Pakistani leaders 'should have been at bombed hotel'
The Pakistani President, Prime Minister and military chief of staff were due to attend a banquet at the Marriott Hotel in Islamabad, where bombers killed at least 53 people, but a last-minute change of venue saved them. The disclosure that the leadership of the country was the likely target of the attack on Saturday came as militants kidnapped Afghanistan’s top diplomat in the country and British Airways suspended all flights to and from Pakistan because of security concerns. The Interior Minister, Rehman Malik, said that the venue for a banquet to mark the inaugural address of President Zardari to a joint session of Parliament was moved to the residence of the Prime Minister because of intelligence warning of an attack. A bomber blew up a lorry containing 600kg (1,320lb) of explosives, including artillery shells, outside the Marriott, wrecking the hotel. At least 11 foreign nationals, including the Czech Ambassador and two US military personnel, were killed in the blast inside the high-security zone of Islamabad. "The last-minute decision saved the leaders," Mr Malik said.

The gloves are off in Pakistan
KARACHI - Pakistani authorities have compared Saturday evening's devastating truck suicide attack on the Marriott Hotel in the capital Islamabad to the September 11, 2001, attacks on the United States. In terms of its psychological effect, the blast, which killed more than 80 people, injured hundreds and burnt out the hotel, has traumatized the nation, and, like 9/11, marks the beginning of a new battle: this time not the "war on terror", but the war by terrorists. Pakistan is now the declared battleground in this struggle by Islamic militants to strike first against American interests before the United States' war machine completes its preparations to storm the sanctuaries of al-Qaeda in Pakistan.

Orange Ties... Collapses... Thieves... Police State... Cleaners
Those with eyes to see could tell it clearly from the picture of Treasury Secretary Paulson as he was in meetings with Federal Reserve Chairman Bernake and all of the President's men regarding the $700 billion bailout of the Wall Street Bankers, Red China, and the other Banks of the World, which represents the final death knells of the America we knew so well......the Constitutional Republic...the united States. . . . . Let's skip the History Lessons and go to the Meat. The cascading collapse of the credit markets, and the less discussed arcane securities instruments .....Derivatives which are estimated at $455 Trillion or more.......which are behind the collapse of these large Banks, Fannies, and Freddies, and these AIG Insurers......will not be staved off by efforts being attempted now by desperate greedy and EVIL men and women. They will keep cascading and the FEDERAL RESERVE NOTES DIGITALLY BEING CREATED.....will cause hyperinflation and rejection of the DOLLAR and the complete collapse of the U.S. Stock and Bond Markets and the U.S. Banking system.......in essence your lives will be turned upside down and the pain, bankruptcies, foreclosures, crime, starvation will cause such great upheaval in our society that WE THE PEOPLE will become very angry.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Archived Page Link
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tues 09.23.2008



No "Panic, Apocalypse, Free Fall,
Crash, Pandemonium, or Meltdown"
The Wall Street Journal, New York Times, and CNN have banned the use of scary words to describe the current financial crisis episode. The New York Times also refuses to speculate about which banks will fail next, like WaMu. And mainstream media still wonders why people read blogs?

Capitalism in convulsion:
Toxic assets head towards the public balance sheet
In the space of just two momentous weeks, the landscape of global finance has been dramatically transformed. President George W. Bush’s administration has mounted a multi-billion-dollar rescue of the financial system at the cost of inflicting severe damage on the US model of free-market capitalism. Heavy costs will be inflicted on the American taxpayer, who is now subsidising Wall Street – and indeed financial institutions around the world – in a bail-out of unprecedented size. The sequence of events that led to this extraordinary socialisation of finance began with the de facto nationalisation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the bankrupt government-sponsored mortgage lenders at the heart of the US housing finance system. There followed a rise in the cost of insuring against default in the world’s most powerful economy. On some independent estimates, the overall response to crisis could take the outstanding US public sector debt from readily manageable status to a level comparable with such fiscally stretched countries as Italy and Japan. Concern about the creditworthiness of the US is nonsensical, according to Charles Goodhart of the London School of Economics. It has nonetheless surfaced, along with worried punditry about the dollar’s role as a reserve currency.

Did We Say $500 Billion? Sorry, Bailout Will Cost $1 Trillion
Hank Paulson stressed the need for a "bold approach" to fixing the nation's crumbling financial institutions. How bold? One trillion dollars bold. Politico: Congressional leaders said after meeting Thursday evening with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke that as much as $1 trillion could be needed to avoid an imminent meltdown of the U.S. financial system. ..."We're talking hundreds of billions," Paulson told reporters. "This needs to be big enough to make a real difference and get to the heart of the problem."

Dollar Falls as Bailout Plan Erodes Confidence in U.S. Finances
The dollar fell for a second day against the yen on concern a U.S. proposal to buy $700 billion of troubled assets will erode investor confidence in the nation's finances. The greenback weakened for a fifth day against the euro, its longest losing stretch since February, as Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan would increase the nation's debt ceiling by 6.6 percent to $11.315 trillion. The currency also fell before U.S. reports this week that may show home sales slowed, adding to the case for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.

Paulson's Bailout Plan Will Screw Taxpayers:
Here's a Better One
Hank Paulson's plan will soon be rammed through Congress, likely with strings attached for "homeowners" and executive pay. Too bad, because the plan is seriously flawed and taxpayers are likely to get hosed. Especially too bad The main problem with Paulson's plan is this: If the government pays as little for the banks' troubled assets as it should to protect taxpayers (i.e., the market rate), the banks will still be screwed. Why? Because they'll have to raise humongous amounts of new capital to offset the losses. Where is this capital going to come from? Paulson doesn't say. Under the Paulson plan, the way this problem will likely be resolved is that the government will overpay for the assets--to "save the financial system." In the process, the government will also save two constituencies who deserve no protection whatsoever: bank shareholders and bondholders.

Bailout debate mulls making Wall Street pay
The planned $700 billion bailout to shore up the battered U.S. financial system looked set to drag into next week as Washington lawmakers haggled over how exactly they could make Wall Street pay for its rescue. Stocks and the U.S. dollar tumbled on Monday as emerging details of the plan left many players skeptical that the rescue, which would give powers to the U.S. Treasury Department to buy up toxic mortgage-related debt from financial groups, would work. "The big detail we want to know is how is the government going to buy these securities, and what they will pay, how that reverse auction will work," said Giri Cherukuri, head trader at OakBrook Investments LLC in Lisle, Illinois. "And the big question is, 'Will this bring us out of the woods?'"

Impact of Wall Street bailout becoming clearer
What this means for your job, your mortgage and your taxes
Though the devil's in the details of the emerging government response to the collapse on Wall Street, a clearer picture is beginning to emerge. Here are answers to some common questions about what it means for homeowners, consumers and taxpayers. The system of financing homeownership has run off the rails after lenders — and the investors who put up the money — made what has turned out to be a trillion-dollar mistake.

Goldman, Morgan Scrap Wall Street Model,
Become Banks in Bid to Ride Out Crisis
$$
End of Traditional Investment Banking, as Storied Firms
Face Closer Supervision and Stringent New Capital Requirements

The Federal Reserve, in an attempt to prevent the crisis on Wall Street from infecting its two premier institutions, took the extraordinary measure on Sunday night of agreeing to convert investment banks Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. into traditional bank holding companies. With the move, Wall Street as it has long been known -- a coterie of independent brokerage firms that buy and sell securities, advise clients and are less regulated than old-fashioned banks -- will cease to exist. Wall Street's two most prestigious institutions will come under the close supervision of national bank regulators, subjecting them to new capital requirements, additional oversight, and far less profitability than they have historically enjoyed.

Treasury Agrees to Equity Stake in Bailout
The Bush administration has accepted changes to its $700 billion Wall Street bailout plan that would give the government a stake in institutions unloading assets under the plan, the chairman of the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee said Monday. The administration also has agreed that the plan should include more efforts to prevent home foreclosures and that an oversight board should be created to monitor the bailout, said Massachusetts Democratic Rep. Barney Frank. "We got a lot of advice from people in the financial community that (Treasury) should also be able to take some equity and we agreed, and the secretary's agreed with that," Frank told reporters at a briefing. "We also made it clear that if he takes that equity, it has to be with warrants," he said.

Treasury Relents on Key Points $$
Plan Now Envisions Oversight of Cleanup, New Homeowner Aid
The Bush administration and the Democratic Congress inched closer to agreement on a $700 billion plan to rescue troubled financial firms, with the Treasury making most of the concessions amid an increasing backlash from a range of economists and lawmakers. The administration agreed to allow tougher oversight over the cleanup and provide fresh assistance to homeowners facing foreclosure, two Democratic priorities. In addition, negotiators neared agreement on allowing the government to take equity stakes in certain companies that participate in the rescue. Congress may raise the cost of a $700 billion market-rescue deal by adding a new economic stimulus plan to benefit taxpayers, according to Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., chairman of the House Financial Services Committee.

All sorts claim piece of pie
Amid the war of words that has erupted between Capitol Hill and the White House over the shape and scope of the proposed $700bn Wall Street bail-out, there is another set of interested parties quietly seeking a piece of the action from behind closed doors. From the Washington lobbyists who represent the banking industry to consumer advocates seeking to change the bankruptcy code, those with close ties to Democratic lawmakers and the Bush administration will scramble to make their mark on the bill. Issues dominating lobbyists’ attention range from accounting rules to the question of which companies will serve as asset managers for the US Treasury once the plan is enacted. At the centre of the push are hopes that the legislation passed by Congress remains broad, allowing as many firms as possible to claim a piece of the bail-out or, potentially, profit from it. Banking lobbyists for foreign financial groups, includingDeutsche Bank, HSBC and Credit Suisse, won a big concession this weekend when, after frenzied work with lawmakers and the administration, Hank Paulson, the Treasury secretary, made clear that foreign banks with significant business operations in the US would be eligible to benefit from the bail-out.

Congress, Bush team agree on some bailout terms
Administration accepts some Dem demands in
bailout bill, but haggles over exec compensation

Scrambling for a swift deal on the $700 billion bailout for failing financial firms, key Democrats and Bush administration officials agreed Monday to include mortgage help for beleaguered homeowners but wrangled over other issues, including "golden parachutes" for executives who benefit from the unprecedented rescue. Democrats demanded that the measure limit pay packages for executives of companies helped by the biggest financial rescue since the Great Depression. The administration was balking at that, and also at a proposal by Democrats to let judges rewrite mortgages to lower bankrupt homeowners' monthly payments. President Bush prodded Congress during the day to pass the rescue plan quickly, declaring, "The whole world is watching."

Foreign Banks Will Get Treasury Support Too
It looks like foreign banks, which were initially excluded from Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's bailout proposal, will be able to sell the toxic American mortgage debt owned by their American units to the Treasury and wind up getting the same treatment as U.S.banks. "It's a distinction without a difference whether it's a foreign or a U.S. one," Paulson told Fox News. Though millions of American citizens hold accounts in foreign banks with offices in the U.S., a number of U.S. legislators are worried that including foreign institutions may add to the pain of what could ultimately turn out to be a trillion-dollar bailout for Wall Street.

Two Years Until Banks Stabilize
Bank analyst Richard Bove approves of the Bush administration's plan to buy up to $700 billion of troubled mortgage assets from major financial institutions. But, he says, it will still take two years for the banking industry to recover. Bove, who works for Ladenburg Thalmann, told Bloomberg News that the government plan isn't big enough to erase all of the industry's woes. "It's unrealistic to assume the Treasury Department will go out and buy all the bad loans from Bank of America, for example," he says. "I doubt Congress would allow that. And even if it would, the government would demand a huge portion of Bank of America's equity, and Bank of America would refuse." Small banks are likely to be the biggest beneficiaries of the new plan, Bove says.

Hold Everything: Banks May Still Be Screwed
FBR analyst Paul Miller says stay the hell away from financial stocks until we know the specifics of the rescue plan. The devil is in the details. Also, the rescue plan does little to alter the fundamentals of the housing market, which remains weak and which most banks heavily rely upon for a large proportion of their profits and cash flow:

Bush Urges Democrats to Act Quickly on Bailout Plan
As President Bush urged lawmakers to act quickly on the bailout legislation, Senate Democrats on Monday put forward their version of the rescue plan, including a bold addition aimed at helping homeowners at risk of foreclosure. President Bush urged the legislators to resist the temptation to add provisions that, he said, “would undermine the effectiveness of the plan.” But it is becoming clear that Democrats have their own ideas about what should be in the plan, who should be helped and who should not. The Democrats’ refusal to automatically go along with the administration, plus emerging opposition from some conservatives, increased the prospect that the $700 billion plan might not go through quickly, despite an expression of confidence from the Treasury Department that an agreement can be reached with Congress this week.

Cox 'Asleep at Switch' as Paulson, Bernanke Encroach
On Aug. 19, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Christopher Cox summoned the press to a conference room at the SEC's Washington headquarters for an important announcement. The agency's new computer technology to make corporate filings more useful to investors was almost ready, and Cox wanted to give reporters a preview. In a flourish uncharacteristic of the normally buttoned-down ex-congressman, Cox, 55, strutted across the stage, took off his suit jacket and sat down at a computer to demonstrate the new Extensible Business Reporting Language, or XBRL. Investors were given a chance to ask questions about the technology online as an aide wrote a live blog. When it came time for reporters to pose questions, however, it didn't take long for the queries to turn to the news of the day: the roiling controversy over the sale of billions of dollars of so-called auction-rate securities to investors who found they couldn't get their money back. Cox urged reporters to stick to the topic of technology and then gave a brief answer.

Bailout a mystery with lots of questions
Biggest government bailout in history
raises plenty of questions of how and how much

It's the largest government bailout in U.S. history and two days after it was introduced to the Americans paying for it, the proposal is still largely a mystery. Among the unanswered questions: How will the government mop up the bad mortgage debt on banks' books, who will run the process and how much will it cost? Key elements of the plan remain in flux as behind closed doors Democrats demand modifications that would provide more help for ordinary Americans in return for bailing out the country's financial giants. In the spare, three-page draft legislation that the Treasury provided lawmakers on Saturday, the administration's plan seemed straight forward enough.

Greenspan’s sins return to haunt us
Federal Reserve, came to Britain to pick up his knighthood. His biggest fan, Gordon Brown, now the UK prime minister, had ensured that the citation said it was being awarded for promoting “economic stability”. During his trip, Mr Greenspan visited the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee. He told them the US financial system had been resilient amid the bursting of the internet bubble. Share prices had halved and there had been massive bond defaults, but no big bank collapses. Mr Greenspan lauded the fact that risk had been spread, using complex derivative instruments. One of the MPC members asked: how could this be? Someone must have lost all that money; who was it? A look of quiet satisfaction came across Mr Greenspan’s face as he answered: “European insurance companies.” Six years later, AIG, the largest US insurance company, has in effect been nationalised to stop it blowing up the financial world. The US has nationalised the core of its mortgage industry and the government has become the arbiter of which financial companies should survive or die.

FDIC To WaMu: Do A Deal Now
Federal regulators are putting pressure on hairball WaMu to either self itself or raise more capital. The list of potential buyers ranges from Citigroup, to JP Morgan, to Wells Fargo, to Banco Santander of Spain. WSJ: While some people close to the discussions hope a deal could be struck within days, one stumbling block is that a straightforward sale of WaMu would require the buyer to absorb the company's troubled assets. With WaMu expecting losses of $19 billion on its mortgage portfolio during the next 2? years, some would-be bidders favor a government-assisted takeover, people familiar with the matter said. One scenario is that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. would seize control of WaMu's banking unit and then sell its deposits to another bank.

Other G7 members have no plans to follow US
Finance ministers from the world’s richest countries on Monday expressed sympathy and support for the proposed US bail-out but showed no immediate sign of following suit. In a conference call convened by Hank Paulson, US Treasury secretary, his counterparts in the Group of Seven economies promised continued vigilance over developments in the global financial system but said they saw no reason to organise a US-style rescue operation in their own markets. A statement largely repeated standard G7 language: “We pledge to enhance international co-operation to address the ongoing challenges in the global economy and world markets and maintain heightened close co-operation between finance ministries, central banks and regulators.” French officials said that Mr Paulson asked his counterparts whether they were thinking of setting up similar schemes, without pressing them to do so, but was told that none as yet thought it was necessary.

One size fits all
In the space of a week, the four remaining large independent investment banks have disappeared.Lehman Brothers collapsed, Bank of America is taking over Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are turning themselves into regulated banks. In return for tighter regulation, the two last can look forward to stable funding. But the demise of stand-alone investment banks does not purge the system of risk – it merely shifts it. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs were under pressure from investors and regulators alike to change their business models. Forcible deleveraging would have come anyway. Their metamorphosis beat the authorities to it. Investors also needed reassurance that reliance on wholesale markets would be reduced. As ordinary banks, they should find funding easier: both banks will now have permanent – not just temporary – access to the Federal Reserve primary credit facility, while being able to build deposit bases. Besides diversifying into retail banking, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs can go about their investment banking business, albeit with lower leverage, profits and pay cheques.

The new capitalism
"Capitalism is mutating once again", writes Martin Wolf, the FT’s chief economics commentator. Mr Wolf argues that the institutional scenery of two decades ago is disappearing into economic history and we are witnessing the transformation of mid-20th century managerial capitalism into global financial capitalism. How should one evaluate this latest transformation of capitalism? Is it a “good thing”? How is unfettered finance reshaping the global economy?

Markets remain on edge as investors seek safety
Markets see volatility as investors await
bailout details; oil surges as traders seek safety

Volatility swept the financial markets again Monday as investors grew nervous about an amorphous government plan to buy $700 billion in banks' mortgage debt. Stocks fell sharply, taking the Dow Jones industrials down more than 370 points, while investors sought safety in hard assets such as gold and oil, which at one point shot up more than $25 a barrel. The credit markets were still uneasy but not showing the frantic trading they saw last week. And the dollar skidded lower, contributing to oil's surge.

Unfettered finance is fast reshaping the global economy
"In Rome everything is for sale." – Prince Jugurtha in Sallust’s Bellum Jugurthinum
"Yes to market economy, no to market society." – Lionel Jospin, French Socialist ex-prime minister
It is capitalism, not communism, that generates what the communist Leon Trotsky once called “permanent revolution". It is the only economic system of which that is true. Joseph Schumpeter called it “creative destruction”. Now, after the fall of its adversary, has come another revolutionary period. Capitalism is mutating once again.
Much of the institutional scenery of two decades ago – distinct national business elites, stable managerial control over companies and long-term relationships with financial institutions – is disappearing into economic history. We have, instead the triumph of the global over the local, of the speculator over the manager and of the financier over the producer. We are witnessing the transformation of mid-20th century managerial capitalism into global financial capitalism.

Wall St. shakeup leaves big banks ahead
The street's fallout leaves a few winners still standing; boutique financial companies are coming out on top as well, targeting an increase in merger and acquisition activity. A few winners are already beginning to emerge out of the debris from one of the most tumultuous weeks in Wall Street history. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. are poised to rule investment banking because of their easy access to vaults of deposits. At the other end of the spectrum, boutique firms, including Evercore Partners, Greenhill & Co. and Lazard Ltd., are busily seizing clients and staff from devastated rivals.

Investment bank model abandoned; bailout debated
Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley sought shelter with the Federal Reserve to survive a financial storm that destroyed their rivals, and Wall Street braced for a week of political wrangling over a proposed $700 billion bailout for troubled banks. Morgan Stanley went a step further and struck a deal with Japan's largest bank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, which agreed on Monday to buy up to a 20 percent stake in the prestigious 73-year-old investment bank, sending Morgan Stanley shares up 10 percent in morning trading. The Fed's agreement to convert the once high-flying investment banks into more conventional depositary institutions was Washington's latest effort to restore calm to chaotic markets. It followed frantic talks between the Bush administration and Congress to prevent the crisis from pushing the economy into severe recession.

Shift for Goldman and Morgan Marks the End of an Era
Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the last big independent investment banks on Wall Street, will transform themselves into bank holding companies subject to far greater regulation, the Federal Reserve said Sunday night, a move that fundamentally reshapes an era of high finance that defined the modern Gilded Age. The firms requested the change themselves, even as Congress and the Bush administration rushed to pass a $700 billion rescue of financial firms. It was a blunt acknowledgment that their model of finance and investing had become too risky and that they needed the cushion of bank deposits that had kept big commercial banks like Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase relatively safe amid the recent turmoil.

Wall Street R.I.P.
Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs will soon be bank holding companies. This means Wall Street as we knew it has ceased to exist. The Fed granted a request from Morgan and Goldman to make the switch, subject to a five day waiting period. This will have several impacts:
•Their primary regulator will now be the Fed Reserve, not the SEC. This will make them subject to tighter disclosure and regulatory requirements.
•They will be able to accept bank deposits, which eventually should provide a more stable base of financing (but not "stable").
•They will have better access to the Fed's lending facilities.
•They may be able to avoid mark-to-market accounting on some of their assets, instead accounting for them as "held to maturity," the way banks do. This could be huge, as it's the mark to market that has killed the capital ratios of many firms.
•They will more easily be able to buy or merge with banks, thus rapidly increasing the size of their deposit bases.
•They will likely decrease their leverage: Morgan Stanley is talking about moving from 20X+ to 10X-15X.

Financial meltdown feels like Oklahoma oil bust
Financial meltdown on Wall Street reminds Oklahomans of oil bust 25 years ago
Oklahomans who lived through the 1980s oil bust find themselves feeling a bit of deja vu as they are bombarded by headlines about the failure of Wall Street financial institutions, plummeting housing values in large urban areas and families losing their homes. The financial meltdown attributed to the sub-prime mortgage market crisis has barely been felt in Oklahoma, where a strong energy industry has helped keep the state's economy humming. But it was a different story 25 years ago, when oil prices collapsed and speculative bank loans based upon energy values turned sour. Oklahoma bankers and those involved in the state's banking industry say the two events -- separated by a quarter century -- bear striking similarities in their root cause. And the fallout from the Wall Street mess will probably also closely resemble what happened in Oklahoma, where regulations were tightened and banks came under more scrutiny.

Unrest has investors questioning risk fundamentals
Market turmoil leaves investors wondering whether lessons about risk still apply
A financial crisis being described as the worst since the Great Depression has left investors thinking far beyond the realm of whether it's time to buy or sell. No matter how close they are to retirement, many are considering getting out of the stock market entirely by shifting to cash or even gold, believing the market is so shaky they're willing to take the potential tax and inflation erosion they'll suffer from a quick pullout. Others are staying in, even after this year's 14 percent decline to date in the Dow Jones industrial average has eaten away at what they had thought were safe portfolios. "Right now, it is just a loss on paper. If I pull out now, it becomes an actual loss," says Deborah Allen, a 51-year-old administrative assistant at a Royal Oak, Mich., school district who's trying to protect a nest egg she's relying on to take early retirement next year.

The Credit Crisis and the Real Story Behind the Collapse of AIG
[In Part II of his three-story investigation of the credit crisis, Money Morning Contributing Editor Shah Gilani shows us how American International Group, a perfectly sound company that's survived f" " or CDS.]
There’s nothing fundamentally wrong with the core insurance business units of American International Group Inc. (AIG). Nothing at all. What imploded the venerable insurance giant was an accumulation of misplaced bets on credit default swaps. By the best estimates of the International Swaps and Derivatives Association and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), often referred to as the central banks’ central bank, the notional value of credit default swaps is some $62 trillion, or 35 trillion British Pounds at an exchange rate of $1.78. A credit default swap (CDS) is akin to an insurance policy. It’s a financial derivative that a debt holder can use to hedge against the default by a debtor corporation of sovereign. But a CDS can also be used to speculate. . . . .
Part 1 of 3

A Sense of Resentment Amid the 'For Sale' Signs
The bailout doesn't smell right to the people of Manassas Park, where the foreclosure signs are as common as azaleas. They know all about bad debt here. This is a terrain of oversize dreams, misjudgment, financial calamity -- and empty houses. "Foreclosure. Foreclosure. Foreclosure," said Ed Merkle, 58, as he pointed to the "for sale" signs lining his street. But Merkle, a defense contractor, said he has lived within his means in an era of easy credit. He didn't take on a huge loan even when his bank encouraged him to dream bigger. "I've been financially responsible with my own money. Why should I now be responsible for the fact that you were not?" he said. This may be a Main Street bailout backlash in the making. The details of the financial crisis are still hard for most people to follow -- what with talk of exotic "derivatives" known as "credit-default swaps" and so on -- but the central fact of the matter hasn't been lost on anyone in this Northern Virginia community: The taxpayers are on the hook for the bad judgment of others.

Spreading pain will cost 90,000 jobs
Retailers to be hit hard; tourism may finally weaken
Before Lehman Bros. went belly up, Merrill Lynch & Co. was forced to sell itself, and AIG got bailed out, the deepening financial crisis had already prompted the owners of The Michael Jordan Steakhouse to chop more than $4 off the price of their hamburgers. “We saw the economics in New York and wanted people to have a price point that was more acceptable,” says Glazier Group co-owner Penny Glazier, of the new $14.95 offering. The trouble on Wall Street will clearly ripple beyond burgers. Prior to last week's turmoil, the Independent Budget Office had forecast 33,000 Wall Street jobs would disappear in the current downturn. Now, even more are likely to go. And since the securities industry drives the local economy—the sector accounts for 5% of the city's jobs but as much as 23% of its wages - the cutbacks will reverberate throughout the five boroughs. Wall Street salaries average $340,000, or more than five times those in the rest of the city's economy. Each securities job creates two others, according to the state comptroller's office, meaning the hurt will be felt everywhere from retail and restaurants to law and accounting. Economists have predicted the city will shed as many as 90,000 jobs during this downturn.

Oil spikes $25 amid anxiety over bailout
Trading suspended as crude prices
soar to biggest one-day increase ever

Oil prices spiked more than $25 a barrel Monday — the biggest one-day price jump ever — as anxiety over the government’s $700 billion bailout plan, a weak dollar and an expiring crude contract ignited a dramatic rally. Light, sweet crude for October delivery jumped as much as $25.45 to $130 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange before falling back to settle at $120.92, up $16.37. The contract expired at the end of the day, adding to the volatility as traders rushed to cover positions; the October price began accelerating sharply in the last hour of regular trading, a common occurrence when a contract is about to go off the board.

Fitch downgrades GM’s ‘junk’ rating further
Analyst sees company struggling with demand, raw materials, capital
Fitch Ratings downgraded General Motors Corp.’s credit rating deeper into junk status Monday, saying the automaker faces headwinds in almost every direction and its liquidity could drop to “minimum required levels” within the next year. The credit ratings agency said it reduced GM’s issuer default rating one notch to “CCC” from “B-.” Both ratings are noninvestment, or junk, grade. Fitch analyst Mark Oline said GM faces pressures from tightening credit in the U.S., weakening overseas sales, rising raw materials prices, continued sales declines in North America and the need for a large amount of capital spending to transform its lineup from trucks and sport utility vehicles to smaller, more fuel-efficient models.

Microsoft to buy back $40 billion of stock
Microsoft board OKs $40 billion stock buyback plan, raises dividend
Software giant Microsoft Corp. said Monday its board approved a plan to buy back up to another $40 billion of its shares. The program expires on Sept. 30, 2013. As of July 28, Redmond, Wash.-based Microsoft had about 9.13 billion shares outstanding, according to a regulatory filing. The company said it has completed its previous $40 billion stock repurchase program. Microsoft also raised its quarterly dividend to 13 cents from 11 cents. The dividend is payable Dec. 11 to shareholders of record on Nov. 20.

Hewlett-Packard board OKs $8B stock buyback
Hewlett-Packard approves repurchase of $8 billion in shares
Computer maker Hewlett-Packard Co. said Monday its board approved the repurchase of up to $8 billion in shares. The buyback comes on top of a previous $8 billion repurchase program started in November. About $3 billion remains from that authorization. The company said it bought $1.6 billion of its shares in the fiscal quarter ended July 31. HP said it authorized the new move to counteract the dilutive effect employee stock plans have on ownership percentages. The company has about 2.5 billion shares of common stock outstanding.

Nike announces $5 billion buyback program
Nike to buy back $5 billion in stock, following
completion of $3 billion buyback program

Sports retailer Nike Inc. said Monday its board approved a four-year, $5 billion buyback program. Nike said the repurchase of $5 billion in Class B common stock will begin following completion of its current $3 billion buyback program. Nike had about 492.4 million shares of Class B common stock outstanding as of Aug. 31. "Over the past 10 years, Nike has returned $5.5 billion to shareholders through the repurchase of more than 157 million shares," Chief Executive Mark Parker said in a statement.

MILLIONS AT RISK OF FORECLOSURE FRAUD
Angela Carter's family has lived for 46 years in the same small two-story home in Chicago, perhaps a 15-minute ride from Barack Obama's adopted Hyde Park neighborhood. But today a piece of paper says someone else owns the property, and a judge will soon decide if Carter and her mom get to stay in her home. The reason Carter, 55, is facing eviction, she says, is that she fell for a high-stakes scam that’s sweeping the nation, preying on the 1 in 11 consumers who are either behind on their mortgage payments or already in foreclosure. Interviews with legal aid offices and law enforcement officials around the nation indicate the problem of so-called “foreclosure rescue scams” has spread like wildfire, neatly paralleling the downturn in the mortgage market.

China paper urges new currency order after "financial tsunami"
Threatened by a "financial tsunami," the world must consider building a financial order no longer dependent on the United States, a leading Chinese state newspaper said on Wednesday. The commentary in the overseas edition of the People's Daily said the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc "may augur an even larger impending global 'financial tsunami'." The People's Daily is the official newspaper of China's ruling Communist Party, and the overseas edition is a smaller circulation offshoot of the main paper.

Japanese Bank Gets Chunk Of Morgan Stanley
Struggling U.S. Investment Bank Agrees To
Partner With Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group

Investment bank Morgan Stanley said Monday it signed a letter of intent to sell up to 20 percent of the company to Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. Financial terms of the deal were not disclosed. If the deal is completed, the price would be based on Morgan Stanley's book value after Japan's largest bank completes a due diligence review. The letter of intent signed by both banks is nonbinding. The framework for a deal comes just hours after Morgan Stanley, one of Wall Street's biggest investment banks, received regulatory approval from the Federal Reserve to become a bank holding company - making it a commercial bank and allowing it to receive deposits. Morgan Stanley will also now be regulated by the Fed instead of the Securities and Exchange Commission.

North Korea moves closer to restarting its nuclear program
In a setback for an international nuclear disarmament agreement, North Korea asked the International Atomic Energy Agency on Monday to remove seals and surveillance cameras from the country's nuclear reprocessing facility, the agency's director said. The request offers further evidence that North Korea plans to restart the facility that separates plutonium for use in nuclear weapons at its complex at Yongbyon and suggests that the North may be preparing to resume its nuclear weapons program. "This morning," North Korea "asked the agency's inspectors to remove seals and surveillance equipment to enable them to carry out tests at the reprocessing plant, which they say will not involve nuclear material," the agency director, Mohamed ElBaradei, announced to the 35-country Board of Governors. He confirmed that the agency's inspectors had observed the restoration of some equipment that North Korea had previously removed during the dismantling process.

Russian warships sail to Venezuela
A squadron from the Russian Navy's North Sea Fleet sail for Venezuela on Monday, a Russian Navy spokesman said, in a bid by Russia to bolster military links in Latin America as relations with the United States continue to deteriorate. The convoy - including the nuclear-powered guided missile cruiser Peter the Great and the anti-submarine ship Admiral Chabanenko - left the fleet's base in Severomorsk bound for the Venezuelan coast where it will take part in joint maneuvers with the Venezuelan Navy sometime in November, said Igor Dygalo, a Russian Navy spokesman. Stung by the West's strong condemnation of Russia's actions in last month's war with Georgia, Moscow appears to have redoubled its efforts to strengthen ties with Venezuela, Cuba and other Latin American countries in moves reminiscent of the Soviet Union's proxy battles with the United States in the region during the Cold War.

Russia sends ships on exercises in U.S. 'backyard'
Russian warships set sail on Monday for manoeuvres in the Caribbean area calculated to demonstrate to the United States Moscow's return as a global power on the military and political stage. The exercises, drawing on a strong alliance with Venezuela's anti-American President Hugo Chavez, will be closely watched by Western navies as the first such projection of Russian power close to U.S. shores since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Navy spokesman Igor Dygalo said the nuclear-powered heavy missile cruiser Peter the Great and antisubmarine destroyer Admiral Chabanenko left their base near Murmansk with two support ships for the 15,000 mile passage to Venezuela. Washington denounced Moscow for its crushing of pro-Western Georgia in a brief conflict last month over two rebel provinces. Russia then expressed anger over the appearance of U.S. warships in the Black Sea region -- which it considers its sphere of influence -- to deliver aid to Georgia.

Crisis Draws Attention to McCain Social Security Plan $$
Support for Market Could Be Hurt by Financial Strife
Financial turmoil may not just boost government's role in markets. It could undermine a push in recent years by conservatives, including John McCain, to inject more market forces into government-run and heavily regulated programs. On the presidential campaign trail, Democrat Barack Obama is seizing on the recent turbulence to lambast proposals by Sen. McCain on Social Security and health care, two areas on which the Republican presidential nominee has embraced market-oriented solutions. These proposals -- particularly private accounts carved out of Social Security -- were controversial to begin with, and the new crisis only heightens the concerns. The accounts are designed to generate greater returns than the government gets holding onto the money. But if workers invest their Social Security taxes in the stock market, what happens if the market is down when it comes time to retire?
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Archived Page Link
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Mon 09.22.2008

Dollar May Get 'Crushed' as Traders Weigh Up Bailout
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan to end the rout in U.S. financial markets may derail the dollar's three-month rally as investors weigh the costs of the rescue. The combination of spending $700 billion on soured mortgage-related assets and providing $400 billion to guarantee money-market mutual funds will boost U.S. borrowing as much as $1 trillion, according to Barclays Capital interest-rate strategist Michael Pond in New York. While the rescue may restore investor confidence to battered financial markets, traders will again focus on the twin budget and current-account deficits and negative real U.S. interest rates. "As we get to the other side of this, the dollar will get crushed,'' said John Taylor, chairman of New York-based International Foreign Exchange Concepts Inc., the world's biggest currency hedge-fund firm, which manages about $15 billion.

Congress braces for 'Mother of all bailouts'
$700 billion and counting, 'doesn't mean we will stop there'-- Henry Paulson
Congressional leaders appear ready to act quickly on the Bush administration's demand for authority to bail out as much as $700 billion in bad mortgage debts, but not without adding some conditions and possibly added costs of their own. Democratic leaders are demanding limits on pay for executives of financial firms that unload their bad debts on the government in what one Republican leader is calling "the mother of all bailouts.'' And they are renewing their push for a new job-creating economic stimulus package, with an added cost of $50 billion, as the White House presses Congress to approve a bailout before adjournment for elections at the end of this week. Yet, despite the enormousness of the federal action which Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is pressing Congress to swiftly approve - possibly exceeding what Congress has spent on the war in Iraq, and pushing the federal deficit to new record highs - it is clear that he has convinced congressional leaders of the urgency of acting to avert a meltdown in credit for American consumers.

When the Thundering Herd Comes up Lame
There’s nothing like greed and avarice to bring
the entire U.S. financial system to the brink of collapse.

With the demise of Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc., the thundering herd has galloped off the cliff – taking 94 years of history with it. Same, too, with Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.. Lehman’s bankruptcy filing last week caps 158 year "we" caused this … how, according to the mainstream media, "we" somehow did this to our financial system. Baloney. For the most part, "we" didn’t do squat. The average American had nothing to do with this. For the most part, "we" pay our taxes, "we" pay our credit card debt and "we" pay our mortgages – on time, and in full.

Some hard truths about the bailout
The fifth major federal bailout this year - after Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and American International Group - is in the works. American taxpayers have every right to be alarmed and angry. This crisis could have been avoided if regulators had enforced rules and officials had dared to question risky lending and other dubious practices. If done right, this bailout could succeed where the others have failed and remove the threat of a system-wide financial collapse. But the cost will be enormous. So will the risk of losses in the long run - on top of the risks already incurred. The new plan would commit taxpayer money to buy hundreds of billions of dollars of troubled loans and other mortgage-related securities from banks and Wall Street firms. It is based on the reasonable premise that as long as institutions are stuck with those assets, the flow of credit, the economy's lifeblood, will be constrained, or as in the past week, all but frozen. Congress, with one eye on last week's volatile Dow and the other on November's election, could authorize the plan as early as this week. It is painfully clear that the financial system will not rebound on its own from the excessive lending and borrowing of the Bush years. Lawmakers and administration officials must be prepared to tell Americans some hard truths:

Dire Bernanke Speech Shocked Congress
'The Air Came Out of the Room,' Dodd Tells Stephanopoulos
Congressional and administration leaders split today over how a bailout package for U.S. financial markets should look, even as all sides called for swift action. Wrangling over the size and shape of the relief package belied a universal sense of urgency about getting it through Congress after a week of turbulence on Wall Street and concerns about global implications of a possible U.S. economic meltdown. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson told ABC News' "This Week with George Stephanopoulos" that the government was preparing to extend bailout protection to foreign companies caught up in the nation's financial crisis, but Paulson rejected proposals that the bailout include new caps on executive compensation or steps to protect American homeowners, who are facing foreclosure in unprecedented numbers. "We need a lot of reforms. And this is going to be something Congress and the next administration is going to be working on for a long time," Paulson told Stephanopolous. "But these can't be done, and shouldn't be done, in a matter of days. And we need this program in days in order to protect the American people. "We've been focused on homeowners for a long time, working to avoid foreclosure," he said. "It sure seems to me that, as we buy these mortgage-backed assets, we will have much more leverage in working on the kinds of programs we need to work on."

Paulson urges a quick bailout
US calls on world to save banking system
The US government last night urged other countries to follow its model of bailing out stricken banks after Treasury secretary Hank Paulson unveiled an unprecedented $700bn (£380bn) rescue plan to prevent a collapse of the financial system. The proposal would allow the Treasury to buy up "toxic" mortgage-related debts from financial institutions, including US arms of foreign banks, to try to stem the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. With Congress set to vote this week on the emergency legislation, Mr Paulson took to the airwaves, warning that the massive bailout was the only way to avoid catastrophe and that other countries must take similar measure. "We have a global financial system and we are talking very aggressively with other countries around the world and encouraging them to do similar things and I believe a number of them will," Mr Paulson said.

In Crisis, Paulson’s Power Is Magnified
Just over two years ago, Henry M. Paulson Jr. took the job of Treasury secretary, though the post had become so devalued that others had turned it down. He is likely to leave as one of the most powerful of the 74 secretaries in history and to pass those powers on to his successor. Suddenly the next president’s selection for Treasury secretary, a job that was ranked with the secretaries of defense and state until its importance dimmed in the early years of President Bush’s tenure, has become even more consequential. The financial emergency has expanded the Treasury secretary’s authority beyond anything that Alexander Hamilton could have foreseen when George Washington tapped him 219 years ago this month. And that was before Mr. Paulson sent Congress a spare three-page proposal for broad new powers. Newsweek magazine put Mr. Paulson on its cover as “King Henry.” Congressional leaders indicate they will impose some limits this week, and an adviser to Senator John McCain, the Republican nominee, said on Sunday that the senator might express concerns this week that the proposal would give too much power to one person.

Bush's Paulson, master of the universe
When Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson was appointed by President Bush as his third and presumably last Treasury Secretary in 2006, a lot of observers assumed Paulson was coming in to be a mere caretaker. That was a bad call. Shakespeare has a line about some men being born great, some men achieving greatness and others having greatness thrust upon them. Paulson jumps out of that last category. When Wall Street was healthy, it made him very rich. Now that it's ailing, it's made him famous. Because of his energetic and sweeping response to the Wall Street meltdown, Paulson has turned out to be one of the most powerful and activist Treasury secretaries in recent U.S. history. If there were an Alexander Hamilton Award for using federal power vigorously in times of economic crisis, he would get it by acclamation. Only time will tell if the way he has seized and used the levers at his disposal was the right thing at the right time.

Backlash Over Bailouts Grows in Congress, Wall Street
As the U.S. government takes stronger measures to stabilize financial markets, some former Federal Reserve officials, "Every time they intervene, they do more harm than good,'' said Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital in Darien, Connecticut, a brokerage that manages $1 billion. Critics of the rescues agree that government actions, such as those that prevented the failures of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and American International Group Inc., can't postpone the inevitable worsening of housing and financial markets. They say the bailouts by the Fed and Treasury also encourage future reckless risk-taking by investors.

Proposed Treasury Authority to Purchase Troub